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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. frd
    Yep, I am excited for this time period.
  2. frd
    Looks like potential for a clipper. Been a long time. Also, a Manitoba Mauler would be acceptable as well. That vortex is almost South of Hudson Bay, interesting possibilities if this look comes true.
  3. frd
    Increased likelihood of a deeper and longer duration - AO.
  4. frd
    good thread, and talking about the this very thing.
  5. frd
    I thought last I read it was the EPS and GEPS versus the GEFS. Also, thought I read the GEFS was trending to the EPS in the long range. Period of interest was near and after the 20th. I for one believe we must have the Pac on our side to get snow, versus anything else.
  6. frd
    Any thoughts on what happens after this event as we approach mid month ? Happy New Year too !
  7. frd
    Rather impressive heat fluxes during the next 10 days.
  8. frd
    Check this out -NAO and then the SWWE Long duration - AO and - NAO upcoming
  9. frd
    I believe this raises the bar for cold and stormy weather here, while enhancing cold air intrusions after Jan 20 th. Robust agreement here.
  10. frd
  11. frd
    SSWE becoming more and more likely. AO expected to dive soon, and then we await on the after effects of the warming. Too soon to know where the coldest anomalies are directed to.
  12. frd
    Your in top form @CAPE. Appreciate the updates. Not posting as much because I have suffered medical issues and surgery, but your posts cheer me up every morning. I am really hopeful for snowfall in early Jan. Things looking better and better.
  13. frd
    Might gamble and take a PTO day for Jan. 8th. The second disturbance sure looks promising at this range . Upstream looks better as well leading to the colder outcome.
  14. frd
    That was a great memory. So much excitment. I remember Accu weather with a forecast of 6 to 8 inches for the beaches of southern NJ the day before. This might have been the storm the Canadian sniffed out that JB claimed his greatest victory to that point calling for a I 95 snowstorm when all others were a scrapper. Watching that snow shield move North and forecasts changing was a big thrill. I also recall the winds after the storm blowing snow back into areas that were cleared. A great memory psu !
  15. frd
    Seems very typical in years past. I am sure he is celebrating. My Christmas day high temp has increased to 55 degrees, not too bad, however, still waiting on a white Christmas. By Friday we get back to normal temps.
  16. frd
  17. frd
    At least he is bullish on Feb, as you are, and believes we have very significant - NAO later in Jan and Feb.
  18. frd
  19. frd
    The weekend rule. Sure looks nice.
  20. frd
    SSWE in Jan. has historical analogs as support.
  21. frd
    Stongest signal yet for a major SSWE. We all know we do not require one to have meaningful snow events, however, concerns of a very cold and very strong PV are much diminshed currently. What this may help is, raising the odds of significant winter weather in ealy to mid Feb matching up with previous MECS.
  22. frd
    They have gone cold and snowy in the East the last three years and have done poorly. This year the forecast from BAMM WX is a warmer than usual winter, and below normal snowfall. They believed in the extreme - EPO forecasts from a couple years back and that did not work out. Have to see how the season ends and whether they will be correct.
  23. frd
    Ah, its the @40/70 Benchmark Mid Atlantic storm set-up. Two bad its two weeks out, however, moving in the right direction for sure. We shall be tracking in early 2024
  24. frd
    I think they run daily now.
  25. frd
    This might effect how fast temps get back to normal and dare I say below normal up North after Jan 1 st. The cryosphere is looking sick. Decadal low snow extent.
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