frd

The sun here upon sunrise is a tiny red ball behind a thick milky sky, surreal.

Hmm I dont smell smoke and this image would show the highest smoke density up North still

Ah, its a new world out there.

https://x.com/commoditywx/status/2077437310145077290 Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx Day 15: Another chance for Central heat rebuild, with maybe some expansion into Texas, as coasts stay mostly relatively cooler.

Temp to 96 now that there is less smoke. Holly cow look at NY state, that is going to drop South.

Wow, that is surreal. Wonder what code that gets? Code orange here today and tomorrow.

WPC increased rainfall total

Also record negative streak possibly

You can clearly see the epicenter of the wild fires in this animation if you look in the NW part of the video https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19&sector=cgl&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24 or the still frame

Looks like our area is worse tomorrow as well. Dense smoke plume arrives tomorrow. https://x.com/weather_buffalo/status/2077091092860694878 The latest HRRR shows some absolutely insane smoke on Thursday across WNY. If it comes to fruition it would be much worse than what we experienced a few years ago in 2023.

I can certainly see that too. Maybe a couple of degrees cooler would be possible. Never hit the forecasted high here today. Tomorrow's HRR smoke forecast is even worse, but I have not looked at the latest update.

Yep smoke

That would be cool. Still looks active starting Saturday and continuing a while afterwards. We cool off and then maybe another heatwave early August looking at model clusters. Meanwhile, I believe I bserve smoke overhead. Skies are milky white. Currently here Current conditions at Wilmington Airport (KILG) Lat: 39.67°NLon: 75.61°WElev: 72ft. Fair 88°F 31°C Humidity 55% Wind Speed W 10 G 17 mph Barometer 30.12 in (1019.9 mb) Dewpoint 70°F (21°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Heat Index 93°F (34°C) Last update 14 Jul 12:51 pm EDT

This is crazy too, but over the Atlantic, granted hour 288 but still.

SOI Dashboard Latest Southern Oscillation Index values SOI values for 14 Jul, 2026 Average SOI for last 30 days -23.53 Average SOI for last 90 days -17.62 Daily contribution to SOI calculation -36.56 Monthly average SOI values Apr -9.88 May -13.22 Jun -22.69 Date Tahiti (hPa) Darwin (hPa) Daily Contribution 30 day Av. SOI 90 day Av. SOI 14 Jul 2026 1011.36 1016.35 -36.56 -23.53 -17.62 13 Jul 2026 1010.44 1015.10 -34.53 -23.20 -17.20 12 Jul 2026 1009.89 1015.20 -38.53 -23.21 -16.92 11 Jul 2026 1011.77 1015.80 -30.66 -23.06 -16.66 10 Jul 2026 1013.16 1015.45 -19.94 -22.84 -16.52 9 Jul 2026 1011.59 1014.45 -23.45 -22.68 -16.60 8 Jul 2026 1008.90 1015.20 -44.63 -22.32 -16.71 7 Jul 2026 1009.02 1015.35 -44.81 -21.68 -16.58 6 Jul 2026 1011.31 1015.45 -31.33 -21.34 -16.28 5 Jul 2026 1010.44 1015.25 -35.46 -21.21 -16.03 4 Jul 2026 1010.84 1015.20 -32.69 -21.02 -15.72 3 Jul 2026 1012.59 1014.20 -15.76 -21.11 -15.44 2 Jul 2026 1012.97 1013.80 -10.96 -21.75 -15.38 1 Jul 2026 1013.06 1012.90 -4.86 -22.28 -15.31 30 Jun 2026 1012.34 1013.05 -14.06 -22.69 -15.35 29 Jun 2026 1012.32 1013.40 -16.66 -22.71 -15.25 28 Jun 2026 1012.24 1013.25 -16.17 -23.03 -15.20 27 Jun 2026 1011.64 1014.05 -26.01 -23.61 -15.12 26 Jun 2026 1012.48 1015.20 -28.19 -23.51 -14.93 25 Jun 2026 1012.84 1015.15 -25.31 -22.78 -14.75 24 Jun 2026 1011.76 1015.15 -32.90 -22.11 -14.60 23 Jun 2026 1011.31 1015.45 -38.17 -21.86 -14.34 22 Jun 2026 1012.65 1016.30 -34.73 -21.65 -14.02 21 Jun 2026 1014.99 1017.00 -23.20 -21.10 -13.63 20 Jun 2026 1015.10 1016.25 -17.15 -20.98 -13.17 19 Jun 2026 1014.90 1014.50 -6.26 -21.36 -12.93 18 Jun 2026 1015.57 1014.80 -3.66 -21.66 -12.87 17 Jun 2026 1016.03 1015.35 -4.29 -21.73 -12.88 16 Jun 2026 1015.83 1014.90 -2.53 -21.79 -12.82 15 Jun 2026 1014.24 1014.70 -12.30 -22.62 -12.75

Wow

Watch out for wildfire smoke today. https://x.com/troydweather/status/2076968763023294948 Canadian wildfire smoke heads into the upper Midwest and Northeast today! Look for hazy skies today from the smoke but a better chance it reaches the surface tomorrow night.

Wetter period after the heat wave looking more likely.

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd Multiple rounds of rain/thunderstorms are also possible from the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley to the East Coast as shortwaves and frontal systems focus moisture through the period. Marginal Risks of flash flooding are delineated for the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley to Appalachians on Friday, and stretching into the Mid-Atlantic on Saturday. Tate

Ring of fire pathway 7 day totals

Day 4 NSSL machine learning likes a day 4 threat and days 9, 10 and 11 as an active period. https://x.com/TylerSebreezy/status/2076303103263932677 The latest NSSL machine-learning severe probabilities highlight a potential northwest flow setup for a handful of days across the eastern U.S. The risk of some strong to severe storms appears evident at times.

Max heat begins to move West later this week.