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WPC precip trending drier for next week. Would have been nice to get an inch or more of rain.

Its been over for the last 4 years. Nothing new.

End of the week guidance doesn't look too robust with rainfall opportunities , possibly go a week without hardly any rain and then if we miss the end of the week rainfall change another week with no rain. Looks ugly for vegetation, lawns and trees.

Almost like a typical winter time shift East with the models , can you imagine all that snow to the East with Northern Delaware, Baltimore and DC with a dusting.

New Jersey a winner again.

It simply seems that even in the medium term it can not be trusted. So many failed forecasts by the Euro and the EPS.

Euro sucks.

At least it's something.

The probability of rain has certainly gone downhill just like the probabilities of snow in the winter. Looks to be the most significant period coming up regarding the combo of dry and hot. Hopefully a cool down later in August.

You might be right, but the line looks better now. The NWS has issued various marine warnings for the upper Chessy Bay. 04 PM EDT Sun Aug 1 2021 DCZ001-MDZ005-006-008-011-013-014-503>508-VAZ054-020200- District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Central and Southeast Howard-Southern Baltimore-Carroll-Northwest Montgomery-Northern Baltimore-Anne Arundel-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Southeast Harford-Cecil-Northwest Harford-Northwest Howard-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- 904 PM EDT Sun Aug 1 2021 ...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL...NORTHWESTERN ANNE ARUNDEL... HOWARD...MONTGOMERY...HARFORD...NORTHERN CECIL...BALTIMORE... NORTHWESTERN PRINCE GEORGES AND NORTH CENTRAL ARLINGTON COUNTIES AND BALTIMORE CITY... At 904 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Conowingo to near Jarrettsville to Reisterstown to near Sykesville to near Damascus to near Boyds. Movement was south at 25 mph. Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are possible with these storms. Locations impacted include... Baltimore, Arlington, Columbia, Germantown, Rockville, Bethesda, Gaithersburg, Bowie, Severn, Olney, Pikesville, College Park, Middle River, Greenbelt, Cockeysville, Langley Park, Beltsville, Elkridge, Damascus and Aberdeen. These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

WPC shifted heaviest rains eastward. Still decent the more East you are.

You just don't get it do you? We are not even talking about tornadoes bud, talking about general rainfall probabilities, excessive rainfall, and the potential for damaging winds. Should have been a wide area of at least some action, but the majority was well north and in the Southern areas more so scattered. You commnet is troll-ish. And wow, you kow geography, you are correct this is not the Plains.

Pathetic system, again the hype was an indication of the likely failure. Except for Philly and North and central NJ. Most of my rain has fallen outside of flash flood watches and likely events. Strange summer. I really thought we were going to get nailed today.

I hope you are right. Here the line fizzled, hardly any rain.

At the hottest part of the year that looks amazing. Winter coming early.

Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 449 PM EDT Wed Jul 28 2021 Valid 12Z Sat Jul 31 2021 - 12Z Wed Aug 04 2021 ...Widespread Monsoonal Moisture and Rainfall Pattern over the West... ...Heavy Convection/Rainfall Threat for the South/Southeast/Southern Mid-Atlantic... 18Z Update: The western U.S. ridge and the downstream trough over the central/eastern U.S. is expected to remain anchored in place through the medium range period, with the Atlantic upper ridge blocking eastward progression. There is some hint in the guidance that an upper low could develop over portions of the Ohio Valley by the middle of next week, mainly with the operational GFS and ECMWF, as some flow separation in the trough could develop. This could have some ramifications on the extent of the potential heavy rainfall across the Southeast and the southern Appalachians. One of the main changes with the QPF is for higher totals across portions of the Carolinas, owing to the block pattern developing and a quasi-stationary front over this region. Otherwise, the guidance is in above average agreement on most of the synoptic scale aspects, with the greatest differences evident across the northeast Pacific and the Hudson Bay region by the end of the forecast period. The previous discussion is appended below for reference. /Hamrick

Also this: Disadvantages: Difficult to tell when turf is getting too dry and needs water to stay alive; lawn is brown and has poor aesthetics; hard soil makes turf less usable for recreation; turf is more susceptible to injury and will not recover until rain returns; some thinning and turf death can occur if there is no rain for 4-6 weeks and no irrigation is applied. Patton emphasized that when lawns are dry, it is important to stay off them. Mowers and other heavy equipment can cause substantial damage to vulnerable, stressed grass. Once rains return, the turf will begin to recover and grow new leaves within two weeks. For more information about keeping lawns healthy during the drought, visit https://purdueturftips.blogspot.com/

I believe maximum time the grass can go dormant without additional water to the root crowns is between 21 days and 28 days. So eventually you need to water to save the grass from not coming back in the Fall, or hope you get an inch in the next 21 days .

Interesting motion on the storm , the heavist part of the storm slide along and to the West of the Northern Delaware state line.

Truly lucky here right now. Heavy shower underway and it has lasted a good while. Great for the garden, flowers and grass crowns.

Overall WPC trends seem drier. Grass is crispy and ground is like a brick. Week ahead looks dry and hot. Entering driest part of summer so far.

Going on a walk soon. Simply awesome ! Garden doing well too. Many tomatoes are ripening on the vines. So far a nice mix of cold fronts since late May. Maybe Sunday night we score with more rain after the miss I had last week. Believe you got .25 inches , maybe more.

A July blessing.

70 % chance of storms here turned into the 5 th or 6 th bust of the summer and spring so far here. Not a trace of rain. Models were terrible outside of Southern NJ.

Another bust, whats new this year.