Bubbler86

Cowboys make a lot of games close so people will keep paying to watch them. They have not won anything important since you and I were in our 30's and 40's.

I am pushing 2020 Drought levels at this point. Not quite there yet but looking at a ~4" deficit just in the last 6 weeks.

Radar looked solid over Mt Joyish area but one never knows. .75 is stocked though IMO.

That was a quick trip. Safe travels. Your rain gauge should be stocked full when you get home.

I think this was a case of some "cry wolf" syndrome as when these derecho type events show up on models, they are often overstated. This time it came through very much as modeled.

The approach of the left exit region of a relatively strong upper level jet on Saturday will combine with moderately high sfc dewpoints in the low to mid 60s (with corresponding PWAT of around 1-1.25 inches) to spark an area of showers/scattered embedded TSRA that could bring localized damaging straight-line wind gusts and hail, mainly in the late afternoon/early evening hours across much of Central PA and the Susq Valleys per clustering/mean of high res models.

Around .25" here and about 1.5" since August 9th. Short term models did well with the 2-3" lollipops in Adams and York County. MDT picked up 2.2" and is no longer in competition for one of the driest Sept's in the record books.

Mesos have a second line of storms and rain early AM tomorrow. That is the show for 1-3" (yes 3) totals.

72 at top of kings gap park. 78 bottom of the hill.

It is amazingly peaceful.

1.5 hours of ninja watering in the books. Going to miss the peacefulness when it finally rains or cold takes over.

The worry is that AI is running it.

Chine Syndrome was a decent movie. 'Don't worry baby, that radiation ain't got bother you when you are with big Mitch." The Netflix Almost Documentary Fukushima is a good watch. it is called "The Days."

Everything is so cyclical. 10-15 years ago, no one would have dreamed of opening it and now they are opening it to power MS Data centers when companies are starting to make some movement back to bringing their IT on premise again. If I lived within a certain range, I indeed would be a little wary.

They lowered my zones some but still a little gung ho. .20-.5" , higher in storms.

My NWS zone has .75-1.25" possible tomorrow. That is gung ho. The approach of the left exit region of a relatively strong upper level jet on Saturday will combine with moderately high sfc dewpoints in the low to mid 60s (with corresponding PWAT of around 1-1.25 inches) to spark an area of showers/scattered embedded TSRA that could bring localized damaging straight-line wind gusts and hail, mainly in the late afternoon/early evening hours across much of Central PA and the Susq Valleys per clustering/mean of high res models.

You are one of the cooler temps around your hood. 90 bagger on there though I suspect that is too warm...87 I believe though. CXY got to 87 or 88.

Just hit 80 here. MDT may make mid 80's today.

Yea, though there are still plenty of days in the lows 80's on the GFS and CMC MR and LR so may not be frost on the early pumpkin yet.

He stated that he cannot spare a drop. The Great Fall Drought of 2024 has hammered him too

Some progs are just an all-out rainy weekend starting afternoon Saturday through all of Sunday....as the LSV gets into the periphery of the influence from the coastal low. Other are more convection based. Fingers crossed our dry spell ends this weekend. MDT has been on a heater of late with 7 of the last 8 days AN and the current monthly average has dipped down to just -1/1 BN after the chilly start to the month. Still only .16 of qpf for the month. Only 1.21" here since August 9th which I believe makes this the second driest period for my area since the drought of 2020.

Yep, got to 87 here. Someone posted this Am today would be the last day in the 80's. GFS has low to mid 80's tomorrow and Sat.

It is interaction from the system earlier this week with a wave and front. Interesting to keep an eye on. Some Progs are a most of two days rain out.

A rainy late Sat/early Sunday on 12Z runs.