Bubbler86

In the same parking area as south Hanover bowl. Not bad but small portions.

Eb nooners....Jacquelines Bakery in Hanover. A warm 82.

74

OPs have been vacillating between keeping the ridge too strong vs. the sub trop low attacking it. Right now, attacking is the overwhelming winner. We get 1"+ and the hoses are done for the season (at least for grass.). This is the earliest I have stopped mowing since coming back in 2018. 4/5 of the yard is sleeping for winter at this point. The water I am putting on it is the keep it alive as even asleep, it needs water 1-2 times a week until real hibernation when freezes start.

56 for a low this AM. Icon had been one of the driest so a good sign. Overnight runs still show Tue afternoon as the hope. If this comes through there were some 250 hour plus GFS runs that showed a similar outcome. Possibly your ensembles as well though I did not look at them myself.

Mow 18...the final full mow of the year, is in the books. The great fall drought of 2024 has put most of the grass to sleep. The new/good mower is away until next spring. Any mowing or leaf chopping moving forward is done by the old mower aka the yard pig. Only 18 mows...crazy.

Last 4 runs of the "on the 0 and 12" EC shows a good depiction of the issues with the pig ridge letting rain in here next week. It keeps gyrating between a miss to the south or just catching some of us. A real winter preview of model watching. Here is 0Z yesterday through 12Z today.

After approaching 90 yesterday, it is only 66 here right now.

It was really Northern Franklin up around 1000-1500 feet.

Makes the fact that it hit 90 + in Franklin County yesterday even more consequential.

Up to 87 here. A lot of upper 80's and even one 90 in North Franklin County. We are the frying pan for the day...stealing it from the HIA.

Some very small/light showers popping up around the area. Up to 84 now. MDT's BN streak seems destined to fall today. CMC and GFS back to starting some rain for southern PA later on Tue.

81 near noon. Warmest day in a long time on tap over here. 85-90 seems possible. Elevation is warmer today. MDT just 75.

The models have been rainy 7-10 days out for 7-10 days now. This AM, still 6-7 days out. A surprisingly warm 75 here already. Going to be a warm one. I just laid my first crap emotion on that map!

Most of 12Z says to keep your hoses humming, false alarm on rain next week.

Using MDT's norms and breaking it down to rounded off daily precip expectations, we have been about 3" behind normal over the last 30-35 days. Were it not for the tropical storm influence in early August we would be looking at D2's (and maybe 3) over a lot of LSV as to drought indexes.

It is pretty crispy here. Mowing is off for at least another 7-10 days.

Well, we now have rain on the 3 major Globals that is 6 days out...a step in the right direction breaking the 7-day barrier finally with rain arriving in South PA next Tue afternoon. Still showing a piece of energy forming into a sub-tropical or weak tropical low off the SE Coast, closing off (especially on the GFS) and wandering slowly across the Southeast and Eastern Mid-Western states. It is coming in a bit far south on the Euro for all of PA to benefit. CMC and GFS have several areas of lower pressure pushing more rain north than the EC.

Pretty incredible graphic here. GFS not any better for us but better to our south. CMC holds some hop 8 days out.

Op's are showing little signs of relenting with the ridge...outside the chance of a sub-tropical system pulling far enough West in ~ 8-10 days. Precip has been 7 days or more days out for 4-5 days now. Sort of like watching winter storms on the GFS that stay 10 days out.

Some ginormous temps difference this AM with SOME (not all) Valleys scoring the win after some decoupling. Temps 58-64 some places while some valleys are in the mid to upper 40's.

The driest Sept in MDT history is .65 in 1986. Driest month all together is .02 in October 1924. MDT has .16 for the month right now with a good chance to be going into the final week to 10 days with a shot at a new record for the month. Of interest, the .65 record for September is the second highest low point for any month behind .78 in July 1955. Every other month has at least one below .65.

41 here. Some upper 30's north of Harrisburg. May be a touch of frost in some valleys as many people are at or just above their DP.

Down to 52 already. Headed to 30's? Just brought in some of our tender plants.