frd
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Everything posted by frd
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Interesting possibility. In terms of rainfall this afternoon's rainfall forecast from the WPC places most of the rainfall NE of our area, less than the overnight run. Whether it is a trend or it changes will have to monitor. Could use rainfall, as its dry here and everywhere in the region ( minus the area near SE PA and Southern NJ. ) With the heat returning it will become even worse in a couple days.
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https://x.com/TylerSebreezy/status/2094060893793300908 Tyler Sebree @TylerSebreezy 1h The latest NSSL machine-learning severe probabilities highlight the northwest flow pattern from the Midwest to the Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic this week. There will be some severe weather potential Monday through Thursday or Friday for these areas.
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Yikes, here we go again.
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This is a crazy ring of fire pattern next week, unfortunately it looks like most of the activity will be North of us, very little rain the next 7 to 10 days.
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Exactly, for a Nina Dec usually rocks, but this year with the Nino expecting warmer than normal temps. I like mid Jan to mid Feb as well. Have to see what the signs are as we enter late Fall regarding the potential for HL blocking over NA.,and what the source regions look like as well.
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Mount Holly weather service has a flood watch here.
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What about intervals of - EPO. Also, wonder if I can see a cold Oct/Nov at times due to intense late season West Pac typhoons recurving and its interactions with the EPO domain. Speculation really.
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Trending drier and temps in the medium range reflect the increasing warmth, a Sept like last year, ugh.
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You think we flip to positive PDO by Jan 15 th ?
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This Friday is finally a day at the beach with some surf action. Only concern might be afternoon showers.
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Please no more 90 degree heat. I prefer 80, I am pushing aeration back to third week of Sept because of the potential heat.
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https://x.com/JimCantore/status/2092170030330900537 Jim Cantore @JimCantore 7h Baking HOT ridge in the southwest and south central USA will flatten and expand east with its HEAT. This should commence over the weekend finally giving the southwest a break to start the new week. Meanwhile the Central USA, the Mid-South and Southeast bake once again as we start September. Some thunderstorm activity will give some a break.
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Pumpkin spice Latte time.
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Appears drier now.
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.35 overnight 4.08 so far in August.
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I would speculate - the PDO starting to rise in Sept and continuing to rise at a decent clip in Oct./Nov. A weaker early season PV accompanied by a general cycle trend down with the AO all through the Fall. Above normal North American Snow extent through Sept to Dec. Signs that might indicate -NAO during the winter, I defer to Chuck on this one Watch the East based Nino regions, could overwhelm all 3 above items.
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What a complex off the NC coast. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19§or=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24 I am still expecting some sun in the next couple hours in my area.
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Maybe we get some sun later based on the visible in the Eastern areas, after that multiple nice days with low dew points.
