WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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Definitely some cold air behind that storm and probably colder air after the storm after that. Timing the cold air with the storm track is obviously key to this weekend. Certainly some cutter risk, but even a cutter could provide frontside or backside frozen if things work out. This Friday's storm and the associated northern stream low are pretty key to setting the boundary location that the weekend storm will ride along.
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GEFS looks solid for the weekend.
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Let's go big green band...10 more miles please
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Radar is filling in and moving our way again. But melting? It's early January and the temp is 28-30F. #sunangleseason doesn't start until NEXT week.
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1-3" sandwiched between a warning event and multiple potential MECS/HECS is just a stats padder.
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Storm bust?
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1.7” since 5am. 5.9” storm total. Snow depth just above 5”
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Biggest flakes of the storm. Big fluffy flakes slowly falling.
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Looks like Loudon-Fairfax-MoCo jackpot zone so far. Expect that will shift S and E with afternoon action.
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Pack sled dogs
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To a point, the ULL approaching is what helps generate the coastal low, but also pulls some moisture back off the ocean.
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Sounds like quitters talk to me
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Try snow?
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Definitely a trend to throw us another small event on Friday in the overnight runs. Fun times ahead!
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12z 3k NAM agrees well with latest HRRRRR runs. Precip fills back in quickly in the next few hours, heaviest precipitation near sunset. Focus S and E of DC.
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That would be impressive! Doubt we get there, but I think the 7-8" range is pretty likely.
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Probably at least 0.5"/hour I'd guess with these rates and flake quality.
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Coming down quite nicely right now. Medium size dendrite conglomerates.
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5 or 6 from what I hear Just focus on MLK day and beyond. This one's done.
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I'll take the over
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I know I'm late to the 6z FV3 party, but that looks like a fun 2 weeks. 1-2" Friday, rain-fzra-sleet bomb-snow over the weekend, MECS the middle of next week, and then subzero high temps at the end.
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BWI had 1.8" on 0.13" of precipitation through midnight. Almost 14:1 ratios.
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Haven't measured since 5am, but snowboard is covered again so I'm guessing I'm near 5" total. WSW verified! Should hit 6"...7-8" in reach?
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2.8” since 10pm. 4.2” storm total.
