Great storm so far for us man. Actually doing better than I thought we would. I was contemplating spending the night at my brothers in HoCo because of QPF concerns. Glad somebody reminded me that climo almost always takes the house in razor thin events.
For sure. No model had all snow for dc / Baltimore - especially to start. However, it did have the changeover happen rather quickly, so it’ll be interesting to see how this unfolds in the next hour or two
SLP taking it’s sweet time getting it’s act together off the SC coast. Actually looks a bit more strung out than it did an hour or two ago on SPC meso analysis. Still at 1008 mb. Two areas of increased lift emerging just off the coasts of OCMD and OBX
The race between heavy precip and the column cooling has commenced. All snow reports literally JUST to my W and N so I expect this mix nonsense to be a thing of the past shortly
You’re right. Fall line actually isn’t far very NW of either metro. Baltimore appears like it could flip over ever so slightly earlier but not by much once DC gets in on that heavy precip in VA
Initial p-type and OBS indicate places north of I-70 will start as snow. Downtown Baltimore should briefly begin as rain before the changeover. DC may need a few hours, however. Much warmer there than BAL
LOL! 1” in central MD. Crazy. I’m gonna go out on a limb and say that doesn’t verify. It does put a nice pink blob over my house though. Could be signaling 95 will be caught between bands
Don’t think westward extend of the precip will be a problem for our area. Precip spans from Ohio to the Atlantic Ocean and heading NNE. Looks like a nice wall of precip is headed our way. Nice batch of precip out west in WV. Now we hope for that magic to happen at 700mb as that SLP cranks up and passes our latitude
2 things... aren’t areas to your SW higher elevation? They typically flip before you if I’m not mistaken. We don’t have that type of climo here further up north.
Also... this radar is pretty spot on it appears. If you don’t flip to snow within 30 mins, I’d be shocked. You’re literally in a rain bubble. My buddy in Hollins right outside Roanoke city limits is seeing heavy snow