The Euro is being bashed pretty badly as it has been very, very bad with Henri. Just not it's cup of tea. The Hey Mon Hurricane Model continues the West Trend and brings it into Central NJ. Cat 1. Was into LI at 6Z.
Track is one thing but that storm on the 3K would have an incredible amount of pent up energy in the storm surge even though it would be down to a high end Cat two at landing. It very well may cut LI in half with surge. Not going to happen but still.
We have been discussing that this AM. Eastern Pa is definitely "in play" for flooding rains right now. May not transpire but would not be a total surprise. The QPF map you posted is an extreme surprise though. LOL. The SNE thread is doing all they can to ignore it.
Absolutely. Climate change can make the water colder and air colder (for a while), more 'Canes, more of anything really...or less of anything. But your posts frequently require a bit of discernment so I wanted to double check!
I guess that is my point. It seems that no matter what we think we know about them, they do what they want and frequently defy what we consider to be logic but what is actually ignorance. But its current location is still well within the Gulf Stream so its not in the Caribbean but its still getting fuel.
Kuch or No Kuch....road temps....did new data get ingested at 18Z....PBP....its all just around the corner. LIke I mentioend a few days ago, Summer is done in the 'VIlle. Does not matter what temps get to at any point, fall is setting up camp.