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CoraopolisWx

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Everything posted by CoraopolisWx

  1. Short term guidance still looks good. We still have a shot a double digits, if the banding can over perform this evening. The key was getting off to a good start.
  2. I think everyone is taking a breather/dinner. Tomorrow will hopefully be a fun day of nowcasting and obs. At least I am.
  3. Yeah, it seems that the trend of all the guidance provides us with at least a region wide 4-6" snowfall now. However < 10" is becoming more possible for the metro.
  4. I would say the overall feel of this storm reminds me a little bit of Jan 1996 and Jan 2016. Hopefully the Jan 1996 part carries more weight.
  5. IMHO, we are going to have a relatively small window where lift/energy and moisture are good. Efficient snow growth will be key to get off to a fast start, and with some luck, reach low end warning totals before the coastal absorbs everything.
  6. That weak 850 low tracking into Ohio and right over us while it decays is not ideal. Further south and stronger is what we need. Obviously a closed 500 low would be great, unfortunately non of the guidance is showing anything close to that at this time. I don't expect any real answers until Tuesday. But it is nice not having to wait until late January or February to track something.
  7. Seems like the OP’s have the 850’s more tightly wound. Would like to see a more elongated 850 low, and 500 low for that matter. Basically if someone else has to get 2ft for us to get a 1ft, then so be it.
  8. Yeah, especially for the Altoona/State College area that go from 2-3" to 2 ft in a short distance. Reminds me of the brutal cutoff we had Jan 2016.
  9. Not exactly the same setup, but this was an early holiday present. Early dismissal Thursday the 10th, and school closed on Friday.
  10. Elevation FTW. Had about 1.5 - 2" on the car this morning, bit of a surprise.
  11. With temps being the biggest question, specifically how quickly the column cools, the NWS outlook is reasonable. Just an OT side note, but it's kinda funny how the algorithm for these model snow maps make most of Allegheny county a giant UHI. In reality it's mostly just the valley floors, that lose a lot of snowfall accumulation. Obviously these maps are taken with a giant grain of salt, just something I've noticed the past few years.
  12. It would be nice for once to cash in early ala Dec 1974. Models showing possible troughing closer to Dec.
  13. Came across this doing some research. Thought you folks might like it. https://books.google.com/books?id=QANPLARGXFMC&pg=PA69&lpg=PA69&dq=leap+lear+snow+storm+1984&source=bl&ots=34kFJ2Gor2&sig=ACfU3U3I88d2s1VA4biS8COoCJGlLgyy6A&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwj-2ZDCwKHnAhVRlnIEHQ-6DgkQ6AEwAHoECAwQAQ#v=onepage&q=leap lear snow storm 1984&f=false
  14. Just one of those years unfortunately. At this point it’s looking like 1962/1993 or bust.
  15. 40 years of this B.S. has unfortunately given us a large enough sample size to make that statement. An outsider may simply look at the yearly snow totals and say things aren't that bad, suck it up buttercup. And that may be partially true. However I believe the NOWData maximum monthly snow depth shows the real picture. Compare 1949-1979 and 1980-Present. The number of months with double digit snow depths 1949-1979 dwarfs the past 40 years.
  16. Missing out on that storm last weekend really took the wind out of this place. If we had gotten at least 2-4" on the front end, the overall mood would have a bit more positive. But that dry air/WAA was really dissapointing, and bit unexpected. Hopefully we can pull something off before our 6 months of summer begin.
  17. Kinda funny reading some of the posts from the Upstate NY Folks bashing the kuchera maps for showing 2', but they only got 15-18".
  18. Good day to get out and run some errands, because it appears the radar is gonna be ugly. The GFS/GFS-FV3 was insistent on a shutout, and so far it's verifying. SMH
  19. I try to keep a balanced view, and stay positive. But sometimes it feels good to let the hate flow. Lol
  20. Being the coldest snowiest location in the Ohio Valley, is like being 9-6-1 in the NFL and missing the playoffs. Smh. Lol.
  21. Maybe if the wall doesn’t get done, we can get a petition going to bulldoze the Allegheny Front and Laurels, from about State College to Deep Creek. Those whining central and eastern PA folks don’t know how good they have it living east of the Apps. Lol.
  22. Living on a SW facing hill, I tend to lose snowpack pretty quickly, especially with SW winds. But it looks like everyones snowpack got decimated this weekend.
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