Bubbler86

Most of 12Z says to keep your hoses humming, false alarm on rain next week.

Using MDT's norms and breaking it down to rounded off daily precip expectations, we have been about 3" behind normal over the last 30-35 days. Were it not for the tropical storm influence in early August we would be looking at D2's (and maybe 3) over a lot of LSV as to drought indexes.

It is pretty crispy here. Mowing is off for at least another 7-10 days.

Well, we now have rain on the 3 major Globals that is 6 days out...a step in the right direction breaking the 7-day barrier finally with rain arriving in South PA next Tue afternoon. Still showing a piece of energy forming into a sub-tropical or weak tropical low off the SE Coast, closing off (especially on the GFS) and wandering slowly across the Southeast and Eastern Mid-Western states. It is coming in a bit far south on the Euro for all of PA to benefit. CMC and GFS have several areas of lower pressure pushing more rain north than the EC.

Pretty incredible graphic here. GFS not any better for us but better to our south. CMC holds some hop 8 days out.

Op's are showing little signs of relenting with the ridge...outside the chance of a sub-tropical system pulling far enough West in ~ 8-10 days. Precip has been 7 days or more days out for 4-5 days now. Sort of like watching winter storms on the GFS that stay 10 days out.

Some ginormous temps difference this AM with SOME (not all) Valleys scoring the win after some decoupling. Temps 58-64 some places while some valleys are in the mid to upper 40's.

The driest Sept in MDT history is .65 in 1986. Driest month all together is .02 in October 1924. MDT has .16 for the month right now with a good chance to be going into the final week to 10 days with a shot at a new record for the month. Of interest, the .65 record for September is the second highest low point for any month behind .78 in July 1955. Every other month has at least one below .65.

41 here. Some upper 30's north of Harrisburg. May be a touch of frost in some valleys as many people are at or just above their DP.

Down to 52 already. Headed to 30's? Just brought in some of our tender plants.

Period.

Yea, every lawyer I have dealt with is 15 min even if just reading a 2-sentence email. My issue is I type a lot (a stunner!) so my retainers bled quickly.

That is the funny part about your view and my view of Hanover. I was in Owings Mills last weekend and thought the traffic was better than Hanover. Yes, I made it out of Owings Mills safely. LOL. This post will only take you 1 min to read but I am sure you will bill for 15!

Sorry, I was not debating your post. Just that we have a dry week ahead of us probably and I am not one to assume...but it does not look good for the next 6-7.

Every Global Op is dry for the next 7 days as they have been for quite some time....hard to bet against it being dry for a while.

I beat them a lot of nights except when there is a strong SW influence banking against the mountain or very calm nights mid-winter. It got to 39 in Southern Cumberland County last night (near Pine Grove Furnace.) When no SW influence, Pillow and I seem to be close a lot of nights. I think he said he was 41 or 42. #Mountainliving

Weather is pretty but qpf is not. 41 this AM.

Nooner. Light rain and a mid fall like 57.

Let's not go overboard! Watering back on by tue! Still just 1.2" since Aug 9th. That is a LOT below normal. I could have skipped watering this AM though.

It's a Rainer. Under modeled over here. Away from the house but seems over .3 now.

It was the NWS IT staff running the campaign (for Thursday.)

62 and 2 hours of watering this Am in the books.

It was a digital issue. I was in the climate section for the CTP area and changed the date below to 2024-09 and it brought up the details for grand rapids. Did not notice until after I had already posted it.

MDT bagged 1/4" of rain yesterday? And it got to 86 there? Only got to 75 here. For the most part this week end warm up has not really been too warm. Only 66 here right now. (Just realized it says Grand Rapids but it is MDT's chart when I select MDT from the Past Weather section. Some 0's and 1's are messed up)

Is this the topic to discuss the Great Fall 2024 drought?