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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. April severe time period showing up.
  2. Lost count of how many days this months had winds over 30 mph., and a good number of days over 50 mph. Had to duct tape the trashcan/recycle lids the entire month.
  3. This is the craziest multiple storms in a long time. Driving home from work, traveling from Newark to Middletown, non-stop heavy rain, T&L flooding in certain areas, the forecast did not mention this extreme possibility this morning. Rain total should be very high here.
  4. Just like snowfall forecasts, rainfall potential is dropping in the long-range
  5. Maybe frequent episodes of cold frontal passages for the next 4 to 12 weeks. Looks like the "dripping" from large #polarvortex disruption will begin last week of March and continue for multiple weeks afterwards. First drip is predicted to have low impact but we need the caboose to get from upper stratosphere to surface for big impacts, probably in July.
  6. Tomorrow may be the warmest day until the middle of April here.
  7. Lastest modeling and analogs point to a summer here where excessive heat is unlikely, and also the higher chance for rainfall versus drought. The core of the heat and drought will develop next month and extend deep into the summer around the Northern Plains and Western US.
  8. Active pattern coming up, Thursday rain and thundershowers, then cooler and windy. Warmer by weekend then another system next Monday. Wednesday and Thursday warmest days in the near term.
  9. 52 mph wind gust moments ago, crazy, stuff flying everywhere outside. Looking at clearing line moving ENE rapidly. Temps should respond. Southern area of storms look to miss me to my South, atmosphere may be more primed for the later storms.
  10. Well it appears the 70 degree high for this Weds here is not happening, due to some onshore flow even with WA. Another change is the significant rain probability for Thursday night is lessening as the set-up/timing and energy miss us to the North. Look for chilly weather after the strong cold front and it may last a while. Booo
  11. Low 60's here Winds just starting to pick up.
  12. Pretty now , sunny through high clouds.
  13. Well, it appears that possibly @CAPE's hood might see some brightening sky before the end of the day. Clouds are thinning out and some breaks very far to the SW of me in VA. moving NE.
  14. 47 here now, what a crap day compared to yesterday afternoon and Thursday afternoon. Ground on hike was muddy from I guess drizzle and very chilly and misty. Unlike yesterday or Thursday, I do not see any clearing moving on.
  15. After a 70 degree day on this Wednesday, it may be a long time until we see 70 degrees again as cooler air seems to settle in the East. As for the summer it would be nice to get several breaks from the non-stop heat and humidity.
  16. Even the day 6 and 7 rainfall on the WPC site has gone down as well. Heaviest rains next 7 days just offshore.
  17. Sun broke out here 54 F. Need the shades while doing some lawn work. Actually warm in the sun when you are raking
  18. After this weekend additional oppurtunity for rainfall later next week, then windier and cooler again. Wednesday is a request off day. Looks most excellent ! .
  19. I be happy with 25 % of those model outputs, but sadly it was mostly zero. Zero hope is better than hopium .
  20. Clearing rapidly moving in from the NE currently. clear skies in Central and most of South Jersey at this time. Question is, how far does the clearing make it by late day. Still 45 and chilly here with East winds
  21. Weather Will and his 40 inch snowfall maps
  22. Has not been for 7 long years. Yawn......
  23. 56 F here. Great late day sun, excellent dog walking weather.
  24. Sky is brightening here. Very surprised.
  25. Looking to the core of the summer it may not be as hot in the East as some have forecasted. The core of the heat is out West and in the Plains. Indications as well that there will at least be the potential for some rains in the East, however, very dry in the center of the Country.
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