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Everything posted by Rjay
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Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Oct 25 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A deepening, non-tropical low pressure system with gale-force winds is located a little more than 100 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. This gale area is forecast to move north-northeastward for the next day or so, and could acquire some subtropical characteristics before it merges with a frontal system by late Tuesday. The extratropical low is then expected to meander off the mid-Atlantic and northeast U.S. coasts on Wednesday, bringing rain and wind impacts to portions of those areas. By midweek the low is expected to move eastward away from the U.S. coast, and could again acquire some subtropical characteristics by the end of the week while it moves eastward or southeastward over the warmer waters of the central Atlantic. For more information on this system, including storm warnings, see products issued by your local National Weather Service office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
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It was clear and they were well north of the front. The clouds came in an hour after they hit 32 and temps rose.
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Gfs at hour 24 (and to be fair is does retrograde good bit) Rgem at hour 24 This is kinda ridiculous.
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I just don't know how anyone can be confident in track. I'm not leaning one way or another right now. This tuck track is a damaging track and there won't be too much notice if models come into agreement late in the game.
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I know. Last 2 runs have both jumped west of the previous run.
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Euro/eps vs everything, re: a more tucked in solution
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Maybe
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Imagine we get another 10" month lol
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@Stormlover74 Imagine losing to Illinois in 9 OTs lol
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That's quite a long sentence.
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Dealing with another large covid outbreak at work. It never f-cking ends.
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I'm sorry but this stuff is transparent as hell and it's driving me nuts. You seem like a decent dude so I'll leave it at that.
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FRG 47 ISP 42 FOX 37
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Low was 42 here
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78 today. Perfect
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Do you have stats from the 1400s though?
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Had a bunch of hours of sunshine out here. High was 73.