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Everything posted by Rjay
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July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Rjay replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Heat advisory for the city and NENJ tomorrow -
From the NHC earlier today Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure located near the coast of northeastern South Carolina continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the adjacent Atlantic waters and portions of eastern North Carolina. The low is expected to move northeastward near or just offshore of the North Carolina Outer Banks on Thursday, and then turn north-northeastward and move along the mid-Atlantic coast Friday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone is likely to form within the next day or so. Regardless of development, the system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall that could cause some flash flooding across portions of eastern North Carolina, the coastal mid-Atlantic, and southern New England during the next few days. Gusty winds are also possible along the North Carolina Outer Banks through Thursday and along the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts Friday and Saturday. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system and refer to products from your local National Weather Service office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
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Mt Holly .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... We continue to keep a very close eye on the low that will be approaching our region from the south on Thursday night. The guidance has been trending westward with the track, so the feature may pass over or very near our region from Friday into Friday night. The low is not forecast to be particularly strong by the time it reaches our area, so the wind is not much of a concern. However, it will have a good deal of moisture associated with it. There is the potential for widespread heavy rain in northeastern Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey and eastern Pennsylvania. The recent heavy rainfall in parts of our region has increased our susceptibility to flooding. We will work to refine the threat area as we get closer to the event. It appears as though most of the heavy rain will lift to our north on Friday night.
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A couple snippets from NWS Upton's ADF Low pressure will move up the Mid Atlantic coast on Friday, passing over the region Friday night into Saturday morning. Showers and thunderstorms are expected, especially Friday afternoon and evening likely just north and east of the surface low as it pulls subtropical Atlantic moisture. Still low confidence on location of the heavy rain potential. There is increasing potential for a moderate to heavy rainfall event Friday into Saturday as a coastal system moves up the Mid- Atlantic coast. Exact timing and track are still uncertain, but this system has the potential to produce at least 1 to 2 inches of rain with higher amounts possible with heavier bands.
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Tracking The 3”+ Heavy Rainfall Events Since 2010
Rjay replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Literally a dot -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Rjay replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Even if it's a named storm you can create a topic in this subforum especially since it might affect our area. We will wait until you're ready. Thank you for all your contributions. -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Rjay replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
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Tracking The 3”+ Heavy Rainfall Events Since 2010
Rjay replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Friday -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Rjay replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
@wdrag should start a Friday thread! -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Rjay replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Rgem too -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Rjay replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
High was 92 here. 3rd 90 I believe. I keep pretty bad stats for a weenie though. -
@Parsley getting smacked
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A few drops here
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Severe thunderstorm warning for central and northern Nassau along with NW Suffolk
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Lol. Pretty much
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congrats @Allsnow!
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That storm is now dropping SE lol. My post might age very poorly very quickly.
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He missed double his amount by a few miles lol