Bubbler86

Parts of Frederick exceeded expectations greatly if you saw the map I posted. 3-4". Frederick has had several episodes like that this year.

Typical late summer temps, right? I truly cannot complain about 80's in late August/early Sept. GFS has 3 days in the low 90's at MDT next week. Euro only one and CMC none. Let the pumpkin beers and fall festival planning (outdoor only, please) continue. :-). I guess the Dp's are more of the downer. Not fall feeling yet.

Looks like most of the LSV got to take part in the rain....nice hit here at a little over .6". Drought relief wise, this was better than anything Fred related.

Yep....defintely for a fairly rainy day Saturday but maybe even worse.

Could be some more FFW's flying in East PA.

Watching Henri keep moving west (progs).

In theory models would be rendered useless, right? They are not sentient, to allow them to understand the change, and are programmed for certain parameters. King NoGaps?

First rain ever....ouch. https://www.cnn.com/2021/08/19/weather/greenland-summit-rain-climate-change/index.html

Aaaannnnd, pillow is on the board for today. Tonight looks like a losetoa winner night.

FFW's one county off the line to our south.

Its pretty much all happening over in the NE Sub Thread, Henri topic.

Euro is sort of a tweener of the other two but more leaning toward the CMC. Did not look at upper levels as it is on its own with the handling of Henri which could have implications.

Following up on this, the Euro is even more North with tonight's weak system and basically throws several hours of light rain well into PA now.

I was not familiar but found these threads with some discussion which suggests some extra hardware or software is needed at this point (as of May). The one thread devolves into a discussion about rum. https://community.weatherflow.com/t/cwop-sharing-data/6823 https://community.weatherflow.com/t/cwop-integration/5709

CMC did not do so well on that last stretch of heat but as of this AM the Euro had a similar depiction. The GFS was too hot here last week at this range. 5-10 degrees too high showing multiple 100+ days. But it still did best of the 3 I think. But this is atmospheric differences as well. Ironically the CMC sets up the greater heat just off to your left. Pitt is higher than MDT at 18Z a week from today.

12Z GFS and CMC still quite different with apparent weather next week. Good 10 degrees different in surface temps. GFS has the SER while do not see much of it on the CMC vs, a cut off trough in the SE.

This is probably the place to get that info. They show Wunderground under Third Party Apps. https://help.weatherflow.com/hc/en-us/articles/115005229547-Integrations Weather Underground Tempest can send data directly to a Weather Underground PWS, here's how to set up a data feed... Log in to your account on WeatherUnderground.com Go to My Profile > My Weather Stations > Click button ‘Add new PWS’ Gather your new Weather Underground PWS ID and station key Sign in to your Tempest account on the web: https://tempestwx.com/ Then go to settings > stations > select your station > Public Data > Link Weather Underground > enter your WU PWS station ID and key > (optional) toggle rain > Link It can take 30 minutes to an hour before WU starts publishing your station data on their websites and apps.

I meant T as in Trace but not making a predict. Lots of on and off showers the next few days starting tomorrow (modeled). Especially East.

The HRRR is riding the hot hand for the LSV and he (or she) says you get a T. That sun is s till a little toasty for my liking today. Not bad in the shade.

@Cashtown_Coop, Nam likes you for the winner tonight. 3K is similar,

12Z Nam. Notice the MB is fairly high so just a TS but was probably a Cat 1 on LI landfall. Lancaster county and east picks up decent rain Sat night in the moisture stream coming from the south.

It would be a second round if I win a bet on the parlay :-).

Yikes. This just ratcheted up a bit. I think Nut owes me a beer (evening beer, not a beach beer in a bucket) so I would only be up for taking that beer and parlaying with my own beer as my wager on the next bet. A little to no lose situation. That Nut Beer is like an extra draft pick in my back pocket right now. Do I use it and risk coming away with nothing or trade it for more gains?

Right, its hard to put the odd's on a statewide basis. I agree that there is a much better chance Pitt hits 93 over the next 30-45 days vs MDT hitting 99. If I am manipulating the data correctly, there have only been 5 recordings of 100 or above in PA this summer and all at COOP stations so no official stations. Seems fairly low but not sure if it is. Ship hit it two days.

Rain for south MD border counties tonight? Scatted convection everywhere today?