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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    It was definitely a Namming. Drops 3 inches on me. I'm hoping for legitimate snow showers. I will say this, the ground is nicely chilled. I've been in the low to mid 20s all week in the mornings. Drops quickly to freezing just after dark and with these long nights, we've been spending a good 12-14 hours a night below freezing. My low for tonight is predicted at 33, but it's 31 already.
  2. John1122
    The way things are going now, we may not even get rain in the area from the system.
  3. John1122
    0z GFS drops 2 or 3 feet on LeConte. Eventually a few snowflakes maybe in the air in the lower elevations. Probably too extreme with its solution.
  4. John1122
    That track on the 12z GFS should be an epic winter storm Dec-Feb but we can't get any cold air. I think we had a similar event in 2017-18ish. Whichever year it was that the gulf got snow storms and we couldn't even with a perfect track a few weeks later.
  5. John1122
    Just a couple days ago we were forecast to get the holy trinity. -NAO/-AO/+PNA as we headed into Christmas and beyond. The models have flipped on the AO/NAO in the last 24 hours or so.
  6. John1122
    Several hours of heavy rain already. We may not be in a good pattern for winter but we're at least in a different pattern than Sept through most of November.
  7. John1122
    The RAP and HRRR are much faster with the arrival of cold air than the other models like the NAM and RGEM. They have snow falling around my area by noonish Sunday. They move the moisture out faster as a result though.
  8. John1122
    The 12z nam taketh away what the 06z giveth. The RGEM is much more consistent but generally much lighter than the best of the NAM runs, which are bouncing from 2-4+ inches to nothing much at all outside the highest peaks, from run to run.
  9. John1122
    The 18z NAM stepped to and beyond the RGEM on the back side of the weekend system. Especially for the Eastern Rim/Western Plateau area. The 0z backed off.
  10. John1122
    Looks like the short range models are getting more optimistic about the back side snow potential on Sunday. The 18z NAM has some decent snow showers and the 12z RGEM looked like it was doing well too. Waiting to see the 18z. 18z NAM
  11. John1122
    Thanks for letting us know. I hope you get well and get back out there. You went through alot and hopefully all the set backs are over and your hard times are in the rear view!
  12. John1122
    Early this morning at 2450ft.
  13. John1122
    The rain is heavier than I expected. It's snowing above 2000ft according to my relatives that live between 2200-2600 ft. Heavy rain with a few slush flakes here and still 36 degrees.
  14. John1122
    Snow showing up on radar above 2500 feet with this passing shower.
  15. John1122
    36 degrees here, waiting on that slug of moisture in Kentucky to rotate through and see if I can get my second flakes of the end of year cold season. Feel from 48 to 36 in about three hours after the first heavy showers rotated through around 6ish.
  16. John1122
    It rock and rolled here for about 20 minutes around 2:30ish. Headed down to Clinton and it cut off to blue skies around Rocky Top.
  17. John1122
    Northern England is getting blitzed with heavy snow. They average around an inch a year in places that look to be getting 6-10. Maybe someday our unusually heavy snows will return. Those snow departure maps that were put out the other day were depressing, as our area had the biggest snowfall loss of any area. Ironically, areas along the gulf and deep south were actually getting more snow than they did in the 1960s-1980s.
  18. John1122
    It only gave me 17-18 inches. Toss.
  19. John1122
    I was hoping someone would make it. Got down to 34 overnight but WAA kicked in and it got up to 37 when the rain started.
  20. John1122
    Wow. I was below freezing 20 days this month. I was 27 the 19th and 20th. Also in the 20s/30 the 13th-15th. Somehow the lowest low at TYS during that time frame was 38-40. Norris, Tri-Cities, Maynardville, Tazewell, Oneida, Jacksboro, Middlesboro, Corbin, Crossville, Pennington Gap, Newcomb all recorded temps in the 20s during these timeframes. For some reason, areas along 40 in East Tennessee were much warmer. No idea why. Newport, Morristown, Knoxville, Oak Ridge, Lenior City, reported no temps below around 36 for the most part.
  21. John1122
    Ended up at 15 degrees this morning, it was 15 in Oneida too. It was 13 in Tazewell. Crazy that it was 26 at McGhee Tyson. Almost has to be getting a slight airport bump.
  22. John1122
    After a quick look, 2013 is the only year since at least 1970 with no single digit lows. There were 3 others that had no single digit lows in Jan-March that ended up going into the singles or colder in December. 2013 the yearly low imby was 12.
  23. John1122
    Truly cold out there, currently at 18 degrees. Coldest night since March 21st, when it was 14. March 20th and 21st were the coldest mornings of 2023. 13 and 14 respectively. Unless we really chill down in December, this may be one of the few calendar years of my life that didn't have a single digit low temperature in the entire 12 months.
  24. John1122

    ENSO

    John1122 replied to jaxjagman's topic in Tennessee Valley

    Looks like 1-2 have cooled to around +1 with a steady downward trend, while 3.4 has warmed to +1.7ish as of November 20th. Possibly setting up a Modoki Nino. That would favor more storms in the Gulf and generally, more tracks East of the Apps.
  25. John1122
    Getting toward the final fall obs, and boy was today a chiller. 22 this morning. 37 for the high, already down to 28 with the sun down.
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