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Appears that August is going to take over where July left off.

May not be huge rains, but the signals are there for continued active weather in our area. Even at day 6/7 from the WPC along with machine learning severe threats.

Also, a sneaky cell moving NE, just East over the lower Delaware Bay East of the Milford Neck Wildlife area.

Appears next week out West will experience the peak intensity of the summer ridge, then it will start to decline. I will go out on a limb and say we have seen the last of the 95 plus heat here.

You can almost feel it to a degree with the sun angle, and can see it at night as the sunsets are noticeably earlier.

Well, on a positive note, overnight the WPC increased rainfall totals in the region.

WPC has lowest rainfall totals where the Euro has the highest.

060 FXUS61 KPHI 311012 AFDPHI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 612 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... The timing of the late weekend/early next week frontal system has slowed a bit, with Sunday now looking mostly dry and most precipitation coming in Sunday Night into Monday. A Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall was added for areas along and north/west of the I-95 corridor on Monday. Updated aviation discussion for 12z TAFs. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1. Tranquil weather takes over through Saturday though a few very isolated sea-breeze showers cannot be ruled out this afternoon. 2. A frontal system on Sunday and Monday will bring the next opportunity for widespread showers and thunderstorms. Increasing confidence in potential heavy rain on Monday.

Showers North of Philly moving South . Mostly cloudy here. Stubborn clearing with this system

Doesn't look like a late July satellite image, more like early Fall.

Go BIG or go home. I want the biggest WOOF ever...... ALEET ALEET !!!!! BECSS !! I will take my chances with the Nino, because the cards will be on the table at times, but will we get a winning hand between Jan 1 st and March ! st. I hope so.

August temps not looking bad, however, I doubt August delivers the rain here that July has done so far. Soon soil temps will peak and start to fall later in August.

Ordinary storm here dropping about .80 so far. What is not ordinary is the incredible change here this month with active storms and much higher rainfall. I guess some is luck, but the pattern has shifted it seem. Also, machine learning from 15 days ago pointed out several threats which did happen. According to my rain gauge total July rainfall so far has been 6.80 inches. Wow !

The complex of storms including the main line and supercells are pinwheeling around the low pressure area North of us. Could get ugly.

Cells forming ahead of the main line NW of DC.

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 529 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 420 PM EDT TUE JUL 28 2026 TORNADO WATCH 529 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS DEC001-003-005-290200- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0529.260728T2020Z-260729T0200Z/ DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX $$

Storms forming and more lightning activitiy to the far WNW. Clearing noted ahead of this area. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19&sector=ne&band=EXTENT3&length=24

The highest totals are within the Flood watch region.

Very sad pics on social media. Total devastation in some areas. .

Here we go again Flood Watch National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 215 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2026 DEZ001-NJZ001-007>010-012>020-026-027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071- 101>106-280615- /O.NEW.KPHI.FA.A.0006.260728T1200Z-260729T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ New Castle-Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex- Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-Camden- Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Coastal Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-Delaware- Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery- Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks- Including the cities of Honey Brook, West Chester, Norristown, Lansdale, Jim Thorpe, Wilmington, Easton, Jackson, Sandy Hook, Allentown, Kennett Square, Chalfont, Washington, Philadelphia, Freehold, Pottstown, Moorestown, Reading, Media, Wharton State Forest, Oxford, Morristown, Cherry Hill, Pennsville, Perkasie, Doylestown, Camden, New Brunswick, Stroudsburg, Flemington, Glassboro, Trenton, Collegeville, Somerville, Morrisville, Long Beach Island, Newton, Mount Holly, and Bethlehem 215 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2026 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Northern Delaware, New Jersey and eastern Pennsylvania including the Southern Poconos, Lehigh Valley and metro Philadelphia. * WHEN...From Tuesday morning through Wednesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Showers and thunderstorms will increase over the area Tuesday morning and afternoon. Rainfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are possible. Total rainfall of 2 to 4 inches could occur into Tuesday night. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. &&

Yep, at least not as bad as the smoke recently. https://x.com/BenNollWeather/status/2081719174150443313

Ah, the power of a decimal point

Rather impressive thunderstorm last evening around 12:30 a.m. moving north to south along the western edges of northern Delaware. Received about .75 in of rain.

Latest update NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK SPC AC 261919 Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0219 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC INTO NORTH CAROLINA AND THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and isolated hail are possible from the southern Mid-Atlantic into the Carolinas and central and southern Appalachians Tuesday into Tuesday evening. Isolated severe wind gusts may occur in the central High Plains. ...Southern Mid Atlantic into North Carolina and southern Appalachians... An upper trough with a 40-50 kt midlevel speed max will push southeastward across the Appalachians and into parts of the Mid Atlantic and Carolinas during the day, supporting thunderstorms through much of the period. Storms are expected to be ongoing early Tuesday from PA and WV into eastern KY, near a cold front. This activity should persist as it moves into MD/VA/NC, where a surface trough will deepen. Daytime heating along with ample low-level moisture will support 1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE, and winds will be veering with height, supporting a few supercells. Despite warm temperatures aloft, the 40-50 kt deep-layer shear may support hail in the strongest cells. In addition, southwesterly 850 mb winds up to 40 kt late in the day may yield an isolated tornado risk from southeast VA into NC. Moderately high PWAT along with steep low-level lapse rates during the peak heating hours will also support locally damaging wind gusts. ...Northern High Plains... Instability will increase over eastern WY, western SD/NE and northeast CO during the afternoon as a weak surface trough develops. Southeast surface winds will maintain 50s to lower 60s F dewpoints, with storms forming after 21Z near the higher terrain in WY/CO. South to southeast storm motions may bring multicellular storms across western NE and northeast CO during the evening with a few severe gusts possible. ..Jewell.. 07/26/2026 CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z CURRENT UTC TIME: 1936Z (3:36PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME