LongBeachSurfFreak

Yeah with my phone. I did increase the contrast and zoomed in. It was an especially vivid sunset.

Gorgeous sunset just now, very vivid.

Exactly what I’m thinking. A big part of why the climate models aren’t predicting huge increases in numbers are do to factors like increase shear and lower lapse rates. But on the high end, the potential increases as OHC increases. More cat 5s but not necessarily many more named storms.

Hands down the best severe thunderstorm I have ever experienced. I was life guarding at Eisenhower park. It got so dark inside the aquatic center that everyone got out of the pool, indoors! I was able to run outside and watched garbage cans get launched into the building. It was also covered in that green leaf paste you only see with high end winds.

Yeah that’s part of it too. Plus plants aren’t fans of chlorine and fluorine.

I love watering too, but natural rain is much better for Vegetables in particular. Root systems are much larger horizontally then one would think. So often times just watering around the base, as most people do isn’t the best. Also natural rain over the course of many many hours soaks into the soil more efficiently. I do not know anyone who spends 12 straight hours slowly drizzling water on their plants.

Was just out working on my veggie garden and in full sun with no wind it feels hot. Crazy difference from yesterday as far as the “feel” to the day.

Lantern flys shouldn’t be killing tree of Heaven as they are their natural hosts. They evolved together in China. Tree of Heaven was planted extensively in urban areas back in the early 1900s because of its extensive resistance to pollution. Much like Norway Maple. Both trees have become extremely invasive. In my opinion all should be removed when possible. This time of year it’s easy to see just how invasive, taking a ride on local highways. All that light green growth you see are the flowers of the Norway maple. In places it outcompetes all native trees and produces pure stands. Terrible for local fauna. Both trees also aren’t adapted to our coastal wind potential. They have weak wood and end up failing.

I agree that the population there is at huge risk. I was just thinking in terms of the monsoon becoming more intense. When temps reach a certain threshold no amount of snowfall will offset the melting. The monsoon is such a complex phenomenon too. Occasionally completely failing locally. If you melt out the glaciers and then the monsoon fails in a given year/year’s that’s when the real trouble starts.

This seems rather counterintuitive to me. If one area would benefit from higher precipitation due to higher temps It would be here, as the vast majority is of monsoon origin. These mountains are so high, that they aren’t at risk of temperatures being too high for snowfall until we see something like +5c. It’s going to snow above 18,000’ for a while. Maybe this is a temporary weather phenomenon that evens out over time? Or am I missing something….

Wow, big White Ash are pretty rare this far south. Up north where they are plentiful the borer beetle has been nothing short of devastating. My uncle has a gorgeous property on 120 acres in NE Pa just south of Binghamton at 1900’ and Ash was the predominant tree. The fall foliage was spectacular. Now it’s a stick Forrest. I was up there in October and cut down 30 decent size Ash’s nearest to the house. While that was fun for me, it’s an awful situation. Im assuming you’re talking about an American Dogwood based on the rot pattern. Those too used to be very plentiful and have been dwindling over the years for various reasons.

That’s a pretty small impact except maybe locally in some suburbs that have strict planting and removal restrictions. The neighborhood I grew up in, in south Wantagh was completely tree covered in the 80s/90s. Between March 2010, Irene and Sandy we lost a tremendous amount of trees in a short time. After Sandy especially there was a panick of removals. Now there a very few trees in the entire neighborhood. Even in the wantagh woods which was known for its mature oaks and beech’s there are far, far fewer trees. Developers buy old houses on big lots, cut all the trees and build 2 McMansions. Again this is local, where I live now in Lynbrook there are still plenty of mature trees.

Pretty blah day, kind a flash back to earlier in the month after the great weekend.

I wouldn’t use absolute air temps and obviously the Park. If you add dews and use the real feel temp, it’s been plenty hot. 106 at 55 like in 1936 was more bearable then 98 and 75. I love records too, but they aren’t always accurate as to the human experience.

Back to my original example, Allison. Obviously a naked swirl at 30 North 50 East that produces a few sheared thunderstorms and an area of 35 knot winds for 12 hours isn’t worthy of a name. That same storm pre satellite wouldn’t have been noticed.

Glad I at least put in the cool weather veggies. This week looks like optimal growing conditions. Still holding off on the hot weather loving plants, like Tomatoes and annuals.

You’re totally missing the point, this isn’t about IMBY. It’s about tropical storms having the potential to cause huge monitory damages. Even name retirement. We can talk about nor Easter vs. tropical system damage potential all day in the NYC forum. They are completely different animals and pose very different damage risks.

A TD couldn’t produce the size and intensity of flooding that Allison produced. You need the lift produced by the dynamics of a deeper low pressure. Regardless, the point I’m trying to make is that some of the most damaging storms monetarily were tropical storms. Thats especially true in the North East. Dianne, Agnes, Floyd and Irene were all tropical storms in the NE all produced catastrophic damage.

Ask Texas about Tropical storm Allison.

Exactly, that was a testament to the record sea surface temps. Had we had water temps similar to the 80s you would be looking at 5-10 named.

I absolutely DO NOT want this in July it would be 100+ here right now. Some of us have to work outside…

Just got back from the beach where as expected it was chilly right on the ocean. The thermal gradient was so tight that it was 10 degrees or so warmer up on the boardwalk.

Nice, I almost went the finance route but found Econ more science like. Either way, I’m a horticulturalist now! Heading down to the beach, temp just shot up here in lynbrook.

Exactly. That’s why I think you need to combine the computing power of quantum computers with AI to get there. Just too many possibilities. As for math, yeah meteorology is a math degree. I’ll pass on desecrate math and theoratical equations. I just barely handled the math to get an economics degree.

Still requires a human element. AI isn’t even close to there yet. I’d say closer to 2050 then 2030. The real wild card is quantum computing. Currenlty waiting for the sun and heading to the beach for nice run.