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Rjay

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Everything posted by Rjay

  1. Rjay
    That would have been my near guess yesterday (maybe a few towns further east) tbh but there's overwhelming ensemble support for a further east landfall.
  2. Rjay
    There's no model to hug. They're all jumping all over the place. The most consistent model has been the Ukie even if it was 75 miles too far west in the end.
  3. Rjay
    Central
  4. Rjay
    Wading river/Manorville/Moriches on east is eastern Suffolk imo. Brookhaven is central.
  5. Rjay
  6. Rjay
    The ensembles are really locked into that area
  7. Rjay
    Hamptons to block island imo
  8. Rjay
    The expanded wind field is the biggest takeaway from this run
  9. Rjay
    Looks a tick west to me but that's just noise Last 4 runs
  10. Rjay
    Next timestamp (last 4 runs)
  11. Rjay
    This run definitely has a broader wind field
  12. Rjay
    Last 4 runs
  13. Rjay
  14. Rjay
  15. Rjay
  16. Rjay
    Give or take
  17. Rjay
    I have respect for all the mets that put so much time and effort into keeping the public safe but I was just listening to Craig Allen talk live on the radio claiming the most likely landfall location according to the models is central Suffolk. Idk, maybe he was looking at the Cras.
  18. Rjay
    The Ukie isn't
  19. Rjay
    And weaker
  20. Rjay
    The latest run is weaker and further east than last night.
  21. Rjay
    The last bunch of ukie runs
  22. Rjay
    My posts keep freezing on "saving" when I'm trying to submit. Anyone else having that issue?
  23. Rjay
  24. Rjay
  25. Rjay
    I expect some heavy rain here but nothing extreme.
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