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WxUSAF

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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    BWI: 10/27 IAD: 10/27 DCA: 11/17 RIC: 10/27 Tie: +0.8F
  2. WxUSAF
    85 yesterday and 86 today at BWI. Lol
  3. WxUSAF
    Stink bugs always seem to come out on warm sunny fall days.
  4. WxUSAF
    Yeah good question. I think the consensus is pretty strongly on blaming HT-HH. But I haven’t seen literature directly estimating that.
  5. WxUSAF
    Somewhat. Takes much longer for the water to reach high northern latitudes, but it has. But there is much less still relative to the south.
  6. WxUSAF
    South polar winter vortex was at or near record strength last year with very high water vapor levels.
  7. WxUSAF
    Fall is here and it's time to open up this year's contest. You are forecasting the first day the temperature reaches 32F at BWI, IAD, DCA, and RIC. Tiebreaker is total monthly temperature departure from normal at BWI in October. This thread will lock at 12am October 8th so you have about a week! Happy freezing!
  8. WxUSAF
  9. WxUSAF
    Can we get what NYCs getting in January with temps in the 20s? Thanks in advance!
  10. WxUSAF
  11. WxUSAF
    Frost threat for outer burbs and rural areas next weekend per 12z GFS. 534 line over DC. Wooo fall!
  12. WxUSAF
    Ok everyone enough with the woke debate
  13. WxUSAF
    Low of 49. First 40s IMBY.
  14. WxUSAF
    Oh yeah, kinda had forgotten. I’ll have a lot of free time starting Sunday so I’ll get on it.
  15. WxUSAF
    Objectively, this winter is sort of fascinating with the mix of forcings that are happening. Nino, -QBO, high strat water vapor from HT-HH eruption, insanely warm oceans from the underwater volcanoes, etc. Will definitely be papers written about this year. I don’t have a strong feeling for how it all shakes out besides thinking we’ll average DJF above normal temps and probably wetter than normal.
  16. WxUSAF
    There’s definitely a hint of suppression in the monthly precip anomalies for February although the H5 charts don’t really suggest it.
  17. WxUSAF
  18. WxUSAF
    I think this will be a mediocre at best year. Drought in the western half of the area, wet in the eastern half, and no sign of chilly weather. Probably late and drab colors.
  19. WxUSAF
    A 2-1 win against the guardians never felt so monumental
  20. WxUSAF
    About 0.7” at home. Just been drizzling here in deep creek for several hours with local PWSs around 0.25”.
  21. WxUSAF
    It’s brutal for sure. And it’s showing. They’re limping into the playoffs. Need to win the division and get that bye desperately so they can reset. Rays got merced last night with injuries, so they’re also breaking down at the end. Last team standing wins.
  22. WxUSAF
    Going to have Philippe very soon based on satellite presentation of that cherry in the MDR.
  23. WxUSAF
    About 0.25” back home so far. Rain just starting here in deep creek.
  24. WxUSAF
    Which is why they just lost after coming back to take the lead…
  25. WxUSAF
    Made it out to deep creek. Spectacular early fall evening with temps around 60. Just the first hint of fall color.
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