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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. frd
    Have you been to the beaches recently? I am trying to figure out why the near land SSTs are still so chilly. We have had some very hot days. Maybe upwelling?
  2. frd
    Yep, this caught my eye " We remain particularly concerned seeing progged PWat values by both deterministic models and ensembles in the range of 2.25 to 2.5 inches which is again is close to climatological maxes. " Never posted this, but the last rain event produced training cells delivering 2.55 inches of rain and the night before 1.52 inches. This was preceded by a dew point of 79 here. The atmosphere will once again be primed on Saturday to deliver big rainfall totals. I hope this time more folks in our forum are able to get significant rainfall.
  3. frd
    GFS trending North to Texas.
  4. frd
    Looks like a Cat 5 right now.
  5. frd
    Speaking of lift, complex in South Central PA is now warned and moving towards Cecil county MD. and Northern DE. including me. PWATs are over 2 inches.
  6. frd
    79 dew point is like maybe once a summer ? I hardly ever see that here as well. Tomato plants and eggplants are very happy in my garden. Be safe out there.
  7. frd
    Dewpoint 79 here as well, incredible !!!!
  8. frd
    Even so, without a great PAC decent winters in the east are over. - NAO has little impact in the winter in the East it seems the last 6 years.
  9. frd
    Training storms here last. Not sure how much rain, but estimate over an inch.
  10. frd
    Beryl is the strongest storm for this time of year to form so far East in the Atlantic. SSTs are boiling out there . Incredible warmth in the MDR and expanding North and NW every day.
  11. frd
    Big jump in 7 day rainfall from the WPC.
  12. frd
    Getting some pop up showers on the upper Eastern Shore moving NNE to NE up Route 896 . You can really feel the moisture in the air. Imagine beach is not so great in the water with the brisk winds, might cause rip currents.
  13. frd
    Good, because the overnight WPC reduced rainfall in the region.
  14. frd
    With cloud cover moving in temps decreased a bit down to 92 degrees here, with a dew point at 70. Heat index 98. Looking at the radar, I really hope things start getting more active to our West.
  15. frd
    La Nina = Dewey Beach road trip.
  16. frd
    If my data is correct, and I believe it is , upper level soil temp has already eclipsed all of 2023's summer months highs. Incredible !!!!
  17. frd
    Nice breeze on the early AM walk with the dog.
  18. frd
    Have to revisit this in July to determine feedback loops, soil moisture, changes in the pattern,etc. There is more moisture in the atmosphere and with the West Atlantic SSTs getting ready to take off will we will be at high rish from tropical systems.
  19. frd
    Only Jun 20 th by that point. You think hottest summer ever here ?
  20. frd
    Quick thunderstorm last night .25 inches. I was extremely lucky, storm was only a spec on radar.
  21. frd
    Well, the more hurricanes the higher the odds. SSTs are going to be boiling by mid July everywhere in the Atlantic basin below 40 N. . A lot depends on the pattern at the time of a threatening hurricane. However, if I lived anywhere along the East Coast, and especially the Gulf, SE and Fla. I would be very prepared for the worse.
  22. frd
    Never seen the extent of that anomoly before enveloping the Tidewater and our area.
  23. frd
    Tornado warning here. Crazy weather . In basement currently
  24. frd
    5 tornado warnings at this time. First time in my life I have seen that in these partsm even in tropical storms.
  25. frd
    Might be getting a + PNA in early June, not a very common thing in these parts lately. The heat should at leas be kept at bay.
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