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Everything posted by Rjay
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Surge shouldn't be an issue in the city. The main threat is flooding rains.
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Like you said, the models are clearly struggling with this inverted trough. I have no idea what to expect for your area. So my advice is to watch the radar and expect some rain lol.
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It's NNW imo and recon's opinion as well. Def not nw though like some are alluding to.
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Nah. The motion is clearly nnw. Somewhere between Montauk and southern RI will take a landfall.
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Yep. But tbf it's really not easy to determine motion with some TCs especially when they're kinda sloppy.
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Convection is blowing up and getting pulled west but the storm is still heading nnw. Montauk to southern Rhode Island in the crosshairs.
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No. Your eyes are playing tricks on you.
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And they def should have been issued. It's ok to backtrack on some of them at this point imo but I understand why they likely won't.
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A bunch of models give Suffolk 5-9" of rain fwiw.
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@bluewave, are you bored with this storm?
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Tbf, who's going to want to go shopping tomorrow lol
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You'll likely fine but no need to risk it. Go Monday.
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Who is this jackass using the hrrr?
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I don't expect significant power outages at this time in Port Washington.
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That's LI. This was a Suffolk convo. Anyway, let's take this to banter and not bore the people with this crap lol.
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That would have been my near guess yesterday (maybe a few towns further east) tbh but there's overwhelming ensemble support for a further east landfall.
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There's no model to hug. They're all jumping all over the place. The most consistent model has been the Ukie even if it was 75 miles too far west in the end.
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