Bubbler86

LOL. I am always just careful to not offend unless I want to. And Sauss...he told me that if I lose a bet to him he has two levels of bets. Daytime/in the sand beer bets where $10 gets a bucket of beer....and evening bets where each beer is $10 a bottle. Speaking of beer prices if you ever want to feel entitled and well to do by paying as much for beer as you possibly can, go to a World of Beer location and order anything that is slightly rare or high ABV. They make you fill out a credit app before bringing it to your table :-).

@Cashtown_Coop, not sure where your course is but there sure is a lot of Adams county rain right now. Some 3" or more add on totals maybe?

Some storms starting to stir near Paw Paw.

You guys are like the little Grand Rapids. A feeder into the main deal in Harrisburg. Harrisburg finds rain when NWS Zones say Sunny and hot.

LOL. And I am not really trying to prove anyone wrong just following the models and radar. So don't take my posts as countering yours. I just cannot believe the HRRR would be THAT wrong this close in. I have also said the south LSV is a risk to miss including me. But I think the grand rapids of the LSV, Harrisburg, is going to get whacked.

We should know in 30-60 min if the HRRR is out to lunch. This area should light up and march NE ward.

I am taking radar ob's (first line) with model info (second line hammers Lanco just after rush hour) to come to my opinion but definitely not out of the woods in LSV.

West Central Cumberland county getting whacked again.

If anything the stuff in Birdland may lead to a double whammy for Lanco as this is just the first line still.

I am usually a bit of a downer when it comes to Severe potential but I am guessing we see that second line develop into something that will affect most of the LSV. South is the riskiest to miss.

Here is the HRRR when going through LSV and then a few hours later. Still something but not as congealed and impressive.

Both the HRRR and 3K sort of do the Tamaqua split...seriously. With nightfall and loss of heating the line degrades as it leaves the LSV heading NE. Still some rain and storms just not as squally looking.

Latest HRRR gives a boost to more dramatic results in S/W LSV.

Well, Nut....if Canderson had written this I would be thinking he is pushing moderation boundaries again but not sure about you.

LOL. I remember that. I did have a wind gust into the mid 20's and there are some leaves down! Not wearing a hood though. I will rebuild.

Guess I do not get this to say this too often anymore so better get it in now...just slapped by an outer band of <Tropical System Name>. Everything is wet with some leaves down.

I was just going to mention how tropical it feels albeit not nearly as warm as Florida :-). Radar hallucinations show the spinning moving a bit more East of North than forecast.

Thanks, we have had some light to moderate on and off all morning. We are over 1" for the 3 days now. Not much over 1" though.

Who is Bill Clinton?

Nadocast @nadocast Follow Tornado probabilities via machine learning post-processing of public weather simulations. Probabilities on the 10Z/14Z runs are uncalibrated (and hot).

I gave ridden the 3K all through Fred and not going to stop now...new making line around or near dusk for Northern LSV and north.

Nothing like having a windy butte right in the centre of things. (sorry, lol)

That is the amount of points the Steelers have scored without Haskins under center.

And if SS hangs on, especially for two people even if second is getting 1/2 of first, that can be 40K a year easily...when of that age.

You are their best customer. If you get in any trouble they will bail you out. But yes I think if Health Insurance were free (not true, just dreaming) and one has a mortgage paid off, one could live on a lot less money than people realize.