CoraopolisWx
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Everything posted by CoraopolisWx
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Euro still likes us for Friday morning, with possible low end advisory amounts. The other guidance is also favorable. 2-4" is where we'll likely max out, due to the fast flow, and late amplification of the wave. -
Definitely having the other's support would be nice. Gonna be walking that fine line right through Friday morning.
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Lol. Yeah. But I do imho feel it's NAM or bust. Since our best shot at advisory level snows, would probably be dynamically driven. And the nam does better with dynamic snows.
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Upstate/Eastern New York
CoraopolisWx replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yes. Seems like the winds at the H5 level are so strong, it's not able to close off a low. Uneducated guess. Checking in your group, since our interests are aligned. -
Seems like we've been in a late spring, late Fall pattern going on 4 years now. Wet and muggy summers with warm early winters. We almost need a dry hot summer to reshuffle the whole pattern.
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Would be nice to get a closed off H5 for Friday morning, however at this point it's more of a glorified front.
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Nice clear sky tonight. Bright moon and lots of stars even here in the city.
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Something we've seen for many years, is the inability for any strong inland runners to develop south of PA. We also tend to be on the wrong side of the boundary with moisture laden overrunning systems. The three separate waves are tough to deal with.
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Lol. Same here. If I knew that band was coming I wouldn't have fallen back to sleep.
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Canadian, Euro, and GFS all have the Thursday night storm. GFS and Euro are decent tracks, but the late development dampens are snow qpf.
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Haven’t seen snow on the roads in awhile. A bit surprised.
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Came across this doing some research. Thought you folks might like it. https://books.google.com/books?id=QANPLARGXFMC&pg=PA69&lpg=PA69&dq=leap+lear+snow+storm+1984&source=bl&ots=34kFJ2Gor2&sig=ACfU3U3I88d2s1VA4biS8COoCJGlLgyy6A&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwj-2ZDCwKHnAhVRlnIEHQ-6DgkQ6AEwAHoECAwQAQ#v=onepage&q=leap lear snow storm 1984&f=false
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Reminds me of 86-92, which featured long periods without snow. Dec 1992 was the first big storm I experienced.
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Just when I thought I was out..the Euro pulled me back in. I would like that dying low more south, just to be safe.
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Snow equals views/memberships. Whether it's wxbell or all these other youtube forecasts, they know the viewer base. And if there's enough evidence to show above average snow, they're gonna push that. Unfortunately, rarely will these folks show the evidence of why winter could be another dud.
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Not sure about Jonesboro Arkansas, but we’re possibly becoming Charleston WV. Just looking at trends I don’t see winter improving. Basically the odds of becoming Charleston WV are much better than say I-80. Synoptically speaking. Despite Charleston being much further away than I-80. Sorry about possibly derailing any discussion on tonight’s flurries and wind event.
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We actually had a half way decent setup for an advisory level snow. Had this been more of a SWFE, we could have avoided that long break in the precip.
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What radar do you use ?
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Yeah, unfortunately. Maybe next time.
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Seeing how most of Ohio caved quickly to the warm air, that was going to be our ultimate fate.
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Regarding the NWS post about a possible switch back to snow, the GFS did show that possibly happening.
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There seems like a consensus is forming among the big three of at least 1-3" on the front end. Nothing great, but outside of a few rogue snow squalls, this would be the biggest event so far. Smh
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Unfortunately it has that classic CAD look, where longitude is our enemy. However like you said, it’s still a week away. Possibly the 850’s end up a few degrees colder, and the precip rates are heavier at the start. We’ll see.
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You folks definitely want the App's. Here in Pgh, CAD is the bane of our winter existence, as we constantly get flooded with warm air. Even on 2/5/2010 parts of our area had rain until 9-10 pm.
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Glad you made it home safe. This is some of the lowest visibility I can remember in a awhile.
