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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    Warm nose doing warm nose things towards the East, unfortunately.
  2. John1122
    Incoming on the Euro, at least for the guys and gals on the west side.
  3. John1122
    It was a cutter initially, then an apps runner, then it had been a miller A ever since. It's possible it had a run as a wave on a front but I can't remember it.
  4. John1122
    That was a big change by the GFS, going from a true Miller A to a frontal passage with a wave. Curious to see if the ensembles also abandon the miller A.
  5. John1122
    The number of big hitters is growing. I believe it was around 5 at 12z.
  6. John1122
    24 hr probs of more than 4 inches of snow.
  7. John1122
    The GEFS mean keeps rising.
  8. John1122
    That 1-16-59 analog produced a wide spread 2-5, inch snow around the area followed by highs around 20 and lows around 0.
  9. John1122
    Man that 18z would be rough to take. We get to watch a massive snow storm lurk just outside the area while it's 33 with heavy rain, out of an actually perfect track storm with record breaking cold very close by. For some reason the HP that feeds the cold moves SE that run then suddenly moves due south without further easterly movement. I'd guess 99.99 percent chance the whole storm that run is wrong but that would be one of the worst ways to be right.
  10. John1122
    These are actually pretty heavy for 5 or 10 minutes but small in area.
  11. John1122
    Snow shower rolled through here about 20 minutes ago. Much like Daniel Boone, I can see white above 2500 feet.
  12. John1122
    GFS is gonna be a big one for at least Western areas and maybe the whole forum area. Looks better than 00 or 06z.
  13. John1122
    That 1978 analog that's showing up had 3 or 4 major cold waves with below zero weather. On January 9th the temperature here went from 54 early in the morning to 3 degrees by midnight. We next went 24 hours without falling below freezing on March 9th. As crazy as that is, it's still warmer than 1977.
  14. John1122
    I'm old enough to want to skip the -15 to -20 stuff!
  15. John1122
    Oak Ridge got down to -13 in the wake of that winter storm in 1996. Official airport data says it happened with 12 inches of snow depth.
  16. John1122
    It was a severe winter storm basically across the whole forum area. Ice, sleet, snow and absolutely frigid air in its wake. Rockwood has missing data, but 8 inches of snow was recorded and then another 1.08 QPF fell with temps in the 20s. Lenoir City had 8 inches of snow officially recorded but also has missing data. Athens had 4 inches of snow but over 2 inches of QPF fell with temps below freezing.
  17. John1122
    That's the best whole of Tennessee winter storm since the 1970s. Somehow it didn't make MRX's list of memorable winter events. Of course there's a ton of missing data and questionable snow reports on the official record from that storm.
  18. John1122
    Knox rocked in 1996. You guys had something like 28-30 inches of snow that winter. A single event 12-15 inch snow was widespread over Knox Co, and the Anderson/Union border having close to 20 from the Feb 2nd storm. I actually made a ton of money Feb-May that year. So much snow and ice got into gutters it caused roof and ceiling damage. I stayed working in Halls around that time. I was doing repair work for Farm Bureau Insurance.
  19. John1122
    The other day I was looking at the LP on one of those cutters. Literally dumping snow on one side of St Louis and raining on the other, with the LP sitting directly on top of St Louis. Here, if the LP is only 150 miles to our south, we're getting rain most of the time. There, 1 mile north of the low was heavy snow.
  20. John1122
    10 years ago we were getting a massive arctic express. 40-50 degree temperature drops.
  21. John1122
    Anything outside D3, expect a 600 miles track window. The models are good at being within a day or two of a storm now, which is amazing, but they aren't good at track. I do find it impressive, as an aside, that they are trying to turn somewhere in Missouri or the Ohio River area, into the Sierra Nevada with 40 and 50 inch snow amounts over a week to 10 days.
  22. John1122
    Had a bit of snow but now it's mostly rain. 34 degrees. Didn't think the freezing rain would materialize.
  23. John1122
    That 00z d9/d10 storm isn't far off the 1969 storm mentioned by the look of it.
  24. John1122
    I think we'd term that "a good run" of the GFS.
  25. John1122
    February 15-17th 1969 was the big one here. 10+ across the TN/Ky border areas. 8-10 along the TN/Va border areas. Knoxville had 7 inches. Nooga only managed 1 inch. It was a wet/paste job. Another on Feb 23rd was 5 inches here, 5 in Tazewell. Also west paste.
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