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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    Or maybe you are bubbler since we both like stats and posted at the same exact time? AND we are both rain starved. Fred goes much farther East than the GFS (on the euro).
  2. Bubbler86
  3. Bubbler86
    I agree that the chances of this turning into an extreme drought (for those under drought designations) is pretty slim. Cashtown's figures for Adams county are pretty bad though. He has a negative 4" departure over the last 30 days.
  4. Bubbler86
    If seasonal trends mean anything, the West PA and North East LSV will win no matter what.
  5. Bubbler86
    Yea the wood was to the west of the LSV for the most part. Pitt rains. GFS is not overly wet either but still a soaking for most. Most of Fred well to the west.
  6. Bubbler86
    12Z 3K still lays the wood on your guys then the low is blocked or transferred East across the state with torrential downpours for some. Wed would be a very wet day for most of PA.
  7. Bubbler86
    Yes, thanks. None of the models go anywhere near that but a storm could do the trick. I am fairly far east though (parts of Cumberland county are west of me) so may not get much Fred action as of now.
  8. Bubbler86
    We could be on track for one this month. The "high lows" will hurt it this week though.
  9. Bubbler86
    I call it stuff that pushes MDT to a below average month high temp wise.
  10. Bubbler86
    Either way you all felt invincible the whole time due to the subject of the visit. Double digit abv or stop wasting my time.
  11. Bubbler86
    A nice soaking heavy mist/light rain the last 30 mins over here. Not hard enough to get under the trees but giving the grass that is still alive a drink.
  12. Bubbler86
    Just N95 it the whole time.
  13. Bubbler86
    Just don't land in Florida. :-)
  14. Bubbler86
    Yea, its not going to be a comfortable cool down. GFS does have 2-3 90 degree days in the last half of the month now. Nothing much above normal though. I am pretty much done with summer. Much of my travel plans for fall have been scuppered due to the new "issues" but I am going to enjoy it locally one way or another.
  15. Bubbler86
    I am hopeful but know its not here until I am seeing it. Yesterday's 12K NAM has that low just at the spot that I could get dry slotted and still does today. I think almost all of PA has a chance of flash flooding today and tomorrow. Maybe not far S/E.
  16. Bubbler86
    It very well could have had the center and heavy qpf transferring at 66 like 12K. But a lot of the stuff in Central PA on the 3K is tonight like you mentioned.
  17. Bubbler86
    I was looking at the 3K, should have specified. 12K seems to have a transfer scenario after 60...to the area you specified.
  18. Bubbler86
    AM models miss most of the LSV with Significant moisture this week....only the Northwest corner gets over 1/2". Hoping for a bit of an easterly movement on that plus some will be convection so could be more random. NAM made a West Jump with Fred. More of a Pitt flooder.
  19. Bubbler86
    Thanks and yes hopefully. I know it's not something that is modeled well but when I saw that wpc map I thought I would glance at the Nam and was surprised it was so dry outside the potential Fred moisture. The nam drills the lsv with a tropical deluge late. Defintely going to be a sticky week it appears.
  20. Bubbler86
    I have not looked many models recently so just checked out the nam. It's actually not all that wet until Fred comes by so seems a lot of these rains are predicted on Fred.
  21. Bubbler86
    Maybe next year. LOL. Grass is dormant where I could not save it. Summer is winding down in the 'Ville.
  22. Bubbler86
    That sounds like music to our ears.
  23. Bubbler86
    Yep. And no days above 90 at MDT or PIT. Only gets close at MDT two days. Fairly high lows though. Our hottest day last week was 94. Think MDT made 97 but they are reporting 96 as their high.
  24. Bubbler86
    Gone at 12Z but the theme of the GFS is the dog days are done. Too early to lock that in though.
  25. Bubbler86
    I mowed parts of my lawn for the first time since early June...in anticipation of a rainy week. Fingers crossed.
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