bluewave

Warmest October on record for most of our local stations with LGA tied for warmest.

EWR...1...NYC...1...LGA...1...JFK...2...BDR...1...ISP...1

That area is the high pressure record holder for the the US set on 12-24-83. I just remember how cold it was here. 

1 hour ago, Dakota said:

I don't know about you; but I'd say most of it has been luck, i.e. random chance.

Remember 1976-77...as cold as ice...and very paltry snow amounts around here.

Or even December 1989...which I think was unusually cold...but practically snowless.

Day to day excellence is absolutely meaningless.  One must succeed only when it counts.

Just an exceptional era of blocking since 2000 both in the North Atlantic and Pacific sectors. The record SST warmth has also helped to provide copious moisture and energy for our winter storms which was lacking in earlier era winters.

50 minutes ago, Dakota said:

That 78.5" of snow was squeezed out of just 9.85" of precipitation from December 1 - March 31.

0.5" of the snow did  fall in November 2004; for purposes of precision.

Since Long Island usually sees only 25 to maybe 30 percent of their winter precip in the form of snow (in an average year); to reach 80% was pretty amazing.

 

Maximization of snowfall potential has been a running theme during the 2000's. JFK only had 40 days with below normal temperatures the last two winters with 72.3" of snow. 

3 hours ago, Dakota said:

Here's a *really* good one:

Snowfall 2004-05:

Brookhaven / Upton: 78.5"

JFK: 36.8"

The other really interesting contrast that winter was with the January temperatures. NYC had the 7th warmest first half of January followed by 4th coldest 2nd half.

52 minutes ago, Dakota said:

Thinking back on all those debates I had with BW over GW; and factoring in the crazy hot anomalies the NY area has seen since Spring 2015 (as I keep abreast of the NYC weather even out here)...the gentleman may very well have had a point well taken.

That March snow was a big disappointment for LI...but good N&W of the city...that must have been a heartbreaker cause the maps looked good the day before. 

I didn't fully re-locate until August; but I was back and forth at least 3 times prior; as I discovered the selling of a house is a difficult endeavor.

Thank you for kindly receiving Me.

It's great to hear from you again. I hope you enjoy your new home in such a gorgeous natural open space part of the country. No shortage of big temperature and weather swings out there. Should be an interesting learning experience getting acclimated to the different type of climate zone out there.

http://www.weather.gov/unr/bhco

MJO 5-7 are the strongest phases for WPAC typhoon development. So LAN's RI is no surprise given the recent record MJO 5 for October.

Looks like the Black Hills area will live up to its reputation for big temperature swings this week. A welcome back to the board to our friend Dakota.

RAPID CITY      
 KRAP   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE  10/21/2017  0000 UTC                       
 FHR  24| 36  48| 60  72| 84  96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192      
 SAT  21| SUN 22| MON 23| TUE 24| WED 25| THU 26| FRI 27| SAT 28 CLIMO
 X/N  61| 30  73| 41  63| 31  66| 39  72| 36  48| 24  52| 30  58 31 56

5 years after Sandy and some Long Beach residents are still not back in their homes yet.

http://www.fios1news.com/longisland/local-hurricane-sandy-long-beach-recovery-5-years-later-oct-13-2017#.WeklDChM4lI

Very rare to see 100+ degree heat for SOCAL in late October.

6 hours ago, Rjay said:

Idk how I've never seen this video but wow.

@bluewave

@LongBeachSurfFreak

 

 

Yeah, Biloxi had 22 feet of storm surge with Katrina. The closest the Northeast has come to that was 17 feet with the the 38 hurricane in Rhode Island.

29 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

the 2015/16 el nino set the baseline higher. whenever we get another summer 2010 pattern we're going to blow those records out of the water 

Yeah, it's only a matter of time before either EWR or LGA has the first 80 degree average summer.

Check out how big the margin was in Miami for the new record number of 80 degree minimums. I guess this may make some of the LGA area posters jealous.

September finished just below 5 million sq km near the long term trend line. Or about 1 million sq km below 2006 which was the last summer with such a strong polar vortex over Arctic.

Strongest Arctic summer polar vortex since 2006

37 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said:

Yeah I remember now, that was an amazing winter with amazing snowpack for almost 7 weeks if I'm not mistaken 

Record warmth in January before the February blizzard. 

24 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

this happened with the coldest start to the month in 100 years

Several stations had their warmest 2nd half of September on record by 2-3 degrees.

13 hours ago, Rjay said:

Oct 13th

Congrats!

September 2017 was another top 10 warmest month around the area.

EWR...10...LGA...8...JFK...7...BDR...8...ISP...4

Jose provided some great swells for the surfers in Lido Beach.

8 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Unless I am reading this wrong, I don't see any drought over Northern NJ. Again, most of the Summer was wet out this way. The dry spell has only lasted a few weeks so far.

The last time we had a decent wet pattern here in September was way back in 2011. Pretty impressive dry streak the last several Septembers. The lack of major summer heat in places like Long Island prevented the dry conditions from getting worse than they were this summer. But NNJ did much better in the rainfall dept than Long Island this summer.