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frd

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  1. frd
    Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 110 PM EDT Tue Jun 23 2026 KEY MESSAGE 2...Another cold front is expected to approach the region late this week, bringing more chances for showers and storms. Another cold front is expected to approach our region late in the week (likely crossing through our region Friday into Saturday). More showers/storms are likely beginning as early as late day Thursday and then continuing Friday. Southwesterly flow ahead of the front should allow for plenty of moisture advection ahead of the rain chances. However with the best forcing more centered north of the region, that could limit how widespread significant rain is with this event. As for what hazards to expect with this event, that will be highly dependent on the timing of the showers and storms, which is still uncertain. The front may linger nearby next weekend and if this occurs it would keep chances for shower/storms going, especially in the afternoon/evening hours. There is uncertainty regarding this though.
  2. frd
    .80 since yesterday.
  3. frd
    Radar looking better up this way currently, heavy rain at this time with that blob area moving NE over my location.
  4. frd
    A spin on the cloud animation in Western NC. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19&sector=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24 Running the loop shows it well.
  5. frd
    That should change later I believe based on the evolution from Mount Holly's AFD above. Not so sure though how far West the heavier rain threat would be. Seems Philly North is in the stable cool sector.
  6. frd
    From Mount Holly Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 625 AM EDT Tue Jun 23 2026 For today, the forecast continues with the theme of slower movement out as the system looks to get hung up over the area. The latest indications continue to show a new low to develop near near Delmarva. This will occur as another piece of energy moves around the base of the upper trough over the east, and will result in more rounds of showers and storms that could once again be on the heavier side by the afternoon. Near the warm sector over the Delmarva and far southern NJ, we can`t rule out some storms becoming severe and the SPC now has a MARGINAL risk for severe storms. A heavy rain threat will also persist with a MARGINAL risk for excessive rainfall in this region as well. Further north, cooler more stable air should result in lighter rains and less risk of severe weather, particularly from Philadelphia northwards
  7. frd
    Rain has started back up here. Radar looks somewhat hopeful, however, very muggy out there. 7:51 AM 73 F. Overcast Humidity 90% Wind Speed W 5 mph Barometer 29.86 in (1010.9 mb) Dewpoint 70°F (21°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Last update 23 Jun 7:51 am EDT
  8. frd
    Back edge rains here presently. Decent rates.
  9. frd
    More severe weather potential late June and early July https://x.com/TylerSebreezy/status/2069109423008542773 The next 2 weeks feature a good deal of potential severe weather opportunities. The NSSL machine-learning output here isn't the only thing supporting severe weather risks in late June and early July.
  10. frd
    Hmm, might get interesting soon on the Upper Eastern Shore.
  11. frd
    If I am guessing your exact location correctly, it appears that some crazy ass storms are on the way from your WSW
  12. frd
    https://x.com/commoditywx/status/2069101636929142827 Eastern heat ridge next week begins to retrograde west and north by holiday weekend, favoring cooler East for July 6th workweek.
  13. frd
    Cell developed rapidly NE of Wilmington, DE. and is moving right up I-95 towards Philly.
  14. frd
    More of a heavy rain threat. Skies have cleared here for the most part.
  15. frd
    Up and down pattern continues
  16. frd
  17. frd
    I wish
  18. frd
    WPC increased overall precip 7 day totals ( most of that is early week )
  19. frd
    Mount Holly more bullish with the heavy rain wording, we shall see. Good luck !
  20. frd
    There were times in the past that had major PV disruptions during a El Niño / +QBO combinations. They tended to ocur in later winter versus early in December to Jan.
  21. frd
    Winter 26-27 with averaged - NAO . Also. Appears a weakened or displaced PV
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  25. frd
    Seems that the Nino is already effecting the 500 look next week to late month.
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