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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    Topped out at 84.7 today. A little cooler than the last two days. My electric and water bill for the last week of June and the first 3 weeks of July came today, it's about 25 percent lower than average.
  2. John1122
    Cloudy with a few sprinkles today already. Crossing 2pm and it's only 80 degrees. We still might see 90 tomorrow, but so far, imby, all these hot forecasts are coming up 5 to 10 degrees short of the mark.
  3. John1122
    I only got to 85.2 today. Currently sitting at 83.6 at 5:00pm.
  4. John1122
    Crept up to 85.1 today. Then storms fired close, but not quite over me. Got some clouds and that was it for the heating. I think we make a run on Friday to get over 90, if we don't get a well timed storm.
  5. John1122
    82.4 for the high today and it seems very hot. That's how mild this summer has been so far.
  6. John1122
    It may heat up this week but my high was 78 today and yesterday. Impossible to beat on July 22nd and 23rd. I guess I can deal with upper 80s because I know that we've missed two months of heat this Summer.
  7. John1122
    Looks like I may hit 90 this week. Models are showing 91-93 but my point forecast says 89 as the max. I'd love to go a whole summer with no 90s.
  8. John1122
    For the second morning in a row a heavy shower developed over me and soaked everything. Almost in the exact same place as yesterday.
  9. John1122
    It's crazy that we probably aren't much more than 60 miles apart as the crow flies and there's been that big of a difference.
  10. John1122
    Tons of flooding just west of me. It's rained off and on throughout the day but the heavy stuff was just off to my west. Finally getting very heavy rain here with all the thunder. Fortunately not like Scott and Morgan got it.
  11. John1122
    Man, this thunder sounds like bombs going off. Apparently lots of strikes really close by. Looks like the high for today is going to be 69 and that was at midnight.
  12. John1122
    So far, my high today is 72. Just had another round of moderate rain pass over.
  13. John1122
    I think most of the forum region got in on it, except maybe Chattanooga and Memphis. But they may have gotten in on it too. 40 corridor and north had several events of snow/sleet/freezing rain. Parts of Middle Tennessee got 12+ from one storm in January 2016.
  14. John1122
    I think that was a year or two prior. You guys got rocked in Jan-Feb 2016.
  15. John1122
    It was a late bloomer, but turned epic in from Mid Jan to Mid Feb. Lots of ice and snow, and even severe weather that winter.
  16. John1122
    Looks like 80.9 is going to do it today. It was 61 this morning.
  17. John1122
    I truly hope this pattern can repeat in winter. Ridge west, trough in our back yard. It's 2pm in what is the hottest climatological week of the year, and it's hanging out at 78 degrees. My A/C just kicked on for the first time today. Get this going in winter and we'd likely see favorable clippers, sliders, and NW flow.
  18. John1122

    ENSO

    John1122 replied to jaxjagman's topic in Tennessee Valley

    January 1987 probably lines up pretty close to the current ENSO forecast this year. It was +1.5 but actually getting stronger. The first part of January was warm but the last 10 days turned really cold. I had a 2 inch, 3 inch and 5 inch event during that 10 day stretch. There was also ice in the 5 inch event day. Had some low 20s for highs and lows around 0 late month.
  19. John1122

    ENSO

    John1122 replied to jaxjagman's topic in Tennessee Valley

    Newest advisory says 20 percent chance of a strong 2+ Nino, general model average is still a peak around November then falling as we head into DJF. The 1.4 to 1.6 range has lined up with some snowy winters here in the past, but as we've learned lately, using the past isn't as accurate a guideline these days as it may have been at one point.
  20. John1122
    No kidding. It rained overnight here and my dewpoint is currently 75.7. It's 81.4 degrees and 83 percent humidity.
  21. John1122
    Only made it to 84 today after a low of 66. It was beach humid this afternoon though. A thunderstorm east of me seemed to only make it worse.
  22. John1122
    56.5 this morning was very refreshing. It's 75.4 degrees at 1pm. My A/C hasn't been on today at all. Hard to beat the A/C not kicking on on a mid-July day.
  23. John1122
    It lasted about another hour after I posted that. We had 3.6 inches of rain from yesterday afternoon through around 3am.
  24. John1122
    Drenching down here, working on 3 inches of rain since this afternoon. Flash Flood and Areal flood products in effect for here and Whitley County Kentucky.
  25. John1122
    On the QBO front, the 30mb reading has went from 12.89 in May to 9.26 in June, to a current reading of 0.72. It should be falling for the next 9-12 months. I've read in the past that how negative is reads isn't as important of a winter weather driver as it's direction. As long as it's generally falling in winter, it tends to lead to more cold/snow/blocking for the Eastern half of the country. Even if it's negative, if it's in its rising phase towards less negative numbers, it leads to warmer/less blocking.
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