Tyler Penland

NAM has come back west a bit at 12z. I don't think the shifts are anywhere near done.

I'm curious to see what this ULL/noreaster does to the pattern as a whole. Seen some wacky stuff out of the gfs in the long range. It could really shake things up.

Made it to 17 with a very heavy frost. More accumulated frozen stuff than we had the other day lol

Down to 23 already. High was 34 for about 45 minutes this afternoon.

Not a thing stuck here in Foscoe. A mile up the hill is absolutely gorgeous, though.

Ole "no snow" Foscoe living up to it's name.

Steadiest snow of the event rigjt now but stuck at 33

Paltry rates since it switched over. Gonna have to see either bigger or more flakes to start sticking.

Finally over to snow at 36.0.
Let's see what we can do.

Down to 37.9 and still falling quick. Should change soon.

Temp has stalled at 45 at the house and 43 here at the store in Blowing Rock. Hoping for a change around 7-8pm. Still plenty of moisture to swing through and should see some backfill with that weak low getting going over the coastal plain.

Got here about 45 min ago. Temps tanking now.

Anybody heard from the cold front? Still 51 here in Blowing Rock LOL

New HRRR is more reasonable 

Yeah 1-3" above 3kft seems more likely. I'm here for anything tbh.

HRRR agrees on the burst of snow at the back. Actually changes 5kft and up over to snow by mid afternoon tomorrow

Brad Panovich posted this from I assume their in house model. Good look.

Our next threat.

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Yeah there has been a trend on the GFS/euro towards the cold outrunning the moisture a bit and a switchover to snow before precip ends. Interesting look I'm curious to see where it goes.

It's underwhelming but I'll take it. It's December 6th.  This is a win.

Yep. Got a solid dusting here which is more than I expected. We get skunked in the hole here in Foscoe on a lot of these NW flow events so anything more than a flurry is a win.

Here's a couple photos.

Dumping snow up here on Beech. Quickly picked up a dusting.

Just had a little graupel and rain move through here in Wolf.

Numerous people are telling me it's pouring huge flakes up around 4500'. They're visible on rays webcam at the country club.

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I wondered about this little clipper today.

Probably gonna have to head up to Roan on Wednesday morning with thunder a possibility....

13 here in Foscoe.

I'm cautiously optimistic about that clipper/NWFS potential next week. Some moderate agreement between the Euro/gfs, although I'm rooting for the Euros timing personally. Would love to hit Roan in the snow next Tuesday.

37 and still just rain in Blowing Rock.

Its just preparing us for our multiple 33 and rainy days. 

It was 36 and raining when I got to work this morning. Heck of a day to get in 5 pallets of product, first big delivery like that in months.

Only managed 1.09" here at the house. Little underwhelming but still a nice dent in the deficit.

18z gfs has multiple frozen precip chances.

Definitely think the El Nino is gonna take over soon.

Kh clouds over the Black mountains this morning.


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Dude! That's awesome!!