frd
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Everything posted by frd
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We will be tired of the blizzards.
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Things were much greener last July. These excessive 100 degree days has stressed a lot of the plants here and the lawns. Recent dew points and exceptional heat has started some blight in tomato plants. The WPC has increased rainfall in the 3 day, 5 day and 7 day outlooks. Not sure its the Nino starting so early, but I will take it. Also, in regards to severe potential, the 10 th and the 15/16 th look interesting on machine learning NSSL https://x.com/TylerSebreezy/status/2074470678669992148 Day-by-day NSSL machine-learning severe probabilities for the next 2 weeks below highlight severe potential lare this week and this weekend into next week with a potential upper-level ridge pattern setting up in the Plains.
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GFS too spotty. WPC is looking good for day three.
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Its a swamp out there. The NW flow pattern seems to be gone.
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True, and should not be dessert dry.
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But,
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https://x.com/NWSWPC/status/2074122821928657134
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That's great news I hope you continue to get more rain. I know Dover has been suffering badly with a lack of rainfall, other areas were benefiting , but everything seemed to missed Dover.
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Holy smokes it's raining in Dover Delaware.
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1.20 here last night
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The storm moving North up the MD and De border is cra cra
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Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 649 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026 MDC011-035-052315- /O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0147.000000T0000Z-260705T2315Z/ Queen Anne`s MD-Caroline MD- 649 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN QUEEN ANNE`S AND NORTHEASTERN CAROLINE COUNTIES... At 649 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Goldsboro to near Hope, moving northeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is possible. Locations impacted include... Centerville, Centreville, Church Hill, Starkey Corner, Wye Mills, Starr, Carville, Hope, Henderson, and Barclay. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in Mount Holly NJ. Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3921 7600 3922 7597 3908 7575 3907 7576 3894 7606 3894 7609 3895 7609 TIME...MOT...LOC 2249Z 203DEG 20KT 3910 7580 3901 7600 HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH $$ MPS
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That area near you is getting stronger.
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The cell in Southwest Delaware has elongated and has grown larger. The area is moving North Northwest.
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Interesting cell in SW De. Moving North at 15 mph. Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 526 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026 DEC001-005-052200- /O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0146.000000T0000Z-260705T2200Z/ Sussex DE-Kent DE- 526 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR NORTHWESTERN SUSSEX AND SOUTHWESTERN KENT COUNTIES... At 526 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Andrewsville, or 14 miles northwest of Georgetown, moving north at 15 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is possible. Locations impacted include... Milford, Harrington, Bridgeville, Andrewsville, Greenwood, Houston, and Farmington. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in Mount Holly NJ. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3874 7547 3873 7570 3898 7573 3896 7545 TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 176DEG 13KT 3881 7560 HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
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I am sure @CAPE will agree with you. WPC and Mount Holly both too bullish on rainfall.
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WPC Days 1 to 3. I would rejoice for this.
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Of course, anything that can go wrong, will go wrong. Flood watch ?
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There is a flood watch posted for a wide region. Even a historic heat wave with high dew points does not result in a decent rainfall at the end, pretty pathetic.
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True, was in a severe thunderstorm warning and the storm split and weakened and missed me
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Mount Holly not very excited about rainfall today, and even tonight based on my forecast area. Independence Day Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Heat index values as high as 105. West wind around 10 mph. Tonight A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Late morning update probs increased slightly Independence Day A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Heat index values as high as 104. West wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Tonight A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers between 2am and 3am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
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Honestly that could be a decent snowfall map, as the areas further East and SE get screwed.
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https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19§or=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24 Pretty cool to look at, as those storms are moving quick, of note a few cumulus forming on the extreme SW outflow area, wonder if Philly could be in play later.
