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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    We are definitely going to get more of a Niña pattern for the second half of the month. With the eps look, I definitely could see that typical Niña snow gradient. We will have cold around with chances. I just hope we can keep the southeast ridge at bay, selfishly for my location. I would much rather be in Sne then nj for this lol.
  2. Allsnow
    Yeah, eps was more of a -epo pattern with overrunning/quick hitting stuff. The GEFS have the -epo along with -+pna which would provide a higher ceiling. Hopefully we get a compromise between the two.
  3. Allsnow
    I would watch the Sunday into Tuesday timeframe. Lots of energy diving into the trough with cold around.
  4. Allsnow
    The vortex is positioned nicely to get cold down here, unlike last year.
  5. Allsnow
  6. Allsnow
    January 2019? I believe we had a southern slider that dropped 6-12 in the mid Atlantic
  7. Allsnow
    That’s because the models were figuring out where the low pressures were. It was only cold underneath the cutoffs
  8. Allsnow
    Yeah. Winter has been out west the last two years. A Niña like pattern will do that. Their has not been much winter outside of Maine in the east. -pna/dateline ridge/ strong vortex is a recipe for cutters
  9. Allsnow
    Eps continues to look great after the 5th. We even get some poleward ridging with a hint of a -nao. So about that Niña December? Lol
  10. Allsnow
    That’s a overrunning pattern imo. A full blown Niña look would have a ridge in the Aleutians. We also have a hint of a -nao with a split flow. This is the Niña composite for December p5
  11. Allsnow
    We missed one storm last December because surface temps were between 33-34.
  12. Allsnow
    I would need a new shovel by now if we received all the virtual snow the models had the last two years. IMO that means nothing
  13. Allsnow
    Still not signs of a Niña pattern or southeast ridge on the ensembles
  14. Allsnow
    This is not a bad look at the eps. This snap shot Is after the ridge retrogrades west. It’s more of a overrunning threat with some high lat blocking. It’s definitely not the GEFS but not a Niña look yet.
  15. Allsnow
    The first two systems never had a chance for us. Hopefully we get a threat in 5th-10th timeframe with a better airmass
  16. Allsnow
    So you’re saying no snowfall for the entire month of December?
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  20. Allsnow
    Nice post. Overall I’m more positive for this winter then I was a month ago. I don’t think 95/96 is walking into the door but 11/12 isn’t either
  21. Allsnow
    The Niña will not make it to strong status and it looks like we are near peak
  22. Allsnow
    Yep. Niña look comes back week 4. Week 3 looks great with pna and -nao.
  23. Allsnow
    Lol. That’s good
  24. Allsnow
    Yeah, that’s at the very end of the run. I just would have liked to see some higher hgts in Ak. We lost the Aleutian low. But as @ORH_wxman said the pna is nice before the end of the run
  25. Allsnow
    Meh
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