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Flash Flood warning here , second crazy rainfall event in two weeks. lash Flood Warning DEC003-NJC007-015-033-PAC045-091-101-240030- /O.NEW.KPHI.FF.W.0008.230623T2019Z-230624T0030Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 419 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2023 The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Northern New Castle County in northern Delaware... Northwestern Camden County in southern New Jersey... Northwestern Gloucester County in southern New Jersey... Northwestern Salem County in southern New Jersey... Delaware County in southeastern Pennsylvania... South Central Montgomery County in southeastern Pennsylvania... Philadelphia County in southeastern Pennsylvania... * Until 830 PM EDT. * At 419 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms. SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges. IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets, and underpasses as well as other drainage and low lying areas. * Some locations that may experience flash flooding include... Philadelphia, Camden, Wilmington, Newark, Gloucester City, Chester, West Deptford, Pennsville, Bellmawr, Yeadon, Woodbury, and Carneys Point.

SOI index at - 26.03 today. Wow !

This Modiki El Nino, if it does develop, may not act the same as others have done in the past. Using JB's analogs from the 50's and 60's is not logical anymore. Things are much different from 09-10 as well.

Prevailing winds mostly NW, N, and NE. Many days with red flag warnings. Along with Canadian forest fire smoke. This might be related to late season changes to the PV. Significant negative AO and NAO at times plus we have had +PNA as well. I will take it. Feels great.

The morning discussion from Mount Holly indicates that some of the parameters for severe weather are getting a little more robust for Friday. Also the WPC has increased rainfall totals in the northern Mid-Atlantic early next week. This comes in a backdrop of another dive in the Arctic oscillation and the NAO.

Just like the Euro snowfall forecast during winter, and the triple XXX Control Model snowfal forecast. All those teenagers getting hot and bothered looking at 30 inch snowfall in the next 360 hours . Does mommy know they are looking at those hot pink colors.

Yep until today I believe it had not rained significantly for at least 4 weeks possibly

Thanks. Was not expecting that much when I left for work this morning.

Not sure yet how much rainfall here but all I can say is based on the road conditions and flooding it must be quite a bit, it's been non-stop extremely heavy rain for the last 2 hours.

And we are much, much wetter. Excellent!!

Agreed, they are to the GFS as DT is to the Euro.

WPC cut back totals again in the East.

Thought a storm was arriving, but it is a wall of smoke with reduced visibilities and darkness. Strange times

Yes, I am a beggar. Take what we can at this point.

Afternoon WPC appears to have lessened QFP early next in our area. The heaviest rainfall is well North and well SW

I plan to use one later if I have to water.

I honestly can't remember this ever happening in the last 30 years

Mount Holly weather service mentions in their discussion that they are reducing the chance of rainfall tomorrow and lowering the probabilities due to the smoke content of that atmosphere, supposedly the nuclei of the smoke particulates affects the rainfall productivity in the atmosphere.

Worse morning so far in Wilmington Delaware. Walking into work from the parking lot, the smell of smoke is rather intense, visibility is also lower this morning than yesterday at this time.

Wondering whether the showers North of Altoona, PA. will get me later. The other area looks as if it is headed for Wilmington, De and Philly.

Rather dark here. Impressive smoke density and coverage.

Yep, the WPC made a significant change in days 6 and 7 rainfall chances in the East with their afternoon update.

I have plenty of rabblits, they must be on strike. Or, they were paid off by the Clover OG

What is the best clover killer @CAPE? Thanks.