jayyy
-
Posts
3,726 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by jayyy
-
Are there people out there who don’t like 40” of snow? Like.... 12-18” is their “ideal storm” and 24+ is just “too much”? If so, they need to get checked out. They’ve lost their weenie way!
-
Holy shit I’ve missed you
-
if this storm comes to fruition, we all need to buy PSU a beer. — been analyzing models and breaking it all down for the rest of us day after day, run after run. Very appreciated sir.
-
Can’t ask for a much better pass than that.
-
I was gonna say! Are my tired eyes playing tricks on me?! lol! PS - panel 14 is a thing of beauty. That’s my birthday day. Lock it in.
-
Man. That was a solid EPS to end the night. Anybody else pumped for 6z? Alright. I need to sleep a little bit. Can’t wait to track some more with y’all in a few hours. T minus 30 hours until snow!!!!
-
Ohhhh, wow. That’s promising to see. Member 26 anybody? Bueller?
-
I’m so sleepy but I want to see more models runs that make me feel better hahaha
-
Show us you will
-
Analogs only give you a basic framework to work from. Nothing more
-
Let’s see what 6z has to say. The ole 6z//.. Notorious for depicting QPF laden bombs and clown maps within 36 hr, just to pull back at 12z. Man. Wish we had a LITTLE more consistency in solutions, but it’s hard when the models are trying to handle part 2 of a storm when part 1 is nowhere near the area and there’s so many moving parts associated with this setup. Miller b’s are tricky. They can’t bite us to the NE... but when they pan out....it’s a thing of perfection.
-
Also think we’re still plenty far away to still be able to use EPS / Euro and the Canadian to analyze the part 2 threat.
-
Perhaps euro is having trouble with all of the lifting / frontogenesis going on to the NE and precip to the W that it’s having convective issues in between. If someone told me that if I said yes, the surface, 500 and h5 setup would pan out exactly as tonight’s 0z euro depicts, I’d say yes in a heartbeat and chance the fact that the dry slot is placed too far west / too prominent. That upper air setup = MECS 9/10 times.
-
At least you could give the D (chord) whenever needed @Ji
-
Only way we make that up is if the low transfers / deepens early and south, and tucks with a solid h5 passage. That’s a lot of risk to bank on though.
-
#fulltuck im baffled though. Placement, h5/h7... they all look great. God I hope that dry slot is wrong. Without that, it’s a region wide burial.
-
Show us
-
Slight but noticeable.
-
Philly to Trenton is going to get ham-boned.
-
Always good to have in your camp. Never good if it’s the only one in your camp, however
-
Dark sky forecast calls for 3-6” Sunday and 4-7” Monday. Wouldn’t that be nice!
-
Right under that Rockville-Columbia deathband!!!
-
Baltimore city sees 1.25” + of QPF. Nuts
-
Shut up. This really you?!
-
Guess we’ll see how the RGEM pans out versus reality. It’s been the most consistent.
