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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. I’ll recommend making a thread for every threat going forward #GoodJuJu
  2. Damn you gfs. Felt pretty good about a little 2” event up here til that turd just popped out. Nice event south of dc though. (Mazel tov to those who live down there, but you know how it is)
  3. LOL! What? No way. It snows into late February and March up here. April snow isn’t impossible either. Some of our biggest snows have come late season as wavelengths shorten. Regardless, it seems like we may be tracking 1-3” area wide. Not snow tv
  4. NAM 12k has a solid 2-4” event for my area over to clskins with a little 4-5” bullseye in VA through 10am metros see mostly white rain
  5. Alright, 18z was certainly an improvement guidance wide, but as Ji said, they always seem to be wetter than 12z and 0z runs. If 00z looks better as well, we may be in business for a nice little advisory snowfall for many. 1-2” with 3” lollies is a reasonable expectation if this goes as 18z depicted in general. Always room for improvement but I’m not banking on it.
  6. I mean… besides the ridiculous way he draws his maps… the call isn’t half bad. 1-2” for most with 4” lollies in VA
  7. Icon gets awfully close to blowing the storm up in time for a biggie for Boston and the cape. But… you know… it’s the icon. Not so iconic.
  8. Not often you see most models trend our way inside 48. Let’s see if 0z at least holds serve. Improvements would of course be even better but I’m not going to get too greedy with this one.
  9. Yep. I’d take exactly the setup it’s advertising in a heartbeat for our neck of the woods. We’d be cold enough up here to manage decent ratios too - no sloppy nonsense. Ideally, a 30-40 mph bump north but I won’t be too greedy lol
  10. About to roll in here with a cool 0.5 - 1” area wide with a 3” bulleye over CHO
  11. Can we manage to get a solid advisory event out of this sucker?
  12. The trend is undeniable across the spectrum. A general 1-3” with lollipop 4”-5” SW of DC near CHO seems likely
  13. Lol, the gfs was about to accidentally spit out an area wide SECS and had to reconfigure
  14. Honestly, expect up to 1” for most of MD and NoVA with best case upside 2-3” if the storms a bit juicier than progged. Best chance for that is dc south.
  15. 6z 12k nam 10:1 Obviously, it’s the 12k nam and it’s on its own island, so I wouldn’ take it too seriously. Still a decent amount of spread being only 72 hours out but the windows closing quickly for the gfs to get back to 6z yesterdays solution
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