frd

Mount Holly AFD KEY MESSAGE 2...Additional chances for much-needed rain arrive during the middle of this week. A brief period of high pressure on Monday, potentially lingering into Tuesday. A weak frontal boundary then approaches the region late Tuesday, bringing a chance for light rain. The chances for meaningful rainfall with this system appear to be decreasing with high pressure staying close by and the frontal boundary largely washing out across the region. Another stronger low is still expected to arrive late Wednesday into early Thursday that is expected to bring more widespread showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm across the region.

Have ordered blight resistant tomatoes arriving in May from Burpee, they did great last year. Less yellowing/curling of the leaves.

Rainfall total forecasting just as bad as snowfall forecasting in the winter. Can't complain too much here with .43 last 24 hours. WPC did better than Mount Holly with QPF forecasts.

As usual the highest rainfall totals pushed way to the NE over the ocean East of NJ. However, Mount Holly is still bullish. Rainfall totals through tomorrow, will range from around 1 to 1.50 inches across much of the area with localized higher amounts. While this may be unpleasant, especially since it will be over the weekend, it is good to remember that this is a beneficial rainfall.

Always seems the highest totals get pushed NE. WPC not as bullish as Mount Holly. Mount Holly AFD states .50 to 1 inch.

Hopefully .50 to 1 inch says the WPC. We really need a ton more rain as we near peak sun/heat in a couple months.

I saw your post and then I went outside and covered mine as well, little breezy had to wrap twine around it . Dewpoint here is 20, air temp 42, winds down to 5 mph.

Cover them ASAP

Dewpoint currently at 18 here, with temp already falling to 51 F.

Canada still cold with snowcover.

29

Very sad news. Rest in peace Rodger.

83 and hot here ! But, at least no bugs just yet and a DP of only 38.

I have not seen the sun since a week ago last Friday. I need the sunshine vitamin ( actually a hormone )

I feel like we are returning to the endless cloud cover of the Spring and summer last year. Large parts of the Country recorded much below average sunshine compared to normal. Moss, mildew, fungus and just plain gross.

WPO set to dive to levels not seen in many years.

If the winds happen as modeled here, the Blizzard warnings for Kent and Sussex DE. counties would likely be expanded North to New Castle county in Northern DE.

But, thats the same snow from three weeks ago. No snow the last three weeks, but the impressive cold allowed for records to be broken in many areas for measurable snow cover.

You really can not use the operational GFS in a long range thread. Maybe it is experiencing a fall out in verification scores, but using it at long lead times without ensemble support and worse factoring the Op without other model input at long leads is futile. Best used as a low percentage input in a mix of other models such as the ECM ensembles, CMC, EPS, etc. and AI models. That is why even when it shows a snowstorm for many runs in a row it is still likely incorrect or vica versa as well.

Weak sauce here as well, no snow showers last night or squalls, no extreme wind gusts so far, maybe a gust to 38 to 44 mph. All in all a typical deep winter day. The most impressive thing is the snow cover that remains, starting the third week of snow cover tomorrow, have not seen the grass in a couple weeks.

Some changes in the longrange AO. Not going as positive.

Hodhodata@statistics@Statisticizer · 16h #USA Outlook | 5–14 March (Synoptic Focus) The composite analyses for early–mid March depict a strongly amplified hemispheric pattern, with persistent negative 500-mb height anomalies spanning much of the central and eastern United States, and a pronounced long-wave trough anchored over the continent. This configuration is highly efficient at tapping Arctic air and driving southward cold-air advection well beyond typical late-winter latitudes. The evolution and depth of the trough, combined with a strengthened polar jet and downstream blocking signals, closely resemble classic setups associated with major Northwest and Great Plains blizzard episodes. While the exact placement of surface cyclogenesis will govern snowfall distribution, the synoptic backdrop favors one or more significant cold blasts, potentially accompanied by strong winds and wintry precipitation where moisture and lift overlap. As the pattern progresses, attention shifts to possible secondary reinforcements of cold into the central and eastern U.S., with spillover risks toward the Southwest depending on trough phasing and ridge response upstream. Overall, the signal points to high-impact, episodic cold intrusions rather than a quiet transition into spring, warranting close monitoring as March unfold

AO and NAO are way less negative

Absolutely not.

Pretty and Cold enough! Trending better.