frd
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Everything posted by frd
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Exactly, that statement echoes what Mount Holly has in the latest AFD. The boundary may also stall in the Central and Northern regions leading to flash flooding.
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WPC's afternoon update below has increased totals again for the Mid Atlantic region. Here is a snippet from the AFD Mount Holly - PWats will rise to near 2" by the end of the day. Some models suggest we could have a stalled or slow moving frontal boundary across the central or northern portion of the forecast area, which could act as a focusing mechanism for heavy rainfall. Heavy rain leading to flash flooding could end up being a bigger concern and greater impact than the severe thunderstorm threat.
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Interesting
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The rains keep arriving.
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I tend to agree, to a certain point, that this December will not be like last December. BammWx thinks a warm December so litle snow. Time will tell.
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Sept and October possibly both near to below average.
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I can live with that.
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1.10 of rain here. So far July has been wet.
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Machine learning did well in review, pointing out days well in advance. At least from what I read 7 to 10 days ago.
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CAPE stands for Convective Available Potential Energy. [1] It measures atmospheric instability. It indicates how much energy is available to fuel rising air currents (updrafts) to create thunderstorms. [1, 2, 3, 4]
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TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 507 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 205 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026 TORNADO WATCH 507 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS DEC003-220100- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0507.260721T1805Z-260722T0100Z/ DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NEW CASTLE $$
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Significant cloud cover to the North, East and West of DC presently. The area of storms in PA really has a crazy outflow as previously mentioned.
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The East based Nino folks are not going to agree.
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The sun here upon sunrise is a tiny red ball behind a thick milky sky, surreal.
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Hmm I dont smell smoke and this image would show the highest smoke density up North still
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Ah, its a new world out there.
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https://x.com/commoditywx/status/2077437310145077290 Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx Day 15: Another chance for Central heat rebuild, with maybe some expansion into Texas, as coasts stay mostly relatively cooler.
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Temp to 96 now that there is less smoke. Holly cow look at NY state, that is going to drop South.
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Wow, that is surreal. Wonder what code that gets? Code orange here today and tomorrow.
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WPC increased rainfall total
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Also record negative streak possibly
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You can clearly see the epicenter of the wild fires in this animation if you look in the NW part of the video https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19§or=cgl&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24 or the still frame
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