Tyler Penland

Crocus have popped up and are blooming in the yard. Always fascinating to see flowers this early in the year up here.

12z Euro is a dream. EPS looking solid, too. Extended GFS is NWF after NWF event. Definitely the potential for a solid couple weeks ahead.

23 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Creeks and rivers will rise tonight.  A lot of heavy rainfall coming overnight from the Gulf of America. 

The escarpment has about a third to half inch of extra rain stuck to the trees, too. That will add to the runoff. 

12z Euro tries to join the party. Nice storm for the northern mountains.

 

Quick sidetrack to the Parkway Bridge over 321 for a couple shots on my lunchbreak.

BREMCO at almost 10k outages. Power has flickered here a few times. Nearly up to freezing although I suspect Deep Gap down towards Triplet will be below for a while longer. Remeasured and have a solid half inch here in Blowing Rock now. Rates have picked up enough to minimize additional accums I think.

Had to use one of the stores fabric rulers cause I forgot mine at home but almost a half inch here in Blowing Rock.

A few more pics.

Between 0.3 and 0.4" here. Most I've seen in a long time. Enough to drop some big limbs and lay the rhodo bushes down.

About 2/10" of ice on the trees out front. Just dipped back to 29.8 after sitting at 30.1 for a while.

Really surprised we don't have more. Air temp sat below 30 most of the day with only light rain for the most part. Odd.

Bumped up to 28 here in Blowing Rock. Ice now noticeable on the trees, especially higher up.

27 with light to moderate ZR in Blowing Rock. Roads and sidewalks are fine somehow, at least so far.

29 with a nice coating of snow. Upped to a WSW here.

12z NAM much colder at the surface, HRRR is a little warmer than the NAM but still looks like a significant event along the escarpment.

HRRR actually starts Watauga and ashe off as snow tomorrow morning.

Interesting trends this morning. Definitely concerned for the escarpment.

0z 3KM NAM with a widespread event. Ashe County looks to be in a particularly bad spot this go around. 

Northern mountains could have a bit of a mess if the GFS is right. 

Actually switches part of the area over to snow briefly Wednesday morning. Temperatures are borderline the whole time, though. 

Those cells are insane for early February. 

Yeah this is wild. Textbook supercell in east Tennessee in early February. Thankfully doesn't appear to have touched down from what I have seen, but the storm up towards Morristown had a solid CC ball at one point.

Really liking the 7-10 day plus look. 12z GFS has a multi day storm. Wouldn't be surprised to see the can kicked down the road a few days but I think we're headed in a good direction.

At any rate, doesn't look like suppression will be a problem.

Oh wow so it froze before the filter coming into the house. Yeah I wonder if it froze at the well head?

Got it back.

It had froze at the well but I got that took care of right off. Froze at the cutoff to the house (buried but one accessible spot) but I thawed that with a hair dryer. Ran heat tape down the upper end and stuck a heater on the lower end under the house and it finally turned loose.

Yeah it finally let lose around 2 yesterday.  Dang I hope yall get it unthawed. I drained my pipes whenever I found out it was freezing up and I think that helped.

I drained everything that was still liquid from my filter to the house but below the filter to the well is about 40ft that is half above ground and half below. No clue where it's froze at. Never had it frozen this long before.

Was 10 hear this morning.  We got up to 32 yesterday and I went out in short sleeves.

You get your water unfrozen? We're still not there yet.

I hit negative 1. Somewhere IV got a frozen pipe. No water this morning.  Water froze around 4 am.

Must be something in the air, ours froze too. With everything dripping.

Made it to 0.9

Not gonna lie this upcoming slightly warmer period is kinda nice. I could use a couple days above freezing.

Well since the Gulf Coast has topped and just about doubled any single storm total I’ve had the past 3 years, I think it’s only fair for a mountain and foothill crusher between now and April. Just incredible weather day down there and overnight now for our coastal fellows.

Yeah NOLA has me beat on a single storm going all the way back to 2018. Wild.

Good news I don't think this winter is anywhere near done yet.