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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. That single dot in the LSV is Canderson's house.
  2. Starting to wonder how much more rain we get down here. The squall line's look fairly skinny on the Meso's (this far south). You are in a better spot than me...North is good today for rain. HRRR drops a bomb up there.
  3. Its a great accomplishment and a stress reliever. I too am not speaking from experience as the Florida recession of 2007 set me back 10 years. But will be glad when I get there some day.
  4. It would be quite the newsmaker. People crowding into shelters, who has been vaxxed and who has not, etc....
  5. I am in the presence of royalty getting pillow like totals.
  6. Some gaudy overnight totals. 3" just Northwest of the Burg. We only got .4 here so so about .75 since Mon. heavier totals were over your area as shown and your ob reported.
  7. Nam 3k is really emphasizing the overnight rains for the lsv. Some areas near an inch before sunrise.
  8. Thanks but the dirt spots will unfortunately stick around for a bit unless I plant more seed and even that will take a summer to catch on. Canderson is shaking his fist and rum and coke at me right now and yelling clover. But we did have a lot of snow this winter. Helped avoid any well issues this summer.
  9. Yea, that is the mow twice a week area. The yards in our areas are damaged for years.
  10. All in from Cashtown. But I just want rain (only 1/3" so far the last few days) so make it Adams.
  11. I keep trying to watch my words as technically the Pwats and moisture that will be conducive to what could be multiple afternoon lines of storms really is 'Fred Related' so I keep saying Fred's shield. And except for the initial punch that hits the LSV first thing tomorrow, the shield gets no where near anyone in the eastern half of the state, until in the Northern areas, on most prog's right now. Fred still shows that stop and jump east look up there but much later than yesterday.
  12. I think for the Eastern 1/2 or maybe Eastern 2/3 of the state, the flood watch is for torrential downpours with convective lines vs. being in the way of Fred's actual shield.
  13. Paw Paw to Pillow should be on the watch for this possibility. 3K also misses LSV with the rain shield but like he HRRR does bring a decent shot of rain through tomorrow just after dawn (more favoring Western 1/2 of LSV).
  14. 18Z HRRR continues trumpeting most of the front shield associated with Fred will be west of the LSV but the risk for more than one line of convection is very present.
  15. I am just trying to quell the heat wave talk as I do not see it modeled. Maybe someone is forecasting it which is good if so...
  16. 12Z Euro is even less warm than the GFS for the 80's or low 90's period next week.
  17. It's a little confusing in the verbiage but its actually for tomorrow @ 5AM through 2AM Thursday. Their verbiage says late tonight but the text says 5AM tomorrow.
  18. Radar is telling me to look to tomorrow. EC has backed off its blocking/transfer scenario and now joined the other models in taking the SLP up into West Central PA. Totals below though for most in the LSV at over 1", a good 1/3 of that comes in the next 24 hours with random convection so general a 1" rainfall from Fred for many in the LSV with a dry slot in the S/E of the area. This does continue to leave the severe possibilities in play vs a simple tropical rainer.
  19. I was thinking tomorrow is the best possibility for widespread heavy rain. Did not see much modeled today. And if the recent trends are right it may not even be all that wide spread vs. a squall line like effect.
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