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John1122

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  1. John1122
    From the Mammoth area. At some point when I see atmospheric river forecast well in advance, gonna have to rent a chalet up there and make the trip. They got 3+ feet yesterday, not sure how much more last night. I was watching a youtube video filmed yesterday at just over 9000 feet and the guy said it was snowing 4 inches per hour. 339 AM PST Mon Feb 5 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY ABOVE 5000 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected above 5000 feet. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 5 feet. Additional snow accumulations as high as 7 feet are possible at elevations above 8,000 feet. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...The Sierra Nevada above 5000 feet. * WHEN...Valid through 4 AM PST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage.
  2. John1122
    Those are - numbers in West Tn too. I see a -14 departure there near Dyersburg.
  3. John1122
    I'm always amazed that they don't post blizzard warnings for the Sierra. I've never seen one at Mammoth. Their winter storm warning says snowfall in excess of 3 inches per hour will cause whiteout conditions, and winds will be 45+ and stronger gusts.
  4. John1122
    There should be some good Mammoth video this next week.
  5. John1122
    No kidding. Mine spiked even though I've never had a claim and have had the same insurance company since 1986.
  6. John1122
    Yep, 10 inches here, Tazewell has a 9.5 inch depth reported the next day on their official record. That said, these reanalysis maps are usually closer to the truth than the maps that NOAA generates.
  7. John1122
    It happened a few years ago. I think the cold went to Asia. This is the map of all SSWs and where the cold is most likely to arrive. The Eastern U.S. is actually a very favorable destination on average.
  8. John1122
    The 1986 event. This is snow depth the next day.
  9. John1122
    The snowline in 1986 was south of 40 in East Tennessee. It snowed 5-6 inches in Oak Ridge, Lenoir City, and at McGhee-Tys. By Athens and Chattanooga there was only a trace though. The highs south of 40 were around 35, along 40 around 32, and along the Kentucky/VA border, upper 20s. Strangely for the set up, it only snowed 2 inches in Crossville with a high of 33 on .70 precip. It snowed 6-8 inches in Fentress County just north of Crossville. I don't remember it being a surprise though. Just that back them you went to school and if it started snowing, you went home.
  10. John1122
    2-07-80 8 inches of snow from 2-6 to 2-8. But it was the middle of a long/snowy stretch with quite a few below 0 lows and 17 straight days with snow on the ground here. 2-28-65, mild with highs in the 60s. 2-09-53 mild. Highs in the 50s 2-07-68 40s but went into the deep freeze the next day. Dry deep freeze. 2-09-04 slightlybn, 40s./20s 2-11-77 climbed out of the deep freeze to near 60. 2-16-78 chilly, 30s/20s, 2 inches of snow 2-09-70 a few bn days in a row. But 3 or 4 degrees bn 2-06-86 near 70 degree highs. We did get a huge Valentines day snow storm with 10 inches in 86. 2-07-06 a couple days around -5bn but dry.
  11. John1122
    The EPO is going negative and the PNA positive around mid-month. That happened in the 2015 El Nino and we got harsh winter the last 10 days of February and the first week of March capped off winter with a West Tennessee blizzard.
  12. John1122
    On the drive home a little while ago.
  13. John1122
    Thunder in mountains has proven correct again with a snow showery day.
  14. John1122
    Chattanooga also got 5 inches on January 29th-30th 2010.
  15. John1122
    Had several rumbles of thunder and my current weather forecast says up to an inch of snow possible tomorrow night. We need more winter thunder.
  16. John1122
    I just saw some verification scores, and what should be much to it's embarrassment, the GFS at 500 has been scoring worse than even the JMA.
  17. John1122
    It has been in the mid 60s to near 70 across the entire area 3-4 days before that first Miller A on Valentines.
  18. John1122
    Look at the Euro and look at the Miller A tracks from Feb 1960. The Euro is slightly further north at the start. Here are some snowfall totals for Feb 13-14th 1960. Memphis 1.1 inches Jackson Tn 3.5 inches Nashville 6 inches. Murfreesboro 8 inches Chattanooga 9.5 inches Cookeville 10 inches Tri-Cities 11 inches Middlesboro Ky 14 inches Williamsburg Ky 15 inches Crossville 15 inches MBY 16.5 inches Norris 16.5 inches Tazewell 17 inches Monteagle 17.5 inches Knoxville 18.3 inches The 18th-19th event that followed it was a widespread 4-8 inch event.
  19. John1122
    Eric Webb noted that the storm as modeled was the same setup as a massive March 1st 1927 event. That was a monster for East Tennessee. 8-12+ inches fell.
  20. John1122
    It gives us a little bit of backside snow. But that was a miller A dream track.
  21. John1122
    The Euro just had a great pass in what would likely be a nice winter storm here. I refuse to believe that a low dropping from 997 to 991 as it skirts the northern gulf coast from Louisiana over the panhandle of Florida would be precip free here.
  22. John1122
    The lake was frozen over until yesterday and probably still was in parts. It generates a lot of fog when it's so cold and the air over top is so mild. It's foggy as heck here still right now, though most of the snow is gone, it's still holding on in a few places and along sides of the road in my area. That section around 134 was the area that had 11 wrecks in about 15 minutes when the freezing rain hit. 75 from the Campbell County border to the Kentucky border is an absolute menace.
  23. John1122
    Today I observed rain, thunder and 9 cars on I-75 with flats from potholes.
  24. John1122
    Just drove through a thunderstorm in Clinton.
  25. John1122
    It just thundered loud here.
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