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Rjay

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Everything posted by Rjay

  1. Rjay
  2. Rjay
    You'll likely fine but no need to risk it. Go Monday.
  3. Rjay
    Who is this jackass using the hrrr?
  4. Rjay
    Post it
  5. Rjay
    Nice ccb
  6. Rjay
  7. Rjay
    I don't expect significant power outages at this time in Port Washington.
  8. Rjay
    That's LI. This was a Suffolk convo. Anyway, let's take this to banter and not bore the people with this crap lol.
  9. Rjay
    That would have been my near guess yesterday (maybe a few towns further east) tbh but there's overwhelming ensemble support for a further east landfall.
  10. Rjay
    There's no model to hug. They're all jumping all over the place. The most consistent model has been the Ukie even if it was 75 miles too far west in the end.
  11. Rjay
    Central
  12. Rjay
    Wading river/Manorville/Moriches on east is eastern Suffolk imo. Brookhaven is central.
  13. Rjay
  14. Rjay
    The ensembles are really locked into that area
  15. Rjay
    Hamptons to block island imo
  16. Rjay
    The expanded wind field is the biggest takeaway from this run
  17. Rjay
    Looks a tick west to me but that's just noise Last 4 runs
  18. Rjay
    Next timestamp (last 4 runs)
  19. Rjay
    This run definitely has a broader wind field
  20. Rjay
    Last 4 runs
  21. Rjay
  22. Rjay
  23. Rjay
  24. Rjay
    Give or take
  25. Rjay
    I have respect for all the mets that put so much time and effort into keeping the public safe but I was just listening to Craig Allen talk live on the radio claiming the most likely landfall location according to the models is central Suffolk. Idk, maybe he was looking at the Cras.
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