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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    Had a vivid and loud thunderstorm this evening as we left for Chattanooga. Super super heavy rain too.
  2. John1122
    Looks like the Pacific isn't going to allow us to return to winter. The GFS pretty much says the firehose stays on out west. When you see most of California getting flooded and 16 day snowfall totals approaching 200 inches in the Sierra, we're not likely to have much in the way of winter weather. Oh well, at least we got a great 10 days or so this year, that's better than last year.
  3. John1122
    It looked like the Euro would've delivered the goods had it went 24 more hours. A long way to go with this one but fingers crossed we can get another event before winter ends.
  4. John1122
    From 264-270 that run, 8 inches of snow falls imby. Not to be outdone, from 270-276 12 inches falls. The wild thing, temps that follow it are similar to what we had in January, highs in the upper 10s and lower 20s and lows between -3 and 10ish are widespread. I'd love to see such an event come to pass, in 1960 the first big storm in February was a brute with similar totals.
  5. John1122
    21 inches imby. Everyone does okay 40 and north. That's actually 1 of 2 for some areas in the western forum. They get 4-8 inches a few days before it on the back side of a low. Areas just west of Clarksville also get 20 inch totals. 24 hour snowfall
  6. John1122
    It went absolutely nuclear that run.
  7. John1122
    The GFS has it too and it took a big jump SE at 12z. That's been a decent trend this winter on modeling.
  8. John1122
    That's why if I went west I'd to to Mammoth. The town is at 8,000 feet with tons of housing at 9-10k around the resort. They seem extremely efficient at clearing roads too. The fellow who does one of the channels I watch lives at about 9100 in what looks basically like a subdivision. Last year snow depth was over his 2nd story back deck, which is 26 feet in the air. I honestly thought about moving to upstate New York but I get outvoted. Real estate seems affordable in the Tug Hull plateau.
  9. John1122
    I've been fortunate enough to be in heavy lake effect before but not like that. How widespread is it there? I've always heard a 10 mile wide path may get 3 or 4 feet but outside that it might just be a few inches.
  10. John1122
    From the Mammoth area. At some point when I see atmospheric river forecast well in advance, gonna have to rent a chalet up there and make the trip. They got 3+ feet yesterday, not sure how much more last night. I was watching a youtube video filmed yesterday at just over 9000 feet and the guy said it was snowing 4 inches per hour. 339 AM PST Mon Feb 5 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY ABOVE 5000 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected above 5000 feet. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 5 feet. Additional snow accumulations as high as 7 feet are possible at elevations above 8,000 feet. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...The Sierra Nevada above 5000 feet. * WHEN...Valid through 4 AM PST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage.
  11. John1122
    Those are - numbers in West Tn too. I see a -14 departure there near Dyersburg.
  12. John1122
    I'm always amazed that they don't post blizzard warnings for the Sierra. I've never seen one at Mammoth. Their winter storm warning says snowfall in excess of 3 inches per hour will cause whiteout conditions, and winds will be 45+ and stronger gusts.
  13. John1122
    There should be some good Mammoth video this next week.
  14. John1122
    No kidding. Mine spiked even though I've never had a claim and have had the same insurance company since 1986.
  15. John1122
    Yep, 10 inches here, Tazewell has a 9.5 inch depth reported the next day on their official record. That said, these reanalysis maps are usually closer to the truth than the maps that NOAA generates.
  16. John1122
    It happened a few years ago. I think the cold went to Asia. This is the map of all SSWs and where the cold is most likely to arrive. The Eastern U.S. is actually a very favorable destination on average.
  17. John1122
    The 1986 event. This is snow depth the next day.
  18. John1122
    The snowline in 1986 was south of 40 in East Tennessee. It snowed 5-6 inches in Oak Ridge, Lenoir City, and at McGhee-Tys. By Athens and Chattanooga there was only a trace though. The highs south of 40 were around 35, along 40 around 32, and along the Kentucky/VA border, upper 20s. Strangely for the set up, it only snowed 2 inches in Crossville with a high of 33 on .70 precip. It snowed 6-8 inches in Fentress County just north of Crossville. I don't remember it being a surprise though. Just that back them you went to school and if it started snowing, you went home.
  19. John1122
    2-07-80 8 inches of snow from 2-6 to 2-8. But it was the middle of a long/snowy stretch with quite a few below 0 lows and 17 straight days with snow on the ground here. 2-28-65, mild with highs in the 60s. 2-09-53 mild. Highs in the 50s 2-07-68 40s but went into the deep freeze the next day. Dry deep freeze. 2-09-04 slightlybn, 40s./20s 2-11-77 climbed out of the deep freeze to near 60. 2-16-78 chilly, 30s/20s, 2 inches of snow 2-09-70 a few bn days in a row. But 3 or 4 degrees bn 2-06-86 near 70 degree highs. We did get a huge Valentines day snow storm with 10 inches in 86. 2-07-06 a couple days around -5bn but dry.
  20. John1122
    The EPO is going negative and the PNA positive around mid-month. That happened in the 2015 El Nino and we got harsh winter the last 10 days of February and the first week of March capped off winter with a West Tennessee blizzard.
  21. John1122
    On the drive home a little while ago.
  22. John1122
    Thunder in mountains has proven correct again with a snow showery day.
  23. John1122
    Chattanooga also got 5 inches on January 29th-30th 2010.
  24. John1122
    Had several rumbles of thunder and my current weather forecast says up to an inch of snow possible tomorrow night. We need more winter thunder.
  25. John1122
    I just saw some verification scores, and what should be much to it's embarrassment, the GFS at 500 has been scoring worse than even the JMA.
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