jayyy

What do you think your app uses to determine hour by hour temp, precip, etc?

HoCo / MoCo may be well positioned. Far enough south for enhancement from the jet, far enough away from 95 for temps. Models are all over the place with this setup

Seeing as I’m 18 degrees above freezing, I’ll take my chances

The temp drop is serious. My buddies up in Ohio said it was mid 50s yesterday and hasn’t gotten above 24 all day today. Dews are already pretty low down this way. Temps should drop like a rock. Hope the NAM scores a coup here!

Expecting about 2” up here with some help from elevation and colder temps. Same for PSUland mappyland and clskinsland. I’m sure local 3+“ reports will pop up, but I like a general 2” for our general tier. Someone is going to see a very localized QPF max, as has been the trend all season (as Bob chill referred to above) Models have struggled to pin down that area all season long, but they appear to be honing in on the general area between CHO and Staunton this go around. We won’t know until game time. The biggest question mark for me is the immediate metros (UHI areas) How do temps fare? Do they see heavy enough returns to overcome some of the temp issues that come with a marginal setup where precip and cold are in a foot race? Biggest upside and downside potential exists in this area IMO, especially DC.

I’ll recommend making a thread for every threat going forward #GoodJuJu

1-2” locally up to 4” for the WWA up this way

Damn you gfs. Felt pretty good about a little 2” event up here til that turd just popped out. Nice event south of dc though. (Mazel tov to those who live down there, but you know how it is)

Jackpotting guys. Jackpotting

LOL! What? No way. It snows into late February and March up here. April snow isn’t impossible either. Some of our biggest snows have come late season as wavelengths shorten. Regardless, it seems like we may be tracking 1-3” area wide. Not snow tv

ABJ ! #alwaysbejackin

Jackpotted with a whole 2.5” lmao

He is lol

NAM 12k has a solid 2-4” event for my area over to clskins with a little 4-5” bullseye in VA through 10am metros see mostly white rain

00z nam about to do the damn thang

First up…. Our 00z de-NAM’ing

Alright, 18z was certainly an improvement guidance wide, but as Ji said, they always seem to be wetter than 12z and 0z runs. If 00z looks better as well, we may be in business for a nice little advisory snowfall for many. 1-2” with 3” lollies is a reasonable expectation if this goes as 18z depicted in general. Always room for improvement but I’m not banking on it.

I mean… besides the ridiculous way he draws his maps… the call isn’t half bad. 1-2” for most with 4” lollies in VA

Icon gets awfully close to blowing the storm up in time for a biggie for Boston and the cape. But… you know… it’s the icon. Not so iconic.

Not often you see most models trend our way inside 48. Let’s see if 0z at least holds serve. Improvements would of course be even better but I’m not going to get too greedy with this one.

Yep. I’d take exactly the setup it’s advertising in a heartbeat for our neck of the woods. We’d be cold enough up here to manage decent ratios too - no sloppy nonsense. Ideally, a 30-40 mph bump north but I won’t be too greedy lol

About to roll in here with a cool 0.5 - 1” area wide with a 3” bulleye over CHO

HERPDYDERP is bullish AF lol

Can we manage to get a solid advisory event out of this sucker?

The trend is undeniable across the spectrum. A general 1-3” with lollipop 4”-5” SW of DC near CHO seems likely