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Allsnow

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  1. Allsnow
    Weeklies have the cold shot and snow potential December 13-20th. It then goes full on Niña with cold west/warm East. Around January 15th (la la la land) it has -nao, -epo, and cold moving east. Looks like a niño pattern in the middle of January
  2. Allsnow
    And next weekend, 12-13th, we probably make a run at 60 degrees as the pac reshuffles
  3. Allsnow
    I’m not going to turn a blind eye to it! The end of the ensembles are look ugly. The vortex is moving into Ak and pac flow starts enveloping the country We still have a opportunity before that but as of now that’s where we Stand
  4. Allsnow
    The ensembles did a good job of predicting the ridge in west and trough in the east this weekend. It’s just small details that we won’t know until closer in. This weekend we have a nice 50/50 Feature that wasn’t their earlier.
  5. Allsnow
    Keeping the vortex weak is important because it allows us a mechanism to get cold without the help of the mjo. If the mjo (which I expect this winter) remains in unfavorable phases it is very important the vortex stay weak. Last winter strong mjo and vortex was a death sentence. Im not referring to a SSW, just a weak enough vortex for strat hits.
  6. Allsnow
  7. Allsnow
    I hope all is well @DT_WXRISK. Great to hear from you.
  8. Allsnow
    Some really nice tweets from Simon Lee today about the vortex. The second half of December will be the key to how the rest of winter ends up. In 2019 we had some Weakening of the vortex (cold November and early December) then it went crazy at the end of the month. This was basically the nail in the coffin last winter. It’s very important not to see it gain strength at the end of December.
  9. Allsnow
    As the pac reshuffles we are probably going to warm next weekend. The eps went towards the gefs today with dumping energy into the west. It doesn’t break off a piece into the trough in the east. IMO the 11th into the 20th will be our best shot for snow. We will get a cold dump into the east because of the wave 1 hit on the strat. We will loose the Aleutian low so this will allow lower hgts into Canada.
  10. Allsnow
    Interesting battle going on in the 6-10 day. GEFS want to torch us and eps/geps reinforce the artic air
  11. Allsnow
    Nice look with higher hgts nosing down into Greenland
  12. Allsnow
    That’s a legit cold shot coming with the wave 1 strat hit. We should have shots at snow between the 10th-20th. Looks like overrunning stuff and clippers
  13. Allsnow
    We are not going to sustain a ridge out there for weeks on end. Need to make the most of our opportunities when we have it. A ridge kissing the west coast up into the artic works also. Which is what the ensembles have.
  14. Allsnow
    Initially it will dump there as the ridge rolls forward and pac reshuffles. Show those maps pass that hour lol
  15. Allsnow
  16. Allsnow
    I’m talking about the wave 1 hit on the strat. It’s throwing a punch at the SPV and getting it off the pole. This will open the artic flood gates at a piece of the TPV goes into Hudson Bay
  17. Allsnow
  18. Allsnow
  19. Allsnow
    All the ensembles now bring a piece of the TPV into Canada. This is a result of the strat hit. Looks cold mid month with no Niña pattern in sight. Look at -epo on all three of Them
  20. Allsnow
  21. Allsnow
    What a look!
  22. Allsnow
    Eps 990 south of LI. Idv have some big hits for northeast PA up into UNY
  23. Allsnow
    Watch this costal take a perfect snow track and be rain for the coast. The airmass just blows
  24. Allsnow
    Wow.
  25. Allsnow
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