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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. MDT did not even get close last week by this definition. MDT had one day. LOL. Whether you go by this or not, the definition of two days is way too short IMO. The World Meteorological Society, for example, says it’s when five days in a row have a daily high temperature that’s hotter than the normal high by 9 degrees F.
  2. Yea, the use of the word Heat Wave is taking on its own meaning this summer. Getting into the low 90's in August is just a warm day. LOL. As mentioned last week did not qualify as a heat wave using Trainings find.
  3. My declaration was based on Summer ending Aug 31 no matter what. :-). I am sure we have some 80's coming in Sept (at least). I actually do not drink Pumpkin Beer but its arrival heralds that of fall.
  4. Well Summer is over in 13-14 days either way regardless of name...GFS has 2-3 low 90's days. Summer is basically over in the 'Ville now. Pumpkins Beers are out and aplenty.
  5. I was going to say that the name mentioned in that post might just be the final punt to heat being short lived. I would close out summer at MDT with only one heat wave (using the definition Training found) at the end of June.
  6. I think we see some deamplification of that line soon but you, I, Cash, etc...may still get the downpours first. The rain is what matters to me :-).
  7. No need to try and hope for days off school anymore.
  8. The the 3-5" WAA snow knowing the 12-24" 3 days later could fizzle :-).
  9. Models keep splitting qpf around me/to my west so I will take it if I can get it but not a foregone conclusion yet.
  10. 18Z HRRR looks like Fred is going to get to WV then block and move off to the east. Very winter storm like for stuff we have seen the last few years. 3K Nam still wants to make this a Pitt flooder.
  11. It is very much dependent on Fred though. It's drought on if Fred slides down his dinosaur more to our west. That 8.4 up there is a 2 even without Fred.
  12. Or maybe you are bubbler since we both like stats and posted at the same exact time? AND we are both rain starved. Fred goes much farther East than the GFS (on the euro).
  13. I agree that the chances of this turning into an extreme drought (for those under drought designations) is pretty slim. Cashtown's figures for Adams county are pretty bad though. He has a negative 4" departure over the last 30 days.
  14. If seasonal trends mean anything, the West PA and North East LSV will win no matter what.
  15. Yea the wood was to the west of the LSV for the most part. Pitt rains. GFS is not overly wet either but still a soaking for most. Most of Fred well to the west.
  16. 12Z 3K still lays the wood on your guys then the low is blocked or transferred East across the state with torrential downpours for some. Wed would be a very wet day for most of PA.
  17. Yes, thanks. None of the models go anywhere near that but a storm could do the trick. I am fairly far east though (parts of Cumberland county are west of me) so may not get much Fred action as of now.
  18. We could be on track for one this month. The "high lows" will hurt it this week though.
  19. I call it stuff that pushes MDT to a below average month high temp wise.
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