Bubbler86

I think anyone from OC, MD up to SNE should be on high alert. Several models are now bringing it into SNJ or CNJ. I remember Hurricane Charley, in 2004, was modeled and "destined" to send Tampa Bay back to the stone ages and over a matter of 4 hours, he said "Yoink" and took a hard right and destroyed Punta Gorda.

Most of the Eastern half of the state gets some rain from Henri now with it being that close to the coast. Showery stuff....the thing is, Henri is just now starting to intensify. How many years and times do we have to go through and remember that our models are terrible at forecasting intensification. If it was a Cat 3 or Cat 4 in 12-18 hours, no one should be surprised. A stronger storm could tighten up the rain field and put less of PA in the wet....a sloppy storm and we could be seeing bands back to Ohio.

The 3K does have several smallish lines of storm coming at the LSV from the S/E tomorrow and tomorrow night.

I feel a lot better this AM being in a wet environment for once. People in Buffalo get most upset when you point out that the majority of their snow is fake.

Maybe someone saw the QB's face mask and yelled at him to take it off and it went from there. :-)

There are still several EPS and GEFS members that bring it straight into NJ. LOL.

He got into a fight at a scrimmage game and was tossed off the field. How many chances does the guy get? Cannot even make it to game 1 without already being on release watch.

Good stuff. Maybe we are getting dust devils in PA now? With the wind direction I saw from my basement on Wed I am sure we had something rotating near us (probably elevated) at one point.

Antonio was already tossed from a practice game so he is working his way toward the goal.

Its going to be quite the affair. The crazy weather events march on. A stalling TS over SNE or LI.

Which is more likely? You get to 12 straight days of 80, Antonio Brown is still employed by the end of Sept, or Mike Lindell shows real data?

Oh wow. Having rain keep you short is just statistical fodder though. So I know its not optimal for what you want. Yesterday it got to 86 here and it felt every bit of it. DP's in the upper 60's.

Where do you stand now? I think you have a shot to break it late next week though the next "tropical system" after Henri (which the CMC shoves up the Chessie albeit weak) will play a role in what happens in 7 days.

Somewhere in Fredrick county, earlier this year, they had at least two instances of excessive rain in one episode (like last night). But we all know that does the grass little good long term as it runs off. The drought decisions from yesterday kept the same areas (generally) in D0 though this was before the line of storms Wednesday.

Thanks. I think last nights ULL was greatly underestimated by the general population due to Fred weariness. People did not believe there was actually another potent situation coming for them. And now Henri threatens to put the kibosh on weekend plans for a lot.

I bet you get a few days where it does not hit 80 but that is just a guess. Even if due to clouds/rain. But yea no true fall weather on the docket yet.

Parts of Frederick exceeded expectations greatly if you saw the map I posted. 3-4". Frederick has had several episodes like that this year.

Typical late summer temps, right? I truly cannot complain about 80's in late August/early Sept. GFS has 3 days in the low 90's at MDT next week. Euro only one and CMC none. Let the pumpkin beers and fall festival planning (outdoor only, please) continue. :-). I guess the Dp's are more of the downer. Not fall feeling yet.

Looks like most of the LSV got to take part in the rain....nice hit here at a little over .6". Drought relief wise, this was better than anything Fred related.

Yep....defintely for a fairly rainy day Saturday but maybe even worse.

Could be some more FFW's flying in East PA.

Watching Henri keep moving west (progs).

In theory models would be rendered useless, right? They are not sentient, to allow them to understand the change, and are programmed for certain parameters. King NoGaps?

First rain ever....ouch. https://www.cnn.com/2021/08/19/weather/greenland-summit-rain-climate-change/index.html