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CoraopolisWx

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Everything posted by CoraopolisWx

  1. Guidance has been consistent with a general 2-4” Christmas Eve. Outside of a major shift, a white Christmas is very likely.
  2. Must of had a stronger push of warm air here. There was a lot of dripping this morning. None of the snow accumulated.
  3. Guidance showing promise for Christmas eve snowfall. Maybe we can crack the 20" mark for the month next week.
  4. Definitely gives me an old school early 90's vibe, where the day after the main storm, a small disturbance would freshen the snowpack. Temps are relatively pleasant, which makes the clean up easier.
  5. Their office where the measurements are official, is down the road a bit from the Walmart up in Moon. I think the banding wasn’t quite as proficient out in Moon, as opposed to the City and points east.
  6. When the Euro held serve last night, confidence in reaching warning criteria was good. Combine that with the short term guidance this morning, along with the right conditions, 8-12" was possible.
  7. That heavy band has really set up nicely up there. Looks like the one that we had earlier, and the one in the ridges has merged over you.
  8. Kinda surprised with about 9.5" here in Carrick. Definitely a workout walking around measuring, but fun.
  9. Short term guidance still looks good. We still have a shot a double digits, if the banding can over perform this evening. The key was getting off to a good start.
  10. I think everyone is taking a breather/dinner. Tomorrow will hopefully be a fun day of nowcasting and obs. At least I am.
  11. Yeah, it seems that the trend of all the guidance provides us with at least a region wide 4-6" snowfall now. However < 10" is becoming more possible for the metro.
  12. I would say the overall feel of this storm reminds me a little bit of Jan 1996 and Jan 2016. Hopefully the Jan 1996 part carries more weight.
  13. IMHO, we are going to have a relatively small window where lift/energy and moisture are good. Efficient snow growth will be key to get off to a fast start, and with some luck, reach low end warning totals before the coastal absorbs everything.
  14. That weak 850 low tracking into Ohio and right over us while it decays is not ideal. Further south and stronger is what we need. Obviously a closed 500 low would be great, unfortunately non of the guidance is showing anything close to that at this time. I don't expect any real answers until Tuesday. But it is nice not having to wait until late January or February to track something.
  15. Seems like the OP’s have the 850’s more tightly wound. Would like to see a more elongated 850 low, and 500 low for that matter. Basically if someone else has to get 2ft for us to get a 1ft, then so be it.
  16. Yeah, especially for the Altoona/State College area that go from 2-3" to 2 ft in a short distance. Reminds me of the brutal cutoff we had Jan 2016.
  17. Not exactly the same setup, but this was an early holiday present. Early dismissal Thursday the 10th, and school closed on Friday.
  18. Elevation FTW. Had about 1.5 - 2" on the car this morning, bit of a surprise.
  19. With temps being the biggest question, specifically how quickly the column cools, the NWS outlook is reasonable. Just an OT side note, but it's kinda funny how the algorithm for these model snow maps make most of Allegheny county a giant UHI. In reality it's mostly just the valley floors, that lose a lot of snowfall accumulation. Obviously these maps are taken with a giant grain of salt, just something I've noticed the past few years.
  20. It would be nice for once to cash in early ala Dec 1974. Models showing possible troughing closer to Dec.
  21. Maybe this year we get some NS love, with a few high end advisory clippers.
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