jayyy

SLP appears to be moving almost due East. A HINGE of a NE component to the movement. Surface looks great so far.

1.5”+ of QPF for Baltimore more points NE. WOW

27 union bridge 31 Ellicott city

Looking at dews, there’s plenty of room for the column and surface temps to cool when precip finally makes it’s way into the area. gahhhh - so excited.

9 am Sunday? Damn!

31 degrees

Gonna be tough given the primary location to get a transfer that far south.

Little do you know, that’s actually sleet from a warm air bubble intrusion at 900

We need the low to get captured early and in the right spot for this to pan out.

Interesting! Not a bad call either for that area. Lots of models show the jack there

It’s been bad in general this winter. Like. Awful.

Think it’s interesting that all offices are going with a uniform 6-12” from central MD through NYC. Seems like a smart call given the dynamics and uncertainty. Someone’s getting 2 feet. And somebody 50 miles away is getting 10”. It’s game time ladies.

Oh... my god.

Labatt blue tastes like liquid grass. Went to college in Buffalo. We drank lots of Canadian beer

Who had HERPDYDERP radar post on their bingo card

That’s how it goes. Stronger primary that hangs onto its energy longer = worse for coastal and floods our layers with warm air. Medium sized primary dying a nice death as it hits e KY/ OH to a strong coastal is the key - then #tuckbabytuck

Lift and ratios and stuff mang. feeling really good about this one.

That’s all of Baltimore proper my dude. A ton of us.

Looks like about 1.75-2.25 for most of us from the naked eye. Can’t wait to see accumulated precip

This is the look right here!!!!

How long have you been at this to not know round 2 is not in NAMs wheelhouse at all Ji lol. Relax young Jedi. 0z tonight is much more important for the NAM

Not too close to use the EPS for the coastal. For part 1, yes.

From @MillvilleWx’s lips to my ears. Really digging todays trends for our area @psuhoffman

You have no idea how refreshing it is to have your reasoned, sound input back in here Bob. This is the same old game folks. If the storm does what it needs to do as far as evolution is concerned and it tucks, we’re in great shape. Obsessing over the the location of the CCB 36+ hours out is going to drive you insane and get ya nowhere. We’ve been dealt a great poker hand in a Nina winter , let’s see if the dealer flips over the river card that gives us the straight flush.

Craziest part about that RGEM run is we’ve never been terribly far away on models from having the low get captured and transfer earlier / further south as its showing here. The players have always been on the field for a biggie, as PSU keeps saying, but they just never really aligned on any model until now. Slight differences in the timing of the transfer, the track of the primary, ridging out west, the vort diving south on the back end, the track of the 700mb low, etc have left us within an insane range of solutions. Everything finally lined up on the Rgem and that’s the final product. Of course we shouldn’t expect these totals, but it’s been insanely consistent, and if others models trend in its direction... look out.