Jump to content

Allsnow

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    23,603

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    Final call KNYC 2 KEWR 3 KLGA 1.5 KJFK .9 KBDR 4
  2. Allsnow
  3. Allsnow
    Ord 2.5 at 9pm
  4. Allsnow
    How much in Naperville?
  5. Allsnow
    Yep. What I wanted to see
  6. Allsnow
    Yeah, I think nyc and immediate burbs have to 7-8pm before the change. Euro cut back on qpf this run which ticked accumulations down. I would like to see the nam loose that warm layer tonight at 00z.
  7. Allsnow
    Hdrp
  8. Allsnow
    18z euro
  9. Allsnow
  10. Allsnow
    The nam has not shown the higher amounts like the Globals. The other short range guidance has bought into the global ideas but not the nams. I will be interested to see if they cave tonight or continue to forecast that warm layer.
  11. Allsnow
  12. Allsnow
  13. Allsnow
    They do. It’s been extended south
  14. Allsnow
    We just can’t shake the lower hgts in Ak. What once looked like a sustainable cold stretch next week has morphed into a few cold days. Coldest part of winter(especially further north then me) we don’t need a ice box but we are above normal after Thursday. Eps hinting at a swfe last week of January as snow mean creeps up.
  15. Allsnow
    That map was updated at 400pm and advisories were extended to somerset and middlesex counties.
  16. Allsnow
  17. Allsnow
  18. Allsnow
    Not expecting a repeat but February 2008 had a nice over performing swfe. Forecast was for 2-4 which ended up being 6-9.
  19. Allsnow
    -PDO means more of a -pna correct? Which has been another red flag lately, the inability for the pac to corporate. I was reading that warm waters south of ak might not Be that good for us anymore. It might be a magnet for low pressures. I believe 09–10/02-03 didn’t have those warm pool there. The lag effect has been noticeable in p8 for DJF. Question @bluewave @Isotherm why no lag effect in p8 during November? Shorter wave lengths?
  20. Allsnow
  21. Allsnow
    Euro ticks colder and snowier for the metro.
  22. Allsnow
    Agree. This low level cold is no joke thanks to the 1044 high in place. This is your typical swfe climo. Driscoll bridge will be another good dividing line
  23. Allsnow
    And reading the post by @Isotherm any help we get will be pac/strat related come mid February.
  24. Allsnow
    The mjo the last two years has been incredibly frustrating. All we do well with it is amplitude in the warm phases. And when we do get favorable phases (ex feb 2019 and January 2020) we don’t get the response we are expecting. For some reason the mjo in cold phases during November has worked better lol. Admittedly, I didn’t see how bad the pv was going to hurt us this winter. Once it continued to strengthen and couple with the atmosphere it was lights out.
  25. Allsnow
    I think it’s picking up on a kelvin wave in p6. This is why the rmm plots are decaying in 7 then heading to 6. Most recently as of today, those plots don’t enter 6 anymore and are staying in cod. I think (this is my opinion) you will make it to p8 to start February then decay in io.
×
×
  • Create New...