I am taking radar ob's (first line) with model info (second line hammers Lanco just after rush hour) to come to my opinion but definitely not out of the woods in LSV.
I am usually a bit of a downer when it comes to Severe potential but I am guessing we see that second line develop into something that will affect most of the LSV. South is the riskiest to miss.
Both the HRRR and 3K sort of do the Tamaqua split...seriously. With nightfall and loss of heating the line degrades as it leaves the LSV heading NE. Still some rain and storms just not as squally looking.
Guess I do not get this to say this too often anymore so better get it in now...just slapped by an outer band of <Tropical System Name>. Everything is wet with some leaves down.
I was just going to mention how tropical it feels albeit not nearly as warm as Florida :-). Radar hallucinations show the spinning moving a bit more East of North than forecast.
Nadocast
@nadocast
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Tornado probabilities via machine learning post-processing of public weather simulations. Probabilities on the 10Z/14Z runs are uncalibrated (and hot).
You are their best customer. If you get in any trouble they will bail you out. But yes I think if Health Insurance were free (not true, just dreaming) and one has a mortgage paid off, one could live on a lot less money than people realize.
Starting to wonder how much more rain we get down here. The squall line's look fairly skinny on the Meso's (this far south). You are in a better spot than me...North is good today for rain. HRRR drops a bomb up there.
Its a great accomplishment and a stress reliever. I too am not speaking from experience as the Florida recession of 2007 set me back 10 years. But will be glad when I get there some day.