frd

More amped solutions more likely per Jack, but short of a full phase, which would not be good for points East.

True, lets see how things evolve in the coming days.

ENDLESS Opportunities with the target zone being the Mid Atlantic IMO , don't focus on the exact placements, or that this is the GFS, simply look at the feed of cold and disturbances. Impossible to say which ones might blossom into a bigger event at this time, but there will be opportunities, and some of those may be cold powder as well, with snow on snow.

Interested to see what this produces across our region, and the South as well. Baroclinic zone should hopefully spawn some interesting disturbances at lower latitudes. Also, liking the idea as well for squalls as mentioned by @MillvilleWx as the pattern progresses and during transition phases.

Even colder across SE Canada then previous runs today. Pretty much all of Southern Canada is well below normal. Very impressive.

GFS, what are you smoking ?

Too bad, I disagree with you. Did I say AccuWeather sucks ? No , I did not. So kindly don't make up s***.

Agreed, the base state and the warmth of the Atlantic seem to be issues.

Another step down, the coldest version yet. This is starting to resemble some of the temperature means that preceded MECS from the early 2000s.

This may continue to go NW and rain is certainly an option for my area.

Intriguing, look to the NW Jack knows his stuff !

If I may , I understand everything you posted and totally agree, however, given the look of the pattern previously, combined with the weeks and weeks of -AO, -NAO and West based Greenland blocking one would have thought the area North of Dover Delaware and into the Wilmington corridor should have seen a lot more snow to date. I understand climo exists for a reason. As you mentioned our climo is lower due to elevation, ocean NE wind influence ( more so earlier in the season ) and I would even include our latitude as well. Miller Bs for sure are way more erratic in snowfall distribution. Even in the 2016 Blizzard where Bob got 30 inches our forecast bust here because the best dynamics were West of the Bay. So many variables. Hopefully the upcoming pattern eventually produces a storm where the coastal plain can benefit. Seems for my area, and maybe @CAPE's as well, a Nino might be more effective because we lock in CAD and then get vigorous over-running.

Hopefully the period mid month and beyond delivers for us in the coastal plain. I don't want to have to chase at Dewey Beach, however, if I did I get a Fractured prune donut, yum yum, but I digress, I want Middletown buried !

Snow cover in every state ! Of course I believe it

Miller A Baby

Katie bar the door.

I recall that as well. However, it doesn't appear to last.

Windy with snow flurries here. 35 degrees

Someone mentioned earlier they were concerned over the frigid Arctic conditions in Alaska being a bad sign for the East Coast, your animation shows the Artic Air in Alaska doesn't last there very long and then everything shift south and east into North America.

I meant from the Euro. The GFS and this morning's EPS went to that. I just didn't believe it. Honestly was hoping not to see that on this afternoon's run. I am still recovering from the weekend.

Who saw that coming ?

Like I said earlier, nothing this winter is easy.

Without question. Warmer in the East and more cold out West, colder and over a larger area as well.

Me too, time for a break. If next week changes like that, the entire evolution of the month might change.