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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. Heaviest rates since this morning underway now. Hopefully the HRRR was right showing me with another inch the rest of the night.
  2. TDOT said 75 between the Campbell/Anderson line and 141 was beginning to get snow covered. That could impact areas down into north Knox soon.
  3. The roads are getting bad here. It's a case where the snow on the road looks deeper than off the road.
  4. The band from Kentucky looks like it might stay far enough west to hit the western plateau and western valley unless it pivots soon.
  5. I am always interested in seeing the Micro climates here that show up in these situations. It's really rare to see snow coming from the direction it is now. 90 percent of the time you'd see a band rolling off Lake Michigan pointed down across Northern Kentucky in a NW flow situation. It's rare to see Erie involved and see High Knob making a snow shadow to the SSE.
  6. Super Sunday Snow Weenie alert. I am probably going to Nooga for the Super Bowl once again this weekend. Historically there's a 70 percent chance of at least one inch of snow falling 40 and north when I'm there on Super Bowl weekend.
  7. Its snowed here almost non stop for 18 hours and it's rarely shown up on radar. Granted 18 hours worth of snow has amounted to about an inch of total accumulations. So that may be why.
  8. My forecast says the same but I don't think it will get there here. I noticed BNA said another piece of energy would come through this evening. My hourly future cast has snow moving back in from 1 to 4 am. Granted it's snowing now and it just shows cloudy for the next 5 hours here. The flakes are probably dime sized here.
  9. This looks like the width of the snow shadow generated in NNW flow there in SW Va and the border counties.
  10. I figured you might be doing well. Since the pivot is east right now and it's pulling in the Erie moisture i figured SWVA was in a good spot. I guess Black Mountain Kentucky and High Knob may be down sloping you. You'll see it really hit hard 15 or 20 miles in the shadow of the mountains then redevelop further east. That happens even more pronounced in North Carolina. The upslope rides up the west side of the mountains here, spills over into NC, then the down slope areas hit. Then you'll see redevelopment 50 or 60 miles east of the shadow. I'd guess thats what is happening South and Southeast of you.
  11. Another odd thing about this event, 98 percent of flow events are connected to Lake Michigan. This one actually looks like it's picking up some Erie moisture instead and it's pointed down into the mountains further north than normal flow snow. I'm curious about whether or not LeConte is getting hit hard like they do when it's true NW with the Lake Michigan connection.
  12. I don't know if it's right or wrong but it's just been bad in general this year.
  13. Still looks very NNW with the flow at this point, even almost due N to S at times, after a small pivot to NW earlier. Not sure the actual NW flow has started or will. MRX mentioned something about it being NNW yesterday in the AFD. That may mean snow for different folks than a normal NW flow event, at least for now. The reason I mention this is I always say know your back yard here in the region. Small differences make big differences for a lot of back yards. How well you do or don't in NNW or almost N flow is worth filing away for the future.
  14. I know it's not been this way for everyone but for me this winter has been 10,000 times better than the last few. I went 4 weeks in the heart of winter with barely a flake the last few years. This year it's snowing at least some around every 4-7 days and I'm at a little over 14 inches on the season and we still have 3 weeks of very prime snow climo.
  15. Very strong winds, snow and blowing snow here now. Vis is maybe 1/2 mile. 30 degrees. Accumulating quickly now.
  16. The pattern looks great, and we see what happens when we are having precipitation events every few days and a -NAO/-AO and a big EPO ridge in Alaska.
  17. Only about 1/3rd inch so far. MRX actually updated and said they increased totals for my area. They must be planning on some development this afternoon and evening.
  18. Much like the Crossville obs, snowing here but nothing on the radar at all. Snow growth zone must be fairly low. 31 degrees.
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