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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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I do not see one meso that breaks 90 at MDT tomorrow and the zone is 90. Would not bet against 90 but 94/95 would be a major surprise. MDT has seemed to not want to get to 90 recently. During this streak of now 19 straight days below 90, 3 days seemed prime to make a run (today being one) and the therm just got stuck between 86 and 88. Actually a couple of the lesser meso's do not break 90/91 on Wed either.
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Actually I did spend an hour outside this AM but will skip it for a few days now.
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Danny Jansen played for both teams in the suddenly scuffling Red Sox/Blue Jays double header today. An historical first.
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Ended up around .15 giving us about .45 since August 9th. Some areas of Adams county scored .5-1".
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A good chunk of Franklin being lit up.
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EB nooners....considerable, high cloudiness and 78. Rain forming in western parts of the area.
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Latest HRRR keeps today's rain in far Western LSV and N/W from there.
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61 for the low this AM. If the rain misses here this afternoon, the 15th and final mow of the summer is on the slate. IF MDT can avoid 90 today that will be 20 straight days 89 or under. A nice relief after the previous talk of record level 90's for summer. MDT would need 5 out of the final 6 days to hit 90 just to crack the top 10 now. Right now they stand at 15th.
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MDT could only struggle to 86 today and a struggle it was as most of the day was spent below that. If that high holds up as fact they should break their BN streak as the low was only one below normal while the high was 2 AN. Surprisingly close call today after it looked like today would be more to the warmer side earlier. High of 83 at Rou. Incredible streak of BN temps.
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54 this Am
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Santander
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Looks like MDT made 80. It is a good late Aug day (weather wise) when we are talking about whether MDT can sneak in an 80. 76 here.
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MDT is probably going to break their no 80's streak today. Normal high today is 84. Today may be the 6th straight day under 80 at Rou. 74 right now.
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71 late nooners.
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Let's find him a flight on Breezy from Lanco.
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Here is Sept 1992 to present. A very wet look.
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Definitely some drier Sept's in there along with some wetter. If you do this same search for Aug there are some dryer months there as well...a few less it seems. Sept first then Aug.
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Sept is actually the wettest month of the year at MDT (norms). It is swayed a bit by tropical storms, but it is not a dry month. Some of us will be going into it on a very dry spell. Unless it rains here in the next week, we will have had 1/3" of rain in 23-24 days' time.
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Ditto here. 3 days in a row in the 40's. MDT below normal 15 of the last 16 days and probably another one coming up today and if the zones are tight, Saturday as well.
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I just got a chance to peruse the 12Z's. Wow, what a difference in the GFS and CMC vs the Euro to close the month. GFS only has 1 day where MDT stays above 70 at night, CMC 2 days, Euro suggests 5. Will go a long way toward a lot of things including where this summer ends up on the all-time scale (currently at 5th). CMC also goes ape shit one day and has Wed approaching 100.
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August cool stats * MDT is on their way to their 7th day of staying below 80 in August. That would put it tied for the 4th highest total since 2000. Many of the days were rain free making it a bit more significant. * Yesterday was the second consecutive day of double digit below normal departures. That is the first time this has happened during Met summer at MDT since Aug 13th and 14th 2013 assuming my output stats are right. Also, of interest from August 2013, MDT had no days above 87 that month.
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Sounds like Voyager is needed to my SW. Hauling in water. In West Virginia’s core drought area, stream levels are low, soils are dry, and pastures and meadows are not regenerating, resulting in a detrimental impact upon cattle and livestock. Many farmers and ranchers are hauling water for livestock and irrigation. According to August 18 U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) statistics, 87% of the topsoil and subsoil in West Virginia is short or very short of moisture (dry or very dry), and 65% of the pastures and rangeland is in poor to very poor condition.
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EBNOONERS. 66 and mostly sunny.
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Totally understood, I am not arguing I am just speaking to the point. If you take out all the other variables and just look at it this way, why is the areas only official recording location situated on a river beside an airport, it is enough to question it. The answer is probably because it is the easiest to staff but it leads to inappropriately warm (or cool when the wind is coming off the water) temps that leave us guessing what MDT will show. Just this week both MJS and I mocked the chances of them reaching the 40's because of this worry. All good though :-). As to where, a location that is at least 10-15 miles from the river and not near heavily travelled locations. North of Lancaster maybe or Somewhere in between Carlisle and Harrisburg are two thoughts. Somewhere at a median altitude for the area so cannot do it too far north. OR we take a triangulate approach as JNS has alluded to. THV. MDT, MUI, LNS averaged, etc.
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