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Bubbler86

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  1. Bubbler86
    Thanks but the dirt spots will unfortunately stick around for a bit unless I plant more seed and even that will take a summer to catch on. Canderson is shaking his fist and rum and coke at me right now and yelling clover. But we did have a lot of snow this winter. Helped avoid any well issues this summer.
  2. Bubbler86
    Good catch. The put a HWO out for it.
  3. Bubbler86
    Yea, that is the mow twice a week area. The yards in our areas are damaged for years.
  4. Bubbler86
    All in from Cashtown. But I just want rain (only 1/3" so far the last few days) so make it Adams.
  5. Bubbler86
    I keep trying to watch my words as technically the Pwats and moisture that will be conducive to what could be multiple afternoon lines of storms really is 'Fred Related' so I keep saying Fred's shield. And except for the initial punch that hits the LSV first thing tomorrow, the shield gets no where near anyone in the eastern half of the state, until in the Northern areas, on most prog's right now. Fred still shows that stop and jump east look up there but much later than yesterday.
  6. Bubbler86
    I think for the Eastern 1/2 or maybe Eastern 2/3 of the state, the flood watch is for torrential downpours with convective lines vs. being in the way of Fred's actual shield.
  7. Bubbler86
    That line would strafe Palmyra as well.
  8. Bubbler86
    Paw Paw to Pillow should be on the watch for this possibility. 3K also misses LSV with the rain shield but like he HRRR does bring a decent shot of rain through tomorrow just after dawn (more favoring Western 1/2 of LSV).
  9. Bubbler86
    Tim Tebow seems to have freed up his schedule.
  10. Bubbler86
    18Z HRRR continues trumpeting most of the front shield associated with Fred will be west of the LSV but the risk for more than one line of convection is very present.
  11. Bubbler86
    I am just trying to quell the heat wave talk as I do not see it modeled. Maybe someone is forecasting it which is good if so...
  12. Bubbler86
    12Z Euro is even less warm than the GFS for the 80's or low 90's period next week.
  13. Bubbler86
    It's a little confusing in the verbiage but its actually for tomorrow @ 5AM through 2AM Thursday. Their verbiage says late tonight but the text says 5AM tomorrow.
  14. Bubbler86
    Radar is telling me to look to tomorrow. EC has backed off its blocking/transfer scenario and now joined the other models in taking the SLP up into West Central PA. Totals below though for most in the LSV at over 1", a good 1/3 of that comes in the next 24 hours with random convection so general a 1" rainfall from Fred for many in the LSV with a dry slot in the S/E of the area. This does continue to leave the severe possibilities in play vs a simple tropical rainer.
  15. Bubbler86
    I was thinking tomorrow is the best possibility for widespread heavy rain. Did not see much modeled today. And if the recent trends are right it may not even be all that wide spread vs. a squall line like effect.
  16. Bubbler86
    MDT did not even get close last week by this definition. MDT had one day. LOL. Whether you go by this or not, the definition of two days is way too short IMO. The World Meteorological Society, for example, says it’s when five days in a row have a daily high temperature that’s hotter than the normal high by 9 degrees F.
  17. Bubbler86
    Yea, the use of the word Heat Wave is taking on its own meaning this summer. Getting into the low 90's in August is just a warm day. LOL. As mentioned last week did not qualify as a heat wave using Trainings find.
  18. Bubbler86
    My declaration was based on Summer ending Aug 31 no matter what. :-). I am sure we have some 80's coming in Sept (at least). I actually do not drink Pumpkin Beer but its arrival heralds that of fall.
  19. Bubbler86
    Well Summer is over in 13-14 days either way regardless of name...GFS has 2-3 low 90's days. Summer is basically over in the 'Ville now. Pumpkins Beers are out and aplenty.
  20. Bubbler86
    I was going to say that the name mentioned in that post might just be the final punt to heat being short lived. I would close out summer at MDT with only one heat wave (using the definition Training found) at the end of June.
  21. Bubbler86
    Snow now counts in 21-22. :-)
  22. Bubbler86
    We bagged a good 1/3".
  23. Bubbler86
    I think we see some deamplification of that line soon but you, I, Cash, etc...may still get the downpours first. The rain is what matters to me :-).
  24. Bubbler86
    No need to try and hope for days off school anymore.
  25. Bubbler86
    The the 3-5" WAA snow knowing the 12-24" 3 days later could fizzle :-).
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