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Everything posted by bluewave
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You are correct. This is the first time that JFK reached 90° at 8am in June. So they could reach 100° before noon if the sea breeze can hold off. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=153&network=NY_ASOS&zstation=JFK&month=jun&sday=0624&eday=1231&var=max_tmpf&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png
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The HRRR is the most aggressive in suppressing the sea breeze allowing JFK to reach 100°. The other guidance is just a few miles north stalling along the Belt Parkway to Southern State. Somebody just north of sea breeze with downslope compressional warming will probably go 102°-104°. Maybe a peak somewhere of 105° from Newark to Central Queens and perhaps NW Nassau.
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It will be a race at JFK today to see if they can reach 100° before the sea breeze. The record ridge is so strong that the Bermuda high pressure is building much further north into Canada. So it leaves a little weakness in the ridge near our area that allows a sea breeze south of the Belt Parkway and the Southern State on Western LI.
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The extension of the record Aleutian Ridge closer to Japan has actually slowed the start of the rainy season there with the record heat.
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Pretty impressive for so far north this early in the season to tie an all-time high. ...AN ALL-TIME RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE TIED AND A DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORD SET AT PLATTSBURGH NY... AN ALL TIME RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 101 DEGREES WAS TIED AT PLATTSBURGH NY YESTERDAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 101 DEGREES SET ON AUGUST 1ST AND 2ND IN 1975 AND AUGUST 5TH IN 1955.
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It seems to have lingered from the winter and spring with the record westerly winds that caused all the upwelling. But the current cool spot is much smaller than it was. Though the local SSTs are still a bit below average for this time of year.
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Shorter term guidance showing more of a sea breeze tomorrow south of the Belt and Southern State Parkways .So it’s possible that JFK only makes it to 98-99° with 102° to 104° just north near Corona, Queens. Someone in the area could get very close to 105° where the best compressional warming occurs.
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They beat the record that was just set last year. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 0239 PM EDT MON JUN 23 2025 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT ALLENTOWN PA... AS OF 230 PM, THE TEMPERATURE AT THE LEHIGH VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT HAS REACHED 97 DEGREES SO FAR TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 96 DEGREES SET IN 2024. THIS REPORT WILL BE UPDATED AGAIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR THE PHILADELPHIA AREA DATE BACK TO 1922. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 0235 PM EDT MON JUN 23 2025 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT MOUNT POCONO PA... AS OF 230 PM, THE TEMPERATURE AT THE POCONO MOUNTAINS REGIONAL AIRPORT NEAR MOUNT POCONO PA HAS REACHED 91 DEGREES. THIS BREAKS THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 90 DEGREES SET IN 1908. THIS IS ALSO THE FIRST 90 DEGREE OR HIGHER TEMPERATURE IN THE MOUNT POCONO AREA IN 13 YEARS, WHEN THE HIGH WAS 90 DEGREES ON JULY 19, 2013. THIS REPORT WILL BE UPDATED AGAIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE RECORDS AT MOUNT POCONO PA DATE BACK TO 1901.
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MPO reached 90° which is just off the all-time June high of 92°.
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First time SMQ ever recorded a 110°+ heat index in June and has even risen to 115° in the last few minutes. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=155&network=NJ_ASOS&zstation=SMQ&var=max_feel&w=all&threshold=100&hour=12&sdate=0101&edate=1231&month=jun&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KSMQ&hours=72 Jun 23, 12:05 pm 97 79 57 115
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Only at the international airport which is locally cooler due to breezes off the widest part of the Delaware River. Monthly Data for July 2024 for Mount Holly NJ NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. PA PHILADELPHIA FRANKLIN INSTITUTE COOP 101 PA NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA AIRPORT WBAN 100 NJ HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 100 DE DOVER COOP 99 PA NORRISTOWN COOP 99 PA PHOENIXVILLE 1 E COOP 99 NJ SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 99 NJ PENNSAUKEN 1N COOP 99 PA DOYLESTOWN AIRPORT WBAN 99 MD STEVENSVILLE 2SW COOP 99 NJ SALEM COOP 98 PA HERITAGE FIELD AIRPORT WBAN 98 PA PHILADELPHIA INTL AP WBAN 98 Data for January 1, 2021 through December 31, 2021 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. PA PHILADELPHIA FRANKLIN INSTITUTE COOP 100 Data for January 1, 2018 through December 31, 2018 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. PA PHILADELPHIA FRANKLIN INSTITUTE COOP 101 NJ ATSION COOP 101 PA PHOENIXVILLE 1 E COOP 100 PA NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA AIRPORT WBAN 100 NJ HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 100 NJ FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 100
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It’s forecast was much cooler in the low to mid 80s at 9am near JFK.
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The interesting thing is that the 500mb record heights emerged prior to any SST signal. So once the SSTs below reach a certain level a feedback process probably kicks in perpetuating the record ridge persistence even further. But it would be interesting to know which specific area of the planet warmed past a certain threshold leading to the emergence of the ridge before the SST lagged response. My guess the initial 500mb Rossby Wave train impulse began somewhere closer to the tropics. Perhaps the Indio Pacific warm pool. But there could also be an interplay between the Atlantic and Pacific at work.
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Both 2011 and 2021 had 10”+ flooding rainfall events later in the summer. So we’ll see if this monsoon-like rainfall pattern repeats again later this summer. Those 2 last Niña summers were defined by record rains following record heat. 2021 Monthly Data for August 2021 for Upton NY NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Total Precipitation NY BROOKLYN 3.1 NW CoCoRaHS 11.85 NJ RINGWOOD 3.0 SSE CoCoRaHS 11.38 NJ WEST MILFORD TWP 2.5 SSE CoCoRaHS 10.90 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 10.32 NJ HARRISON COOP 10.24 Monthly Data for July 2021 for Upton NY NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Total Precipitation NY PORT WASHINGTON 0.8 N CoCoRaHS 14.76 CT NORTHFORD 0.8 SW CoCoRaHS 12.54 CT DARIEN 3.6 N CoCoRaHS 12.06 CT DARIEN 2.4 NW CoCoRaHS 11.43 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 11.09 CT STRATFORD 0.9 W CoCoRaHS 11.04 CT WESTPORT 2.5 ENE CoCoRaHS 11.01 CT NORWALK 2.9 NNW CoCoRaHS 10.98 CT NORWALK 1.4 ENE CoCoRaHS 10.75 CT DARIEN 1.8 ENE CoCoRaHS 10.71 NY ALBERTSON 0.2 SSE CoCoRaHS 10.68 CT STAMFORD 4.2 S CoCoRaHS 10.62 CT DURHAM 2.2 SSW CoCoRaHS 10.58 NY QUEENS 3.7 N CoCoRaHS 10.54 CT NEW CANAAN 1.9 ENE CoCoRaHS 10.48 NJ LINDEN 2.2 NW CoCoRaHS 10.32 CT WEST HAVEN 0.8 W CoCoRaHS 10.29 CT REDDING 1.4 E CoCoRaHS 10.25 CT MIDDLEFIELD 0.6 SE CoCoRaHS 10.24 NY LOCUST VALLEY 0.3 E CoCoRaHS 10.13 Monthly Data for August 2011 for Upton NY NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Total Precipitation NY FLORAL PARK 0.4 W CoCoRaHS 24.34 NY MONROE 1.7 SE CoCoRaHS 20.60 NJ WEST MILFORD TWP 3.2 NE CoCoRaHS 19.95 NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 19.76 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 18.95 NJ CRANFORD COOP 18.93 NJ WESTFIELD 1.0 NE CoCoRaHS 18.85 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 18.79 NJ HARRISON COOP 18.58 NJ WOODCLIFF LAKE COOP 18.25 NJ LITTLE FALLS TWP 0.5 WNW CoCoRaHS 17.91 NY STATEN ISLAND 1.4 SE CoCoRaHS 17.85 NJ NEW PROVIDENCE 0.8 ESE CoCoRaHS 17.73 NJ PALISADES PARK 0.2 WNW CoCoRaHS 17.70 NY WEST POINT COOP 17.64 NJ NEW MILFORD COOP 17.58 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 17.32 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 17.24 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 17.10 NJ RINGWOOD COOP 17.07 NJ TENAFLY 1.3 W CoCoRaHS 16.90 NJ RIVER VALE TWP 1.5 S CoCoRaHS 16.79 NJ SADDLE BROOK TWP 0.6 E CoCoRaHS 16.75 NY BEACON 4.2 ESE CoCoRaHS 16.68 NY BRONX COOP 16.42 NJ WEST MILFORD TWP 2.5 SSE CoCoRaHS 16.34 NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 16.17 NY MINEOLA COOP 16.01 NJ RINGWOOD 3.0 SSE CoCoRaHS 15.98 NY WANTAGH CEDAR CREEK COOP 15.91 NJ SADDLE BROOK TWP 0.3 NNE CoCoRaHS 15.82 NJ HAWTHORNE 0.4 S CoCoRaHS 15.67 NY WARWICK 3.2 WNW CoCoRaHS 15.65 NY YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 1W COOP 15.59 NJ HAWTHORNE 1.0 SSE CoCoRaHS 15.43 NY WALDEN 1 ESE COOP 15.36 NY COLD SPRING 8.1 NE CoCoRaHS 15.03 NJ WANAQUE 0.6 S CoCoRaHS 14.93 NJ KEARNY 1.7 NW CoCoRaHS 14.87 NJ OAKLAND 0.2 WNW CoCoRaHS 14.83 CT BROOKFIELD 3.3 SSE CoCoRaHS 14.70 NJ PATERSON 2.0 W CoCoRaHS 14.67 NJ DEMAREST 0.6 NNW CoCoRaHS 14.50 NJ OAKLAND 0.9 SSE CoCoRaHS 14.46 NJ GLEN ROCK 0.7 SSE CoCoRaHS 14.31 NY NEW ROCHELLE 1.3 S CoCoRaHS 14.26 NY YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 0.6 SW CoCoRaHS 14.20 NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 13.97 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 13.79 CT PUTNAM LAKE COOP 13.68 NY MOUNT SINAI COOP 13.64 NY MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP WBAN 13.52 CT DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 13.41 NJ WAYNE TWP 0.8 SSW CoCoRaHS 12.91 NY SETAUKET STRONG COOP 12.87 NY CENTERPORT COOP 12.54 NY SOUTH SALEM 2.1 NW CoCoRaHS 12.52 CT PORTLAND 0.9 S CoCoRaHS 12.29 CT DARIEN 3.6 N CoCoRaHS 12.16 NY CARMEL HAMLET 5.8 N CoCoRaHS 12.14 NY LEVITTOWN 0.2 E CoCoRaHS 12.12 NJ MIDLAND PARK COOP 12.10 CT MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 12.09 CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 12.05 NJ WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM COOP 11.70 CT MILFORD 2.9 ESE CoCoRaHS 11.60 NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 11.58 NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 11.37 CT STEVENSON DAM COOP 11.00 NY BAITING HOLLOW COOP 10.72 NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 10.61 NY NORTHPORT 1.6 NNE CoCoRaHS 10.48 CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 10.04 NY EAST MORICHES 0.6 WNW CoCoRaHS 10.01