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This is rather pathetic . This is looking like a non event here

Yes it is a good thing, a few days ago , maybe longer it was thought the TPV would take up shop in the West, but not any longer. As Anthony mentions it will move about and swing East. This increases the odds for us to achieve colder weather. With the boundary and arctic cold nearby it increases the probabilities for snow as well.

Incredible, further consolidation on a move towards - 6 SD.

Nice trends overnight into this morning. Colder scenario gaining more traction. I like this too Also notice snow cover over the mid center of country expanding South, and fringes around the great Lakes starting to freeze over . Arctic press evolving towards mid month extremes. This is yet again the coldest 10 day mean look yet. Are you kidding me a - 9.4 mean Sources regions getting colder and colder and areas Northeast of the Great Lakes getting colder as well.

Are you 21 years old ?

Scale almost off the chart . Impressive

I myself am still looking for climo redemption.

A GAME CHANGER . Please note todays Euro is even colder and snowier.

Damn good !

Actually I feel based on the HL blocking and the pattern it supports the map. Do I expect it to verify, probably not. Do I expect a snowstorm in the coming pattern, yes I do. Can we get snow on snow, I think so. I mean really if you can't get a snowstorm with the look on top, arctic air mass, boundary, baroclinic zone, multiple disturbances then forget this hobby.

OMG

Coastal action

Seems the pattern ahead will hopefully have less risks and more certainty regarding overall snowfall distribution .

Positive changes on the PV for us down the road.

Winter storm warning downgraded to an advisory here. How much do you have so far ?

If even remotely correctly fun times are ahead. Keep in mind, this snowfall extends out beyond the 7 day just a bit. Attempting to see where the baroclinic, arctic air mass jackpot zone may be, we certainly appear to be in the game.

Only posted to show potential . This is hours under 214 Here the GFS sees the colder air mass and reacts, and of course, a favorable storm track as well.

I am beginning to feel a bit overwhelmed at all the storms and tracking coming up.

@WinterWxLuvr I believe this is a new threat . Beyond this time period, might be a miller A in the works.

I really don't think dry would be an issue, there seems to be a steady supply of disturbances. I am search for an all snow event , eventually with the deep arctic cold and snow cover to our North, and even colder air in the long range, if we don't get an all snow event, we never will.

This is the coldest version yet again. Colder by mean and colder by extent as well. Been many a years since I have witnessed this. I feel this raises the bar on colder storms in our area eventually. Also the NPO index continues to go towards a negative 3 SD near Feb 11 th. Looking for artic cold to maximize in our area after the 15 th. Also when seeing the progression of the GFS eddy heat flux it appears there could be increased odds of a mid Atlantic Snowstorm in the 15 th to the 18 th.

Unless the heavier banding gets here this will be below the forecast of 3 to 6 . Currently about 1.25 inches. Happy for you !

The heaver bands are flexing and waning , seems you are under one of the larger ones. Here the early AM band has moved on, hopefully watching to my SW for another. There were 4 heavier bands at first , now it seems we are going towards 2 bands, one near psu land and the the lower Eastern Shore moving towards Dover. The one nearing Baltimore has weakened.