Tyler Penland

Tornado down near Statesville.

Posting this for posterity but a nonstop line of severe from VA to the gulf in January.

Continuous line of severe storms from VA line to the gulf.

Incredible.

I have been wondering about that.  honestly, there has been almost no wind here so far.  a few gusts but I haven't noticed any wind the last couple of hours
however we have had a ton of rain - all the streams are out of their banks and standing water at a lot of intersections.  rain has really lightened up the last 30 min or so

The models really keyed in on a wind minimum southeast of the ridgeline. Especially the 3km NAM. Blairsville had a max gust of 48mph this morning on the other side.

All the sleet/ice from this morning is adding to the runoff here. We have a wet weather creek next to the house and it has more water than I've seen in a very long time.

This beast just came ashore a tick west of PCB.

Just now went above freezing. Got a little over 1/8" of ice and a half inch of sleet. Enough to make the limbs sag on the trees.

Raingauge is still froze up but it isn't overflowing the intake so once it thaws I'll have a rain reading but it's dumping at the moment.

Would not want to be under this line. All kinds of imbedded rotation.

Worth noting the convection down along the gulf does seem to be impacting upstream rain intensity. Could help reduce totals a bit.

30.2 with a solid 1/10" of an ice/sleet mixture stuck to everything. Porch is an ice rink.

Just got home from GA. Not sure how much snow we actually got but had to be at least an inch. Have that much still left in the shade.

HRRR has a decent amount of wraparound even into GA tomorrow night.

The line of storms on the 3km NAM looks like it means business Tuesday afternoon. Probably be some sizable gusts with it.

Also the wraparound behind it looks fantastic, albeit relatively short lived.

18z gfs temps are extremely cold for several days. This is something we've not seen in a long time and are rare for a NINO.[

Yeah looks almost on par with last year's Christmas outbreak.

Definitely the potential there. I'll be very surprised if we make it to the end of the month without a solid snowstorm. Looks like that SSW event is doing it's job.

Looks like it is snowing in Blowing Rock per the webcam.

I'm down in GA for the weekend but currently 29/19 back at the house.

The NWF behind the mid week system still looks good. Euro actually brings a batch through Sunday evening behind Saturdays system now.

Hi Res NAM looks very icy for escarpment areas. It usually does pretty good with these setups. 

It usually significantly overdoes ice totals, similar to the Canadian. It has been on a decent streak lately though.

Finally making it to the ground here. Looks decently heavy on the Boone Webcam right now.

Just popped outside and ground is covered pretty good.

Decent returns but nothing is making it to ground here unfortunately 

Yall really can't win for losing here the past couple years down there. I thought for sure with the amount of moisture coming through it would bust through that dry level.

I'm sure I'll hear it on the FB posts from the website over the next couple days LOL

If I had a nickel for every time the Canadian overdid an ice storm I'd have a lot of nickels.

Got another dusting overnight. These Ts are adding up.

I'm gonna be in Georgia this weekend so y'all can go ahead and pencil this storm in.

Got a good dusting in Blowing Rock this morning. Actually saw a faint snow/fog bow. Never seen one with snow falling. Hopefully it shows up in the pic.

The NAM stuck to its guns and if you take into account the GFS/Euros well known issue with northern precipitation shields I think North GA/SW NC have a very good shot at a 1-3" event Wednesday evening/night.

Also wouldn't be surprised if border folks wake up to a dusting to kick off the new year.

Does that mean we now have an official SSW rather than just a forecast event?
 
TW

Yeah. I don't know how this stacks up in strength or anything other than in how it relates to PSCs (which made it to +42N BTW) but thought it was interesting to see it mentioned somewhere not strictly weather related.

I will say that spike is still the forecast but a warming event is underway. Just gotta see how warm it gets.

Checking Spaceweather after the big solar flare today and they had posted about the SSW. Hopefully this will lead to good things for us soon.

0z GFS is a step in the right direction for Wednesday night. I could see this sneak into a light event if things trend a little stronger with the low.