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Rjay

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Everything posted by Rjay

  1. Rjay
    It's hard to get the rain and wind combo up in the northeast with tropical systems. Most of the rain is on the west side and most of the wind is on the east. With Irene I got 5" of rain and 60+mph gusts for hours.
  2. Rjay
    90 at EWR
  3. Rjay
    1.70" and gust to 30mph
  4. Rjay
    The Euro and Ukie gave 5+ over and over. I guess rain finds the same areas it always does regardless of track.
  5. Rjay
    Total non-event in central Suffolk. The models gave me 5-9". I'm under 2"
  6. Rjay
    Gusted to 20mph here. 24mph at ISP lol
  7. Rjay
    I'm not surprised it's so low. They consistently get snow reports wrong and have a temperature sensor in the jungle. They probably hang an umbrella over their rain gauge.
  8. Rjay
    The hi res models don't even give LI much rain today. The ukie/euro and even the gfs will likely be way too high with their totals.
  9. Rjay
    Has to be from the 11pm advisory. They just added NYC to it. The NHC 11pm advisory said north (355 degrees) at 21mph and that it was 180 miles sse of Montauk Point
  10. Rjay
    Just west of due north seems about right
  11. Rjay
    It's not a bad one at all. The furthest west is was the Nassau/Suffolk border.
  12. Rjay
    Surge shouldn't be an issue in the city. The main threat is flooding rains.
  13. Rjay
    Indeed
  14. Rjay
    Like you said, the models are clearly struggling with this inverted trough. I have no idea what to expect for your area. So my advice is to watch the radar and expect some rain lol.
  15. Rjay
    It's NNW imo and recon's opinion as well. Def not nw though like some are alluding to.
  16. Rjay
    Nah. The motion is clearly nnw. Somewhere between Montauk and southern RI will take a landfall.
  17. Rjay
    Yep. But tbf it's really not easy to determine motion with some TCs especially when they're kinda sloppy.
  18. Rjay
    Convection is blowing up and getting pulled west but the storm is still heading nnw. Montauk to southern Rhode Island in the crosshairs.
  19. Rjay
    No. Your eyes are playing tricks on you.
  20. Rjay
    And they def should have been issued. It's ok to backtrack on some of them at this point imo but I understand why they likely won't.
  21. Rjay
    Si
  22. Rjay
  23. Rjay
    A bunch of models give Suffolk 5-9" of rain fwiw.
  24. Rjay
    @bluewave, are you bored with this storm?
  25. Rjay
    Guy rarely has a shirt on.
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