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Tyler Penland

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Posts posted by Tyler Penland

  1. 28 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

    12z GFS continues to look good for this week for flakes in the higher elevations.  Also just something fun the GFS is showing snow around the 20th as well...

    Those 500mb maps look wild towards the end of that run. Good ole GooFuS. 

    If the 3km NAM verifies we could see some thundersnow in the squalls tomorrow evening. It's pretty generous in moisture with a second wave Saturday afternoon.

    • Like 1
  2. 22 hours ago, Met1985 said:

    No real changes in todays model runs for the event this weekend. 

    I can guarantee it happening this time. Going to the Martinsville race with my dad on Saturday night with a 745P start time.

    Looks straight up cold. Thankfully they shortened it to 400 laps. 

    • Like 2
  3. 1 hour ago, Buckethead said:

    Moderate snow and 31 this morning in Wolf. A car topper so far (10 minutes or so.)

    Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk




     

    Seen a few flakes mixing in here a little bit ago. Actually had a light rain/sleet/snow mix going all at once for about 10 minutes. 


    Just April saying hello. 

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  4. Here for the weekend in Boone at 4k off poplar grove/Russ Cornett and I was going to say nothing here but I went to check the floods and there’s a stray flake (that’s being generous) so it’s a win.
    Check back early tomorrow morning. I'm betting you'll get a dusting. That spot over into Moses Cone/Flat Top usually does better than spots around in flow snow.

    That whole upper half of Shulls Mill didn't completely melt off in spots until a couple weeks ago.

  5. Areas affected...Portions of southern and central Appalachians and vicinity Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 120733Z - 121330Z SUMMARY...Heavy snow is possible within the southern and central Appalachians and vicinity. 1-2 inches per hour snowfall is possible in eastern Tennessee and Kentucky. Rates of 1-1.5 inches per hour will continue to move northeastward into West Virginia and western/central Pennsylvania towards early morning. DISCUSSION...Temperatures have been dropping quickly across eastern Tennessee and Kentucky over the past 1-2 hours as cold air advection and diabatic cooling have increased. Correlation coefficient data from KJKL and KMRX show a transition zone from rain to snow roughly located in the Cumberland Plateau vicinity. This transition zone has quickly shifted east over the last hour. The combination of mid-level ascent and upslope flow will support 1-2 inch snowfall rates along the western slopes into the Appalachians. The greatest snowfall rates will begin to taper off by 4-6 AM EST. Farther north, snowfall is increasing across West Virginia into western Pennsylvania. Several observations sites are reporting moderate to heavy snow that is has been primarily driven by 850-700 mb frontogentic lift. As the trough moves east and intensifies, deep-layer ascent will increase in these areas into early Saturday morning. The potential for 1-1.5 inch snowfall rates will increase accordingly during the next several hours. ..Wendt.. 03/12/2022mcd0244.gif

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