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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    Tim Tebow seems to have freed up his schedule.
  2. Bubbler86
    18Z HRRR continues trumpeting most of the front shield associated with Fred will be west of the LSV but the risk for more than one line of convection is very present.
  3. Bubbler86
    I am just trying to quell the heat wave talk as I do not see it modeled. Maybe someone is forecasting it which is good if so...
  4. Bubbler86
    12Z Euro is even less warm than the GFS for the 80's or low 90's period next week.
  5. Bubbler86
    It's a little confusing in the verbiage but its actually for tomorrow @ 5AM through 2AM Thursday. Their verbiage says late tonight but the text says 5AM tomorrow.
  6. Bubbler86
    Radar is telling me to look to tomorrow. EC has backed off its blocking/transfer scenario and now joined the other models in taking the SLP up into West Central PA. Totals below though for most in the LSV at over 1", a good 1/3 of that comes in the next 24 hours with random convection so general a 1" rainfall from Fred for many in the LSV with a dry slot in the S/E of the area. This does continue to leave the severe possibilities in play vs a simple tropical rainer.
  7. Bubbler86
    I was thinking tomorrow is the best possibility for widespread heavy rain. Did not see much modeled today. And if the recent trends are right it may not even be all that wide spread vs. a squall line like effect.
  8. Bubbler86
    MDT did not even get close last week by this definition. MDT had one day. LOL. Whether you go by this or not, the definition of two days is way too short IMO. The World Meteorological Society, for example, says it’s when five days in a row have a daily high temperature that’s hotter than the normal high by 9 degrees F.
  9. Bubbler86
    Yea, the use of the word Heat Wave is taking on its own meaning this summer. Getting into the low 90's in August is just a warm day. LOL. As mentioned last week did not qualify as a heat wave using Trainings find.
  10. Bubbler86
    My declaration was based on Summer ending Aug 31 no matter what. :-). I am sure we have some 80's coming in Sept (at least). I actually do not drink Pumpkin Beer but its arrival heralds that of fall.
  11. Bubbler86
    Well Summer is over in 13-14 days either way regardless of name...GFS has 2-3 low 90's days. Summer is basically over in the 'Ville now. Pumpkins Beers are out and aplenty.
  12. Bubbler86
    I was going to say that the name mentioned in that post might just be the final punt to heat being short lived. I would close out summer at MDT with only one heat wave (using the definition Training found) at the end of June.
  13. Bubbler86
    Snow now counts in 21-22. :-)
  14. Bubbler86
    We bagged a good 1/3".
  15. Bubbler86
    I think we see some deamplification of that line soon but you, I, Cash, etc...may still get the downpours first. The rain is what matters to me :-).
  16. Bubbler86
    No need to try and hope for days off school anymore.
  17. Bubbler86
    The the 3-5" WAA snow knowing the 12-24" 3 days later could fizzle :-).
  18. Bubbler86
    Models keep splitting qpf around me/to my west so I will take it if I can get it but not a foregone conclusion yet.
  19. Bubbler86
    18Z HRRR looks like Fred is going to get to WV then block and move off to the east. Very winter storm like for stuff we have seen the last few years. 3K Nam still wants to make this a Pitt flooder.
  20. Bubbler86
    Laces Out :-)
  21. Bubbler86
    Your boy the EC belts you.
  22. Bubbler86
    How much for Palmyra?
  23. Bubbler86
    It is very much dependent on Fred though. It's drought on if Fred slides down his dinosaur more to our west. That 8.4 up there is a 2 even without Fred.
  24. Bubbler86
    Or maybe you are bubbler since we both like stats and posted at the same exact time? AND we are both rain starved. Fred goes much farther East than the GFS (on the euro).
  25. Bubbler86
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