WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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My deck is trying...grass and mulch accumulating. Probably can call it 0.1" at least. BOOM stats PADDED!
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Temp down to 33-34 with big flakes. First hint of some grass and mulch accumulation starting.
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Light white rain.
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Flurries resumed.
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Always is.
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Moving to Florida?
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They stopped. Storm cancel?
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Flurries in Columbia.
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ENSO progs I’ve seen are all over the place from strong Nino to mod Nina. I guess average was maintaining a warm neutral or barely weak Nino. But I think ENSO progs aren’t much use until early summer.
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Wes, I know the hrrrrr has a wrong bias, but not sure it leans warm or cold.
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If this was our last hope in a bad winter I’d be more stressed, but I’m already over climo and it’s March. I’ll just let it play out and hope to pad stats.
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38/26.5
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Nothing would really surprise me for us. All snow, nearly all rain, mix. Think we see some accumulation, but big bust potential on both sides.
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See you Monday at 12z
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I have to say, I’m pretty happy with the 12z suite for MBY so far.
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3-6” is a good storm for us anytime, let alone march. If I had to WAG right now, I’d say 2-3” for us and @Scraff, but we might have to measure it in batches with melting or rain in between. 3-5” by I70, and 4-8” for the far NW folks.
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Yup. Going to be rate and elevation dependent. @jayyy could see a couple inches more than me only a few miles away. I actually think LWX’s current forecast is pretty good, but could be a sharper dividing line unless there is more widespread front or backend snow. At the height of the storm tomorrow evening there will be a brutal dividing line.
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What are euro surface temps tomorrow afternoon and evening?
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I think you’re right @psuhoffman about the weaker/drier trend. I’m also a bit worried about surface temps tomorrow afternoon and evening. 3k NAM is above freezing for almost everyone south of the M/D line even while it’s snowing. If it’s ripping, that will accumulate at 33-34, but light snow will mostly be white rain.
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3 week stretch that nukes the grass followed by endless deluge that allows the weeds to run rampant.
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4.6” to hit 30” for the season. A high bar for tomorrow but not impossible.
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Hope so. I think there could be a big difference between your location and mine. A 10-20mi shift would be huge, but that’s in the noise from last nights euro.
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2.3” today for 25.4” season total.
